Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
3/30/25 09:00
Atalanta

Prediction:

 

Fiorentina win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs in Soccer Picks

Fiorentina and Atalanta are set to clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday in what is expected to be one of the most closely contested fixtures of the Serie A round. Both teams enter the encounter with strong credentials and high stakes, particularly with European qualification places hanging in the balance.

Fiorentina, currently sitting eighth in the Serie A table, have had an inconsistent domestic campaign but have delivered standout performances against elite opposition. Notably, they registered emphatic 3-0 victories over Inter Milan and Juventus earlier in the season, underlining their potential to perform at a high level. Their tactical structure has remained balanced throughout the campaign, with a defense that has been notably solid.

Central to Fiorentina’s defensive stability has been veteran goalkeeper David de Gea, who has brought composure and leadership to the backline. Since joining the club, de Gea has proven pivotal in close contests, offering experience and reliability under pressure. His presence has been instrumental in Fiorentina’s ability to absorb attacking pressure and mount counter-offensives.

On the offensive front, Fiorentina have found their rhythm in recent weeks, scoring 10 goals in their last five league matches. A notable aspect of their attacking play has been their proficiency in earning penalties. With eight penalties awarded this season, the highest in Serie A, Fiorentina have shown a consistent ability to draw fouls in critical areas. This suggests a frontline that is both aggressive and capable of forcing errors in opposition defenses.

Atalanta arrive in Florence following an impressive stretch that reaffirms their status as one of Serie A’s most attacking sides. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Atalanta have combined tactical discipline with creative fluidity. The team has scored 10 goals across their last five matches and remains in contention near the top of the table. Their reputation for aggressive pressing, high-tempo play, and fluid attacking combinations continues to make them one of the league's most dangerous teams.

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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Atalanta
Atalanta
58 30 17 7 6 34
7
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
51 30 15 6 9 17

Fiorentina and Atalanta Latest Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

Mar 13, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Feb 28, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  0
Fiorentina
D W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

Mar 13, 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

Feb 28, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

Feb 16, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  2
Como 1907

Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Genoa

Jan 19, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Torino FC
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Feb 10, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 13, 2025 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
D L W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  4
Atalanta

Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Venezia

Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  5
Atalanta

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  3
Club Brugge

Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Cagliari
D L D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Venezia

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  3
Club Brugge

Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Cagliari

Feb 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
0 :  1
Bologna

Feb 1, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Torino FC
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  4
Atalanta

Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  5
Atalanta

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 8, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  5
Atalanta

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
2 :  2
Atalanta

Jan 25, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Atalanta

Fiorentina against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

50 %

Draw

17 %

Atalanta

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Sep 15, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Jun 2, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Fiorentina

Apr 24, 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  1
Fiorentina

Apr 3, 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 17, 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  2
Atalanta

Apr 17, 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

Fiorentina against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

43
D. De Gea
5
M. Pongracic
18
P. Mari
6
L. Ranieri
2
Dodo
8
R. Mandragora
32
D. Cataldi
44
N. Fagioli
65
F. Parisi
10
A. Gudmundsson
20
M. Kean
11
A. Lookman
32
M. Retegui
17
C. De Ketelaere
77
D. Zappacosta
8
M. Pasalic
15
M. De Roon
16
R. Bellanova
23
S. Kolasinac
4
I. Hien
19
B. Djimsiti
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Atalanta

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Midfielder

E. Bove

A. Colpani

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini

S. Posch

M. Palestra

Forward

G. Scamacca

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Retegui (25 Goals)
Best assists
Germany R. Gosens (7 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (9 Assists)

Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Fiorentina are 2-4-2 in their last 8 games
  2. Atalanta are 5-2-1 in their last 8 games
  3. The Over 2.5 goals is 70% for both teams this season
  4. Fiorentina are 3-2 HU in the last 5 vs. Atalanta
Up to $1500 to bet on Fiorentina - Atalanta! 

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Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Atalanta arrive in Florence following an impressive stretch that reaffirms their status as one of Serie A’s most attacking sides. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Atalanta have combined tactical discipline with creative fluidity. The team has scored 10 goals across their last five matches and remains in contention near the top of the table. Their reputation for aggressive pressing, high-tempo play, and fluid attacking combinations continues to make them one of the league's most dangerous teams.

However, Atalanta’s preparations for this fixture have been hampered by key absences. Star striker Mateo Retegui, who leads Serie A with 22 goals, is ruled out due to a hip injury. His absence significantly reduces Atalanta's cutting edge in the final third. In addition to Retegui, playmaker Charles De Ketelaere, who ranks second in the league for big chances created (11), will have an increased burden to spark the attack amid the squad's injuries.

The midfield will also be weakened with the suspension of Ederson, a key figure in Atalanta’s transitions and defensive cover. Other fitness concerns include Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, Juan Cuadrado, and Stefan Posch, who are all either sidelined or doubtful ahead of the match.

Fiorentina will aim to exploit Atalanta’s high defensive line through quick transitions and pace on the wings. With strong home form and a confident squad, they will likely seek to control possession and force Atalanta to adjust to a less familiar tempo. Atalanta, despite injuries, remain dangerous through their system and coaching, though the loss of their top scorer and key midfielder will test their depth and adaptability.

Given the stakes and the conditions surrounding both squads, Sunday’s fixture is shaping up to be a competitive and tactically rich encounter. While Atalanta’s recent form gives them a marginal advantage, Fiorentina’s home performances and structured gameplay balance the equation, setting the stage for an evenly matched contest with implications for the Serie A standings and European qualification hopes. Our prediction for Fiorentina vs. Atalanta: Fiorentina to win.

Prediction:

 

Fiorentina win both halves

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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Picks
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