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Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
4/16/25 21:00
Sacramento Kings

Prediction:

 

Under 216.5

-126
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The NBA Play-In Tournament continues with a crucial Western Conference matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Sacramento Kings. With both teams fighting to keep their seasons alive, this game carries major playoff implications. While neither squad enters the game with much momentum, there's still plenty of intrigue—especially given the recent shakeups both franchises have experienced.

Dallas has had a turbulent finish to the season, winning just one of their last five games. To make matters worse, they're entering the play-in round without star guard Kyrie Irving, who suffered a season-ending knee injury. That loss casts a shadow over the Mavericks' postseason hopes, as Irving's leadership and scoring would've been vital in a single-elimination setting. Brandon Williams is also listed as questionable, adding more uncertainty to Dallas's rotation.

Sacramento finished just ahead of Dallas with a 40-42 record, earning home-court advantage for this matchup. The Kings swept the regular season series against the Mavericks, winning all three meetings—one of which was a blowout in March. Despite the departure of longtime cornerstone De'Aaron Fox in a blockbuster three-team trade, the Kings have remained competitive thanks to the addition of Zach LaVine, who has brought veteran scoring and athleticism to the backcourt.

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Form

Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings Latest Matches

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
97 :  132
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
102 :  124
Dallas Mavericks

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
112 :  97
Dallas Mavericks

Apr 5, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
104 :  135
LA Clippers

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
91 :  114
LA Clippers

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
118 :  120
Dallas Mavericks
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
102 :  124
Dallas Mavericks

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
112 :  97
Dallas Mavericks

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
118 :  120
Dallas Mavericks

Mar 31, 2025 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
113 :  109
Dallas Mavericks

Mar 21, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
117 :  123
Dallas Mavericks

Mar 16, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
130 :  125
Dallas Mavericks
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
97 :  132
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 5, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
104 :  135
LA Clippers

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
91 :  114
LA Clippers

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
120 :  119
Chicago Bulls

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
101 :  92
Orlando Magic

Mar 25, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
113 :  128
New York Knicks
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  109
Sacramento Kings

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  100
Sacramento Kings

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  116
Sacramento Kings

Apr 7, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  117
Detroit Pistons

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
120 :  113
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
125 :  102
Charlotte Hornets
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  109
Sacramento Kings

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  100
Sacramento Kings

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  116
Sacramento Kings

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
107 :  128
Sacramento Kings

Mar 25, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
121 :  105
Sacramento Kings

Mar 24, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
113 :  95
Sacramento Kings
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 7, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  117
Detroit Pistons

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
120 :  113
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
125 :  102
Charlotte Hornets

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
111 :  116
Washington Wizards

Mar 31, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
109 :  111
Indiana Pacers

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
91 :  121
Orlando Magic

Dallas Mavericks against Sacramento Kings : Head to Head (H2H)

Dallas Mavericks

33 %

Sacramento Kings

67 %

Mar 3, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
122 :  98
Dallas Mavericks

Feb 10, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
129 :  128
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 30, 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
100 :  110
Sacramento Kings

Mar 29, 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
107 :  103
Sacramento Kings

Mar 26, 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
132 :  96
Sacramento Kings

Jan 27, 2024 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
120 :  115
Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks - Sacramento Kings Key Points

  1. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. Southwest Division teams
  2. The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Western Conference teams
  3. The Kings are 7-0 SU in their last 7 home games vs. Southwest Division teams
  4. The Mavs are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games vs. Pacific Division teams

Our Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

Both teams have key absences heading into this do-or-die game. The Kings will be without Malik Monk and Jake LaRavia, both sidelined due to injury. However, Sacramento still boasts more depth overall, and that could be a deciding factor as rotations tighten in playoff-type intensity.

While the Mavericks have star power in Luka Dončić and hope to ride a standout performance from forward Anthony Davis, who needs to take over offensively in Irving's absence, the Kings appear more balanced. Sacramento's home-court advantage, combined with their dominance over Dallas during the regular season, gives them a slight upper hand.

In a matchup where both teams have struggled down the stretch, Sacramento's consistency in head-to-head meetings and deeper bench could be the difference. Still, with players like Dončić and Davis capable of putting up massive games, Dallas can't be counted out. Expect a hard-fought battle where postseason grit and timely execution will decide who moves on. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks: Kings to win.

Prediction:

 

Under 216.5

-126
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Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Picks