2024 Tour de France Picks & Predictions
Find our free prediction on the winner of the 2024 Tour de France, as well as our experts' predictions on all the stages of the Tour this year. Lots of cycling information for your sports betting this tour!
Format and Prediction for the 2024 Tour de France
Do you like betting on cycling? Is cycling your passion? Then get your predictions ready for the 2024 Tour de France! From June 29 to July 21, the best cyclists on the planet will traverse France in quest of the yellow jersey.
After the recent crowning of the Dane Jonas Vingegaard last year, competitors like Pogacar, Roglic, and Evenepoel have set a rendezvous and will battle it out until the end in this 111th edition of the great race.
But concretely, who is the favorite for the 2024 Tour de France? How can you accurately predict the stages of the Tour? What is the route? Who can win today's stage? We tell you everything on our page 100% dedicated to the predictions of the Tour de France.
Winner Prediction: Who will win the 2024 Tour de France?
After their impressive fall during the Tour of the Basque Country, the main contenders for the final victory of the 2024 Tour de France suffered severe injuries, which may jeopardize their participation in the Grand Loop this year. Not present during this fall, Tadej Pogacar is therefore the only major favorite spared. Primoz Roglic and Remco Evenepoel have a great chance of participating in the TDF 2024 (albeit with impaired preparation), but doubt looms for Jonas Vingegaard, the double titleholder. Vingegaard is one of the big favorites for this Tour de France 2024, but if he participates, he might not be in great shape.
Therefore, the formidable Tadej Pogacar, winner of the Tour in 2020 and 2021, gives the most assurance for your Tour de France 2024 prediction. The Slovenian has solid resources to claim with his team UAE Team Emirates. Accompanied by great talents (Adam Yates, Juan Ayuso, Joao Almeida ...), the young prodigy should once again thrill spectators on the roads of the Tour. Winner of the Tour of Catalonia earlier in the year, Pogacar is to be favored in your bets. Our Tour de France 2024 prediction: Tadej Pogacar as the winner!
Tour de France Prediction - Odds for the favorites of the Tour de France 2024
- Tadej Pogacar -240
- Jonas Vingegaard +240
- Remco Evenepoel +1600
- Juan Ayuso +3000
- Primoz Roglic +4000
- Carlos Rodriguez +6500
- Joao Almeida +10000
- Adam Yates +10000
- Mikel Landa +20000
- Felix Gall +30000
Odds sourced from www.draftkings.com. Take advantage of the nice bonus offered by these sportsbooks in November 2024 to bet on the Tour de France.
Exclusive BetMGM Bonus!Tour de France 2024 Course: The Detailed Route
The Tour de France 2024 offers an ideal course for sports betting. Crossing France, after a start in Italy, the Grand Tour proposes 21 stages each more interesting than the last. A special feature this year: given the Olympic Games taking place in Paris during this period, the finish of the Tour de France 2024 will not be on the Champs-Élysées as every year, but in Nice.
In this TDF 2024, there are a total of 8 flat stages, 4 hilly stages, 7 mountain stages (including 4 with an altitude finish), 2 individual time trial stages, and 2 rest days. This variety offers something for every cycling enthusiast, allowing a chance for all types of riders to shine on their bikes.
Sign Up With CaesarsBeginner Bettors - How does the Tour de France work?
The Tour de France is a cycling race organized each summer in France. Divided into 21 stages, it sees the world's best riders attempting to win one or more stages, wear the yellow jersey of leader, attempt to win the points classification, or the final overall classification of this Tour de France (chrono).
For three weeks, all eyes of the world are turned towards the most beautiful landscapes of France: mountains, plains, massifs, cities... a course that demands a wide range of skills from the different competitors. At the end of the 21 stages of the race, the rider who finishes with the best overall time is declared the winner of the Tour de France.
Tour de France Ranking: How is it Calculated?
On the Tour de France, several classifications exist, but the one that is of considerable importance is the individual ranking. This is the one that determines the yellow jersey of the race, and the final winner.
This individual classification is determined by the accumulation of times achieved by each rider during the different stages of the race. At the end of the event, the one who finishes the Tour in the shortest time is declared the winner of the Tour de France.
Besides this individual classification, note that a points classification exists and awards the green jersey. It rewards the rider most often placed at the front at the end of the stages.
There is also the best climber's classification, with its famous polka-dot jersey, which rewards the best rider in the various ascents. On the different mountain passes of the route, points are awarded to the first riders to arrive at the summit, depending on the category of the climb and their order of arrival (points are collected up to the 8th arriving in case of an out-of-category climb).
Finally, be aware that a white jersey also exists on the Tour de France and rewards the rider aged 25 or under who is best placed in the general classification, as well as a red bib that rewards the rider deemed the most combative of the previous stage. A team classification is also established, cumulating the times of all the riders of a formation.
How to Place Reliable Predictions on the Tour de France?
To predict the Tour de France like an expert, you must apply good practices throughout the race. Here are the pillars on which our cycling specialists base themselves during each stage of the Grand Tour:
- Take into account the composition of the stage
- Take into account the weather conditions
- Take into account the location of the stage
- Take into account the different rankings
- Take into account the last stage of the riders
By considering these 5 parameters of a stage of the Tour de France, your analysis will be better and your chances of winning your bet at the same time. Consult the following paragraphs for further explanations.
Take into account the composition of the stage
To accurately predict a stage of the Tour de France, the first thing to do is... to know this stage. Don't get caught out, and don't bet on the best rider on paper: the Pogacars and other big names are not going to win all the stages of the Tour!
You absolutely must know if the stage of the day is a mountain stage, a flat stage, a hilly stage, or even an individual time trial. This will give you an indication of the riders most likely to shine (a sprinter will not be able to do much on a mountain stage, when he will be at an advantage on the flat).
Take into account the weather conditions
In addition to knowing the nature of the stage of the day, you must also consider the announced weather conditions. Is rain expected? Are high temperatures expected? What is the air quality if the riders have to pass through a city? So many questions that need to be answered to give you every chance of success.
If, for example, a thunderstorm is announced, or even strong gusts of wind, be wary because accidents can occur, just as a certain caution on the part of the announced favorite riders. This weather has already played tricks on the various cyclists on the Grand Tour. As well as on bettors.
Take into account the location of the stage
The third criterion to analyze for a good prediction of a stage: the location of today's race. Here, it is especially historical data that you need to seek. Be interested not only in French riders (are they native to the region, in this case, expect a more than certain attack), but also in the performance of each one in the location.
A rider who, for example, won a similar stage on a past Tour de France, and in the same department, should be followed with the greatest attention. This data is really to be taken into account daily.
Exclusive BetMGM Bonus!Take into account the different rankings
Fourth advice: take into account the different rankings in progress on the Tour de France. Beyond the individual general classification, which remains the most important, take an interest in the points classification, the best climber, the best young rider and the team classification. They will systematically give you an indication of the stakes for each rider, and therefore their motivation/necessity to perform on the stage of the day.
For example, if a rider is in the running for the polka-dot jersey (best climber), expect him to be in the battle if the stage of the day consists of several passes. In the same spirit, follow closely the sprinters well placed in the points classification if the stage of the day is rather flat. They will all have an increased willingness to succeed.
Don't forget that on certain stages, the favorites for the final victory of the Tour de France will mainly seek not to lose time on their main competitors. The cyclists to follow will then be those who have a supreme interest in placing themselves on the day's route.
Take into account the last stage of the riders
Finally, you must also take into account the very last stage completed by the riders on whom you want to bet. Have they been called upon more than expected? Have they, on the contrary, contented themselves with maintaining their lead in the standings without drawing too much from their physical reserves? In short: are they fresh or rather physically affected?
By finding a first answer to this question, you will always see more clearly the capabilities of the day of the riders who interest you. Never forget it before predicting a stage of the Tour 2024.
Sign Up With CaesarsThings to avoid for your predictions on the Tour de France
To not weaken your chances of succeeding in your predictions on the Tour de France 2024, know that there are a few pitfalls to avoid when betting. Here, according to our cycling specialists, is what you should not do for your Tour de France prediction:
- Not studying the stage
- Betting solely on the prestige of a rider
- Not taking into account the composition of cycling teams
- Not being interested in the stakes of the stage
- Betting solely on the small odds at sportsbooks
- Taking advantage of boosted odds without having done any analysis
By avoiding these 6 pitfalls while following the 5 previously delivered tips, you should thus optimize your chances of success in your sports bets on the Tour de France 2024. Not to be underestimated!
A FanDuel Bonus AwaitsIn short: How to accurately predict the Tour de France?
In summary, it is imperative to know each stage in detail before predicting a day of the Tour de France. If determining the final winner involves a certain logic (complete palette, maximum support of teammate riders within a team, experience of the race...), predicting the winner of a daily stage remains difficult each year on the Grand Tour.
In this measure, do not hesitate for a single moment to follow the daily predictions of our cycling specialists. For each stage, they deliver their feelings and their opinions on the potential winner of the day. It's up to you to take advantage of it, to succeed in a maximum of sports bets with the different online sportsbooks. And if you like sports in general, also check out all of our sports predictions, across all sports.
