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by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks
The first Final Four game set for Saturday will see the 1st-seeded Florida Gators from the West Region take on the 1st-seeded Auburn Tigers from the South Region. Let's take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Gators and Tigers.
Florida enters this game with a record of 34-4. The Gators won the West Region this past Saturday when they beat the Texas Tech Red Raiders by a score of 84-79. Florida had three players score in double figures, including Thomas Haugh, who scored 20 points off the bench, and Walter Clayton Jr., who scored a game-high 30 points while shooting 7 of 14 from the field and 3 of 8 from the three-point line.
As for Auburn, they enter this game with a record of 32-5. The Tigers won the South Region by beating the Michigan State Spartans this past Sunday by a score of 70-64. Auburn had two players score in double figures and was led by Johni Broome, who scored 25 points while shooting 10 of 13 from the field and 2 of 2 from the three-point line.
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Florida vs Auburn Form
Florida and Auburn Latest Matches
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Florida against Auburn : Head to Head (H2H)
Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men
Florida - Auburn: Form Analysis
Seeing that Auburn and Florida have reached the Final Four, they are both in excellent form. The Gators have won their last 10 games in a row, with their last loss coming against the Georgia Bulldogs at the end of February.
During this stretch, Florida won the SEC tournament in dominant fashion and have cruised through the NCAA tournament up to this point.
As for Auburn, they lost some of their form at the end of the regular season, losing two straight games to close out the season. They entered the SEC tournament as the number one seed but were upset by the Tennessee Volunteers in the SEC quarterfinals.
Since that loss, the Tigers are a perfect 4-0 in the NCAA tournament and have won their tournament games by an average margin of 12.8 points per game.
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Florida & Auburn Squad Analysis
When it comes to the top players for Auburn and Florida, two key guys stand out. That being Walter Clayton Jr. for the Gators and Johni Broome for the Tigers. Clayton Jr. averaged 18.1 points per game this season but during the NCAA tournament, he increased this average to 22.3 points per game.
In Florida's first-round game against Norfolk State, Clayton Jr. scored 23 points. In the second-round game against UConn, he also scored 23 points. In the Sweet 16 game against Maryland, Clayton Jr. scored 13 points, and in the Elite 8 game against Texas Tech, he scored 30 points.
As for Broome, he is averaging 18.7 points and 10.9 rebounds per game this season.
In the NCAA tournament, Broome averaged 17.3 points and 13.8 rebounds per game.
Broome started the tournament slowly, scoring 14 points in Auburn's first-round game against Alabama State and just 9 points in their second-round game against Creighton. However, in Auburn's Sweet 16 games against Michigan, Broome scored 22 points, and in Auburn's Elite 8 game, he scored 25 points.
Florida - Auburn Key Points
- Florida is 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games
- Auburn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games
- Florida is allowing 73.5 points per game in the tournament
- Auburn is allowing 65.5 points per game in the tournament
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Our Florida vs Auburn Prediction
It's no surprise to see two SEC teams in this year's Final Four as it has been the best overall conference this entire season. It also makes sense that those two teams are Auburn and Florida as they both have been the best SEC teams this season.
The Tigers and Gators put once in the regular season, a 90-81 win for Florida on the road. However, this game was played in early February, and Saturday's matchup could be a much different story.
Generally known for their scoring, Auburn has taken more of a defensive approach in the NCAA tournament. They are allowing 65.5 points in their four tournament games and no team has scored more than 70 points against them. Florida's offense on the other hand, continues to put up big numbers but they are allowing 73.5 points in their four tournament games, which has resulted in some close calls.
These two teams match-up well against each with exceptional guard play and big men that can dominate the paint. However, because Auburn has Wooden Award Finalist Johni Broome playing at an elite level, our Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers prediction is Auburn ML.Florida vs Auburn - Other Interesting Picks
Johni Broome to score 20+ points
Our second prediction for this game will target Johni Broome from the Auburn Tigers to score 20+ points. Broome has scored 20+ points in two of the four tournament games but both of these instances came in the last two games against quality opponents.
Florida, on the other hand, has struggled to defend forwards/centers in their recent games, allowing Maryland's center to score 27 points in the Sweet 16 and Texas Tech's top two forwards to score a combined 43 points in the Elite 8.
Broome is also widely considered to be the second-best player in the country (behind Duke's Cooper Flagg); therefore, our second Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers prediction is Johni Broome to score 20+ points.
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