France vs Poland Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Edgar Jibran | in Euro Picks
Next Tuesday, June 25th the last round of the EURO 2024 group stages will determine the qualified teams for the round of 16 in group D at 10:00 am Central Time. This group remains as one of the most interesting of the competition even when Poland is already eliminated from the competition, but France must win its match against the Polish squad to try to dethrone Netherlands from the top spot of the group.
With that said, France must show a completely opposite level from the one shown during the first two matches, but it’s necessary to note that the bookmakers’ odds are putting them as big favorites to win this match, apparently not taking into account that the French squad has scored only 1 goal in 2 matches, and it was an own goal during their match against Austria.
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France vs Poland Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
France and Poland Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 21, 2024 - Euro
Jun 17, 2024 - Euro
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 21, 2024 - Euro
Jun 16, 2024 - Euro
Jun 10, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - Euro
Mar 21, 2024 - Euro
France against Poland : Head to Head (H2H)
Dec 4, 2022 - World Cup
France - Poland: Form Analysis
Looking deeper into both teams’ performances, France has been one of the biggest disappointments after the two first rounds, as they were expected to dominate the group stages without major issues. Most of that expectation was clearly dependent on the offensive line performance, and even when they have very fast and competitive players, they look completely far from their best shape.
Meanwhile, Poland is one of those national teams that are also crossing through a very difficult generational transition, being evident that they don’t have any Robert Lewandowski’s replacement, and now they’re only depending on how strong the associations from the whole team are, and that ineffective associations were the main reasons behind their 1-3 loss against Austria.
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France against Poland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
E. Camavinga
ForwardK. Mbappe
R. Lewandowski
France & Poland Squad Analysis
The French squad has been clearly showing a big dependence on Kylian Mbappe, because even when he hasn’t scored yet, he’s the only player that has the intention to constantly carry the ball into the most dangerous zones of the pitch, and the only goal scored by France was completely created by him. Additionally, during the match against Netherlands that dependency was more evident than ever, as Griezmann lost several opportunities to score.
On the other hand, Poland is also depending on Zielinski and Piatek when attacking, but they haven’t had any good association with any of the current midfielders that are failing a lot of passes. On the defensive side, they’re also 100% depending on Szcesny’s performance, and even when he’s such a great goalkeeper, if he doesn’t have any support from his defensive line, it’s impossible to keep a clean sheet.
France - Poland Key Points
- France accumulates a streak of 3 matches in a row without scoring more than 1 goal, trend that must be concerning for Deschamps as the playoffs round is almost starting in the EURO.
- Poland has conceded goals in 7 out of their last 10 disputed matches, even so they lost 2 matches in a row in one competition for the first time since the Qatar World Cup.
- France must take advantage of N’Golo Kante’s amazing performance, as he’s still the best ball recovering player in the world.
- Poland must take advantage of their elimination to give the youngest players like Kacper Urbanski the opportunity to show their quality against a powerful team like France.
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Our France vs Poland Prediction
To conclude, this matchup is going to be the definitive test for France’s capabilities, as they aren’t meeting any of the expectations from the fans with such a concerning lack of effectiveness from Griezmann and Dembele, players whose quality is undeniable, but that need to support Mbappe instead of leaving all the responsibility on him, so the pick for France – Poland is: Over 6.5 Corners by France!
France vs Poland - Other Interesting Picks
Over 3.5 Total Cards
France Wins the First Half
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France vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions
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