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by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks
After a long and grueling season and two weeks of the NCAA tournament, the National Championship game is finally set between the 1st-seeded Houston Cougars out of the Midwest Region and the 1st-seeded Florida Gators out of the South Region. Let's take a look at the important match statistics and predictions for this National Championship game between the Cougars and the Gators.
Houston enters this game with a record of 35-4. The Cougars beat the Duke Blue Devils in the Final Four on Saturday night by a score of 70-67 to advance to their third National Championship game in school history and first since 1984.
As for Florida, they also enter this game with a record of 35-4. The Gators beat the Auburn Tigers in the Final Four on Saturday by a score of 79-73 to advance to their fourth National Championship game in school history and first since 2007.
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Florida vs Houston Form
Florida and Houston Latest Matches
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Florida - Houston: Form Analysis
Given that this is the National Championship, both Houston and Florida are playing their best basketball coming into this game.
The Gators have won 11 games in a row with their last loss coming against Georgia on February 25th. During the NCAA tournament, the Gators have won their games by an average margin of 11 points per game.
As for Houston, they have won 18 games in a row with their last loss coming against Texas Tech on February 1st. During the NCAA tournament, the Cougars have won their games by an average margin of 13.4 points per game.
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Florida & Houston Squad Analysis
Houston and Florida both have several players who have contributed in big ways throughout the NCAA tournament, but two players have stood out the most, one from each team.
For Florida, their best player has easily been Walter Clayton Jr. He is averaging 24.6 points per game in the tournament, which includes 23 points in the first round, 23 points in the second round, 13 points in the Sweet 16, 30 points in the Elite 8, and 34 points in the Final Four.
For Houston, their best player has been LJ Cryer. He is averaging 18.6 points per game in the tournament, which includes 15 points in the first round, 30 points in the second round, 5 points in the Sweet 16, 17 points in the Elite 8, and 26 points in the Final Four.
Florida - Houston Key Points
- Florida is 2-3 ATS in the tournament
- Houston is 3-1-1 ATS in the tournament
- Houston is 1-0 ATS as an underdog in the tournament
- Houston is 5-2-1 ATS in March
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Our Florida vs Houston Prediction
Similar to Houston's Final Four game against Duke, this will be another game between clashing styles. The Cougars are the elite defensive team, allowing an average of 58.4 points per game in the tournament, while Florida is the elite offensive team, averaging 84.4 points per game in the tournament.
However, just like in the game against Duke, Houston has the defense to slow this game down and should be able to limit Florida offensively. Therefore, because the Cougars' defense has been the best in the country all season, our Florida Gators vs Houston Cougars prediction is Houston ML.Florida vs Houston - Other Interesting Picks
Both Teams Total Points Over 66.5
Our second pick for this National Championship game will target both teams to score over 66.5 points. As good as Florida's offense has been throughout the tournament they are still allowing an average of 73.4 points per game. The Gators have also allowed at least 67 points in all five of their tournament games and this even includes 16th-seeded Norfolk State in the first round, who scored 69 points against them.
As for Houston, they are averaging 72 points per game in the tournament, and have scored at least 67 points in four of their five tournament games. Defensively, the Cougars have only allowed 67 points or more in two of their tournament games but both of these instances were against elite offenses, which Florida has.
We may not see both teams reach 80 points, but we should still see points; therefore, our second Florida Gators vs Houston Cougars prediction is both teams' total points over 66.5.Jackpot Pools
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