Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 9 Russia
Daniil Medvedev
4/10/25 10:15
ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Over 22.5 Games

+100
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks

Daniil Medvedev of Russia will attempt to take his campaign into the quarterfinal round as he faces Alex De Minaur of Australia in the third round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Open on Thursday.

Medvedev is through to the round of 16 in Monte Carlo after outgunning Alexandre Muller of France 7-6(6) 5-7 6-2. The Russian kept his composure despite blowing a chance to sweep Muller in the second set, holding all his serves and breaking twice in the deciding set to fend off Muller’s upset bid. The win means Medvedev matched his third-round appearance last year in Monaco and he will have a chance to reach his first quarterfinal in this tourney for the first time since 2023 if he hurdles De Minaur.

De Minaur aims to reach the Monte Carlo Masters quarterfinals for the second straight year in his upcoming battle with Medvedev, whom he trails 3-7 in their head-to-head series. The Aussie advanced to the third round with a testy three-set victories over Tomas Machac of Czech Republic 3-6 6-0 6-3. De Minaur earned most of his points from his serves, winning 33 points off his first serves and 20 points off his second. He also scored 27 return points, which led to four breakpoint conversions.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Form

Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexandre Muller

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Jaume Munar

Mar 15, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Mar 13, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Arthur Fils
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Mar 12, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Tommy Paul
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Machac
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Joao Fonseca

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

Mar 12, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Mar 10, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Daniil Medvedev against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Daniil Medvedev

50 %

Alex De Minaur

50 %

Nov 12, 2024 - ATP Finals

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Jun 3, 2024 - ATP French Open

Alex De Minaur
3 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Sep 30, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Sep 4, 2023 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
3 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Aug 11, 2023 - Toronto, Canada

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Nov 2, 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Compare Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev defeated Alexandre Muller of France 7-6(6) 5-7 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  2. Daniil Medvedev owns a 90-48 record on clay courts.
  3. Alex De Minaur defeated Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  4. Alex De Minaur trails Daniil Medvedev 3-7 in their head-to-head series.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Friday’s third-round battle will mark the 11th chapter of the rivalry between Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev leads the series 7-3, but De Minaur won the first and only clay-court battle 4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2024 French Open. Match Stats forecast does not provide a clear-cut favorite in this match, with De Minaur sitting at a 54 percent win probability.

We think this has the potential to go the distance since 5 of their 10 meetings needed extra sets to decide a winner. De Minaur has held 92 percent of his serves in the past two matches, while Medvedev has created and converted more breakpoint opportunities at 14-30. This is going to be another battle of attrition.

Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev: Over 22.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Over 22.5 Games

+100
$1500 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Picks