Everton vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Everton
4/5/25 07:30
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

Arsenal can keep their slim Premier League title hopes alive by taking three points from their Saturday lunchtime trip to Everton. Mikel Arteta's men have been far from convincing in recent weeks, and although makeshift forward Mikel Merino has weighed in with goals in each of their last two games, it is clear to see that the Gunners are crying out for a top class striker to spearhead their attack. Last time out, the Gunners edged to a nervy 2-1 victory over Fulham, with Merino and the returning Bukayo Saka on the scoresheet. 

Despite Wednesday's narrow derby defeat to Liverpool, it has been a highly encouraging start to 2025 for Everton. Returning manager David Moyes has moved the team comfortably clear of any relegation trouble. Their form at Goodison has been excellent since Moyes took charge in January and the Toffees are now unbeaten in their last five games on home soil. 

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Everton vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
61 30 17 10 3 30
15
Everton
Everton
34 30 7 13 10 -5

Everton and Arsenal Latest Matches

Everton
Everton Latest matches
W D D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Everton

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Everton

Feb 22, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Everton
W W L D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

Feb 22, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

Feb 12, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Liverpool

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Everton
0 :  2
Bournemouth

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
4 :  0
Leicester

Jan 19, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  2
Tottenham
L W W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Everton

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Everton

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Everton

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Everton

Jan 4, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Everton
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
D W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

Feb 22, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  1
West Ham

Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Arsenal

Feb 5, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Girona
1 :  2
Arsenal

Everton against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

17 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Everton

May 19, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Everton

Sep 17, 2023 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 1, 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Everton

Feb 4, 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  0
Arsenal

May 22, 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Everton

Arsenal v Everton last Lineups

Everton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Pickford
15
J. O'Brien
6
J. Tarkowski
32
J. Branthwaite
19
V. Mykolenko
27
I. Gueye
37
J. Garner
11
J. Harrison
16
A. Doucoure
24
C. Alcaraz
14
Beto
11
G. Martinelli
23
M. Merino
53
E. Nwaneri
41
D. Rice
5
T. Partey
8
M. Odegaard
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Everton
Everton
Midfielder

D. McNeil

O. Mangala

Forward

D. Calvert-Lewin

I. Ndiaye

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

R. Calafiori

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Everton
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Beto (7 Goals)
Senegal I. Ndiaye (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (15 Goals)
Best assists
England D. McNeil (3 Assists)
England A. Young (3 Assists)
Senegal I. Gueye (3 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)

Everton and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Everton
Everton
Arsenal
Arsenal
23%
Victories
57%
43%
Draw
33%
33%
Defeats
10%
2.3
Total goals per match
2.67
1.07
Goals scored per match
1.83
1.23
Goals conceded per match
0.83
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
Under 2.5
60%
43%
BTTS
53%
30%
No goals conceded
37%

Everton - Arsenal Key Points

  1. There have been under 2.5 goals in each of Everton's last 4 games
  2. Arsenal have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 Premier League games
  3. 3 of Everton's last 4 games have finished 1-1
  4. There have been under 2.5 goals in each of Arsenal's last 5 Premier League away games
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Our Everton vs Arsenal Prediction

Since David Moyes returned to the Everton dugout, the Toffees have become extremely hard to beat, so despite Arsenal's superior quality and strong recent form, we think the home side will do enough to secure a point. In addition, both of these sides have been rock solid defensively over the last few weeks, so we are expecting this to be a low scoring affair. There is value in backing the 0-0 at 8.00, but we are taking the shorter odds of 3.50 on the game finishing 0-0 or 1-1. 

Our prediction for Everton vs Arsenal is: Draw and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Everton vs Arsenal Picks
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