Italy - Serie A
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by Erik Gibbs in Serie A Picks
Fiorentina and Atalanta are set to clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday in what is expected to be one of the most closely contested fixtures of the Serie A round. Both teams enter the encounter with strong credentials and high stakes, particularly with European qualification places hanging in the balance.
Fiorentina, currently sitting eighth in the Serie A table, have had an inconsistent domestic campaign but have delivered standout performances against elite opposition. Notably, they registered emphatic 3-0 victories over Inter Milan and Juventus earlier in the season, underlining their potential to perform at a high level. Their tactical structure has remained balanced throughout the campaign, with a defense that has been notably solid.
Central to Fiorentina’s defensive stability has been veteran goalkeeper David de Gea, who has brought composure and leadership to the backline. Since joining the club, de Gea has proven pivotal in close contests, offering experience and reliability under pressure. His presence has been instrumental in Fiorentina’s ability to absorb attacking pressure and mount counter-offensives.
On the offensive front, Fiorentina have found their rhythm in recent weeks, scoring 10 goals in their last five league matches. A notable aspect of their attacking play has been their proficiency in earning penalties. With eight penalties awarded this season, the highest in Serie A, Fiorentina have shown a consistent ability to draw fouls in critical areas. This suggests a frontline that is both aggressive and capable of forcing errors in opposition defenses.
Atalanta arrive in Florence following an impressive stretch that reaffirms their status as one of Serie A’s most attacking sides. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Atalanta have combined tactical discipline with creative fluidity. The team has scored 10 goals across their last five matches and remains in contention near the top of the table. Their reputation for aggressive pressing, high-tempo play, and fluid attacking combinations continues to make them one of the league's most dangerous teams.
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
64 | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 36 |
|
8
|
56 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
Fiorentina and Atalanta Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 13, 2025 - Conference League
Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League
Feb 28, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 13, 2025 - Conference League
Feb 28, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 16, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 19, 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 6, 2025 - Conference League
Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 10, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 26, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 13, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 15, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Feb 1, 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2025 - Serie A
Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League
Jan 25, 2025 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 15, 2024 - Serie A
Jun 2, 2024 - Serie A
Apr 24, 2024 - Coppa Italia
Apr 3, 2024 - Coppa Italia
Sep 17, 2023 - Serie A
Apr 17, 2023 - Serie A
Players list
D. De Gea
DefenderM. Pongracic
P. Mari
L. Ranieri
P. Comuzzo
M. Folorunsho
MidfielderR. Mandragora
D. Cataldi
A. Richardson
ForwardL. Beltran
N. Zaniolo
M. Carnesecchi
DefenderB. Djimsiti
I. Hien
S. Kolasinac
R. Bellanova
M. Ruggeri
MidfielderM. De Roon
J. Cuadrado
ForwardM. Brescianini
L. Samardzic
D. Maldini
Substitutes
P. Terracciano
T. Martinelli
DefenderM. Moreno
P. Comuzzo
A. Richardson
M. Folorunsho
Y. Adli
N. Zaniolo
C. Ndour
ForwardL. Beltran
F. Rossi
R. Patricio
DefenderT. Del Lungo
J. Cuadrado
M. Ruggeri
L. Samardzic
M. Brescianini
Sulemana
ForwardD. Maldini
Missing players
E. Bove
A. Colpani
O. Kossounou
G. Scalvini
S. Posch
M. Palestra
ForwardG. Scamacca
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Atalanta
M. Kean
(20 Goals)
M. Retegui
(26 Goals)
R. Gosens
(7 Assists)
C. De Ketelaere
(9 Assists)
Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Points
- Fiorentina are 2-4-2 in their last 8 games
- Atalanta are 5-2-1 in their last 8 games
- The Over 2.5 goals is 70% for both teams this season
- Fiorentina are 3-2 HU in the last 5 vs. Atalanta
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Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction
Atalanta arrive in Florence following an impressive stretch that reaffirms their status as one of Serie A’s most attacking sides. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Atalanta have combined tactical discipline with creative fluidity. The team has scored 10 goals across their last five matches and remains in contention near the top of the table. Their reputation for aggressive pressing, high-tempo play, and fluid attacking combinations continues to make them one of the league's most dangerous teams.
However, Atalanta’s preparations for this fixture have been hampered by key absences. Star striker Mateo Retegui, who leads Serie A with 22 goals, is ruled out due to a hip injury. His absence significantly reduces Atalanta's cutting edge in the final third. In addition to Retegui, playmaker Charles De Ketelaere, who ranks second in the league for big chances created (11), will have an increased burden to spark the attack amid the squad's injuries.
The midfield will also be weakened with the suspension of Ederson, a key figure in Atalanta’s transitions and defensive cover. Other fitness concerns include Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, Juan Cuadrado, and Stefan Posch, who are all either sidelined or doubtful ahead of the match.
Fiorentina will aim to exploit Atalanta’s high defensive line through quick transitions and pace on the wings. With strong home form and a confident squad, they will likely seek to control possession and force Atalanta to adjust to a less familiar tempo. Atalanta, despite injuries, remain dangerous through their system and coaching, though the loss of their top scorer and key midfielder will test their depth and adaptability.
Given the stakes and the conditions surrounding both squads, Sunday’s fixture is shaping up to be a competitive and tactically rich encounter. While Atalanta’s recent form gives them a marginal advantage, Fiorentina’s home performances and structured gameplay balance the equation, setting the stage for an evenly matched contest with implications for the Serie A standings and European qualification hopes. Our prediction for Fiorentina vs. Atalanta: Fiorentina to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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