ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Frances Tiafoe of the United States locks horns with Alexandre Muller of France in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Masters on Sunday.
After a rough campaign in Monte Carlo and Barcelona, Tiafoe opened his campaign in Madrid on a high note as he bested Luciano Darderi of Italy 7-5 3-1 ret. in the second round. The 2025 US Clay Court Championship finalist won 85 percent of his first serves and broke Darderi, the champion in Marrakesh, seven times. Tiafoe improved his clay-court season record to 5-3.
came through with another three-set win over compatriot Ugo Humbert 6-2 6-7(3) 7-6(5) in the second round. After beating David Goffin 6-3 3-6 1-0 ret. in the first round, Muller earned a quick first set victory before blowing a chance to sweep Humbert after losing the second-set tiebreaker. The two Frenchmen traded big shots, leading up to another tiebreaker in the third set, where Muller finally scored the crucial points that put away Humbert for good.
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Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Form
Frances Tiafoe and Alexandre Muller Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 15, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 6, 2025 - ATP Houston
Apr 5, 2025 - ATP Houston
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 4, 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Frances Tiafoe against Alexandre Muller : Head to Head (H2H)
Feb 26, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Frances Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller Key Points
- Frances Tiafoe defeated Luciano Darderi Italy 7-5 3-1 ret. in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Frances Tiafoe is 1-0 against Alexandre Muller in their head-to-head series.
- Alexandre Muller defeated Ugo Humber 6-2, 6-7 (3), 7-6 (5) in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Alexandre Muller is 16-11 in the 2025 ATP season.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alexandre Muller defeated Frances Tiafoe in a three-set classic.
Alexandre Muller is my pick to win in this third-round encounter with Frances Tiafoe, though it won’t be an easy victory for the Frenchman. I expect a three-set showdown between these veteran campaigners with almost identical win percentages on clay. Tiafoe has a 62.6 percent win rate on the red dirt, while Muller carries a 61.6 percent win rate. Muller, though, has 258 career wins on clay, which is more than half of his 455 overall wins. Tiafoe owns a subpar 6-4 record against ATP top-50 players this season. Our betting prediction for Alexandre Muller vs. Frances Tiafoe: Alexandre Muller will win.
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