Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
A compelling +190 underdog, Stefanos Tsitsipas eyes his third top-10 win this year against Daniil Medvedev in the fourth round of the 2026 Shanghai Masters.
Current Form:
Stefanos Tsitsipas advanced to the fourth round of the 2026 Shanghai Masters after taking out world No.10 Taylor Fritz. Tsitsipas won 80 percent of his first serves and broke Fritz twice to earn his second top-10 win this year.
After his controversial disqualification in the semifinal of the China Open, Daniil Medvedev bounced back with consecutive victories over Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 and Dalibor Svrcina 6-2, 6-3 to reach the fourth round. Medvedev, the 2026 Champion at Hangzhou, is 9-1 in the Asian swing of the ATP Tour.
The Matchup: Medvedev is 10-5 vs. Tsitsipas in their head-to-head series, but the Greek scored a 6-3, 6-4 sweep in their recent meeting in Qatar earlier this year.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 8, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Daniil Medvedev against Stefanos Tsitsipas : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Feb 18, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Oct 9, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 28, 2023 - ATP Vienna
May 20, 2023 - ATP Italian Open
Aug 20, 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jan 28, 2022 - ATP Australian Open
Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev is 32-9 on hard courts in 2026
- Daniil Medvedev is 32-9 on hard courts in 2026
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is 21-12 on hard courts in 2026
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-4 vs. top-10 in 2026
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction
Key Stats: Stefanos Tsitsipas has conceded one service game in this tournament, saving 11 of 12 break points while winning 81 percent of his first serves.
Daniil Medvedev has already dropped 3 service games, winning 84 percent of first serves but just landing 59 percent of these balls.
What to Expect: Tsitsipas hacks out a close win over Medvedev. Tsitsipas’s serves will play a crucial role in this match. If he can hold 100 percent of his service games as he did in their last face-off in Dubai, Tsitsipas has a clear path to upsetting the current world No.6. Medvedev has a formidable service game, but he is far from unbreakable since he’s just landing under 60 percent of his first balls.
Fearless Forecast: Stefanos Tsitsipas wins 4-6, 7-6, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Daniil Medvedev: Stefanos Tsitsipas wins
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
