Europe - Euro

France
25 Jun 2024 12:00
Poland

Prediction:

 

Over 6.5 Corners By France

+110
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France vs Poland Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Edgar Jibran | in Euro Picks

Next Tuesday, June 25th the last round of the EURO 2024 group stages will determine the qualified teams for the round of 16 in group D at 10:00 am Central Time. This group remains as one of the most interesting of the competition even when Poland is already eliminated from the competition, but France must win its match against the Polish squad to try to dethrone Netherlands from the top spot of the group.

With that said, France must show a completely opposite level from the one shown during the first two matches, but it’s necessary to note that the bookmakers’ odds are putting them as big favorites to win this match, apparently not taking into account that the French squad has scored only 1 goal in 2 matches, and it was an own goal during their match against Austria.

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France vs Poland Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
France
France
5 3 1 2 0 1
4
Poland
Poland
1 3 0 1 2 -3

France and Poland Latest Matches

France
France Latest matches
L W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 21, 2024 - Euro

Netherlands
0 :  0
France

Jun 17, 2024 - Euro

Austria
0 :  1
France

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  0
Canada

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  0
Luxembourg

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  2
Chile

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
4 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  0
Canada

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  0
Luxembourg

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  2
Chile

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany

Nov 18, 2023 - Euro

France
14 :  0
Gibraltar

Oct 17, 2023 - International Friendlies

France
4 :  1
Scotland
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 21, 2024 - Euro

Netherlands
0 :  0
France

Jun 17, 2024 - Euro

Austria
0 :  1
France

Nov 21, 2023 - Euro

Greece
2 :  2
France

Oct 13, 2023 - Euro

Netherlands
1 :  2
France

Sep 12, 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  1
France

Jun 16, 2023 - Euro

Gibraltar
0 :  3
France
Poland
Poland Latest matches
W D W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 21, 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  3
Austria

Jun 16, 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

Jun 10, 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  1
Turkey

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
3 :  1
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland

Mar 21, 2024 - Euro

Poland
5 :  1
Estonia
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 21, 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  3
Austria

Jun 16, 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

Jun 10, 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  1
Turkey

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
3 :  1
Ukraine

Mar 21, 2024 - Euro

Poland
5 :  1
Estonia

Nov 21, 2023 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Latvia
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland

Oct 12, 2023 - Euro

Faroe Islands
0 :  2
Poland

Sep 10, 2023 - Euro

Albania
2 :  0
Poland

Jun 20, 2023 - Euro

Moldova
3 :  2
Poland

Mar 24, 2023 - Euro

Czechia
3 :  1
Poland

Dec 4, 2022 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Poland

France against Poland : Head to Head (H2H)

Dec 4, 2022 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Poland

France - Poland: Form Analysis

Looking deeper into both teams’ performances, France has been one of the biggest disappointments after the two first rounds, as they were expected to dominate the group stages without major issues. Most of that expectation was clearly dependent on the offensive line performance, and even when they have very fast and competitive players, they look completely far from their best shape.

Meanwhile, Poland is one of those national teams that are also crossing through a very difficult generational transition, being evident that they don’t have any Robert Lewandowski’s replacement, and now they’re only depending on how strong the associations from the whole team are, and that ineffective associations were the main reasons behind their 1-3 loss against Austria.

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France against Poland Lineups: Starting 11

France

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
M. Maignan
5
J. Kounde
4
D. Upamecano
17
W. Saliba
22
T. Hernandez
8
A. Tchouameni
13
N. Kante
14
A. Rabiot
11
O. Dembele
10
K. Mbappe
25
B. Barcola
26
K. Urbanski
9
R. Lewandowski
20
S. Szymanski
21
N. Zalewski
10
P. Zielinski
8
J. Moder
19
P. Frankowski
14
J. Kiwior
3
P. Dawidowicz
5
J. Bednarek
12
L. Skorupski

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Poland

France & Poland Squad Analysis

The French squad has been clearly showing a big dependence on Kylian Mbappe, because even when he hasn’t scored yet, he’s the only player that has the intention to constantly carry the ball into the most dangerous zones of the pitch, and the only goal scored by France was completely created by him. Additionally, during the match against Netherlands that dependency was more evident than ever, as Griezmann lost several opportunities to score.

On the other hand, Poland is also depending on Zielinski and Piatek when attacking, but they haven’t had any good association with any of the current midfielders that are failing a lot of passes. On the defensive side, they’re also 100% depending on Szcesny’s performance, and even when he’s such a great goalkeeper, if he doesn’t have any support from his defensive line, it’s impossible to keep a clean sheet.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato France
CD Huachipato Poland
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (1 Goals)
France R. Kolo Muani (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (1 Goals) Poland A. Buksa (1 Goals) Poland K. Piatek (1 Goals)
Best assists
France K. Mbappe (1 Assists)
Best assists
Poland P. Zielinski (1 Assists)

France - Poland Key Points

  1. France accumulates a streak of 3 matches in a row without scoring more than 1 goal, trend that must be concerning for Deschamps as the playoffs round is almost starting in the EURO.
  2. Poland has conceded goals in 7 out of their last 10 disputed matches, even so they lost 2 matches in a row in one competition for the first time since the Qatar World Cup.
  3. France must take advantage of N’Golo Kante’s amazing performance, as he’s still the best ball recovering player in the world.
  4. Poland must take advantage of their elimination to give the youngest players like Kacper Urbanski the opportunity to show their quality against a powerful team like France.
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Our France vs Poland Prediction

To conclude, this matchup is going to be the definitive test for France’s capabilities, as they aren’t meeting any of the expectations from the fans with such a concerning lack of effectiveness from Griezmann and Dembele, players whose quality is undeniable, but that need to support Mbappe instead of leaving all the responsibility on him, so the pick for France – Poland is: Over 6.5 Corners by France!

Prediction:

 

Over 6.5 Corners By France

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France vs Poland - Other Interesting Picks

Over 3.5 Total Cards

Odds +100
This is a match in which the pressure of qualifying for France and the general frustation on Poland could generate a very confrontative playstyle, so the Over 3.5 market is providing a great value for the bettors.
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France Wins the First Half

Odds -135
A big obligation for France is to put in front early, so winning the first half is an obligation for them and it's providing a pretty decent odd.
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France vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions

The Italian referee, Marco Guida will be in charge of providing justice and mobility for the second time in this EURO, being necessary to remember that he also was in charge of the Portugal vs. Czech Republic match.
The match will be played in one of the most spectacular stadiums in Germany, the Signal Iduna Park that was rebranded as the BVB Dortmund Stadion for this competition.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

France vs Poland Picks
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