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by Paul Tamayo | in NBA Picks
The Denver Nuggets (44-27) visit the Houston Rockets (46-25) on Sunday, March 23, 2025, at the Toyota Center.
MVP frontrunner Nikola Jokic has missed the last three games due to an ankle injury. In that span, the Nuggets' offensive rating has gone down to 112.4, a full seven-point decrease from their season average of 119.9.
Jokic is again sitting out against the Rockets, spelling more trouble for the Nuggets. That will be a triple-double production of 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists gone from Denver's books.
Meanwhile, the Rockets are riding a momentum of nine consecutive wins. Their offense has been more efficient in that span, increasing their offensive rating from 114.6 to 122.5. Plus, they just got Amen Thompson back from a six-game injury layoff. Thompson immediately produced 18 points, 9 rebounds, 5 assists, and 7 steals in their most recent win against the Miami Heat.
In their first matchup, the Rockets hammered out a 128-108 victory over the Nuggets. Jokic also sat out that game, giving us an indication of how much the Nuggets need their superstar's all-around brilliance. Houston has the upper hand in this matchup, especially with their offense humming to a fine tune.
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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
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2
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0.639 | 72 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
3
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0.616 | 73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
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6/6 (100%)
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3/6 (50%)
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Denver Nuggets against Houston Rockets : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Players list


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Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets Key Points
- The Nuggets are missing Nikola Jokic.
- The Rockets won the first matchup against the Nuggets, 128-108.
- The Nuggets only have a 111.2 offensive rating without Nikola Jokic.
- The Rockets are riding a nine-game winning streak.
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Our Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Nikola Jokic did not play in the first game between these two teams, resulting in a 128-108 loss for the Nuggets. Denver won't have Jokic again in the second matchup. Without Jokic on the lineup, the team's offensive rating goes down from 119.9 to 111.2.
On the other hand, the Rockets' offense has been superb in their current nine-game winning streak. Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets match is: Rockets (-7.5) cover the spread.Grab an extra $200 for your Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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