Europe - Euro

Croatia
24 Jun 2024 15:00
Italy

Prediction:

 

Total Italy Corners - Under 4.5

-110
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Croatia vs Italy Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Edgar Jibran | in Euro Picks

One of the most expected confrontations of the EURO 2024 group stage corresponds to the match between Croatia and Italy that will take place next Monday, June 24th at 01:00 pm Central Time, and as expected, this match will define the immediate future of both teams in the Group B, so a great spectacle is expected to be performed by them as they battle to survive in the competition.

In this regard, Croatia is the team that has disappointed after the two first rounds, so they’ve a big obligation of showing a more efficient and equilibrated performance to ratify themselves as one of the current best European national teams, but it for sure won’t be easy against the current champions that have such a great defensive line.

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Croatia vs Italy Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Italy
Italy
4 3 1 1 1 0
3
Croatia
Croatia
2 3 0 2 1 -3

Croatia and Italy Latest Matches

Croatia
Croatia Latest matches
D W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Croatia
2 :  2
Albania

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Spain
3 :  0
Croatia

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Portugal
1 :  2
Croatia

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Croatia
3 :  0
North Macedonia

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  4
Croatia

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
0 :  0
Croatia
D W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2024 - Euro

Croatia
2 :  2
Albania

Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies

Croatia
3 :  0
North Macedonia

Nov 21, 2023 - Euro

Croatia
1 :  0
Armenia

Oct 12, 2023 - Euro

Croatia
0 :  1
Turkey

Sep 8, 2023 - Euro

Croatia
5 :  0
Latvia

Jun 18, 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Croatia
0 :  0
Spain
L W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Spain
3 :  0
Croatia

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Portugal
1 :  2
Croatia

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  4
Croatia

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
0 :  0
Croatia

Nov 18, 2023 - Euro

Latvia
0 :  2
Croatia

Oct 15, 2023 - Euro

Wales
2 :  1
Croatia
Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 20, 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Albania

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Turkey

Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Italy
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 15, 2024 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Albania

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
0 :  0
Turkey

Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Ecuador

Nov 17, 2023 - Euro

Italy
5 :  2
North Macedonia

Oct 14, 2023 - Euro

Italy
4 :  0
Malta
W D L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 20, 2024 - Euro

Spain
1 :  0
Italy

Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Italy

Nov 20, 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
0 :  0
Italy

Oct 17, 2023 - Euro

England
3 :  1
Italy

Sep 9, 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Italy

Jun 18, 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  3
Italy

Croatia - Italy: Form Analysis

Looking deeper into Croatia’s performance, it must be highlighted that Croatia had such a dominant performance against Albania during the start of the second half, performance that even could be compared to the one they had during the last 2 World Cups. However, they lost that momentum during the last instances of the match, and allowed a goal in the last minutes, so even if they win, they depend on the outcome between Spain and Albania.

Meanwhile, Italy doesn’t look as a big contender to win the EURO championship for second edition in a row as they don’t really have an effective offensive line that could provide them the necessary tools to correctly emulate the Catenaccio that has been the Italian sign for decades, and that could be ratified with the streak of 7 matches in a row without scoring more than 2 goals per match.

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Croatia against Italy Lineups: Starting 11

Croatia

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
D. Livakovic
2
J. Stanisic
6
J. Sutalo
3
M. Pongracic
4
J. Gvardiol
10
L. Modric
11
M. Brozovic
8
M. Kovacic
25
L. Sucic
9
A. Kramaric
15
M. Pasalic
19
M. Retegui
3
F. Dimarco
10
L. Pellegrini
11
G. Raspadori
8
Jorginho
18
N. Barella
13
M. Darmian
5
R. Calafiori
23
A. Bastoni
2
G. Di Lorenzo
1
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Italy

Missing players

Croatia
Croatia
Midfielder

N. Vlasic

Italy
Italy

Croatia & Italy Squad Analysis

Having said that, it’s also necessary to remark that Croatia is also in a generational transition right now, and even when Perisic and Modric still have such an amazing quality, it’s undeniable that they’re most likely disputing the last continental championship under the national team wear. However, there are some players like Luka Sucic that look as strong candidates to convert into the next generational leaders of this team.

On Italy’s case, the most valuable player of the first two rounds was Gianluigi Donnarumma, goalkeeper that has only allowed 1 goal per match against Albania and Spain, and if it wasn’t for him, the Italian squad could be already eliminated from the championship. Additionally, the best line so far from this team is the defensive one, having very good performances from Dimarco, Bastoni and Di Lorenzo, players that also have a good offensive projection.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Croatia
CD Huachipato Italy
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Kramaric (1 Goals)
Croatia L. Modric (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy N. Barella (1 Goals) Italy A. Bastoni (1 Goals) Italy M. Zaccagni (1 Goals)
Best assists
Croatia A. Budimir (1 Assists)
Best assists
Italy L. Pellegrini (1 Assists)
Italy R. Calafiori (1 Assists)

Croatia - Italy Key Points

  1. Croatia accumulates a streak of 3 matches in a row receiving at least 1 goal per match, showing that their defensive line is really missing players like Vida.
  2. Italy lost their streak of 7 matches in a row without losing after their 1-0 defeat against Spain, outcome that demonstrates that they aren’t ready to conquer their second consecutive EURO.
  3. Croatia surprisingly has never lost a match against Italy, nonetheless the outcome during their last 3 confrontations in the EURO has been the same, 1-1.
  4. Italy must try to take advantage of the fact that Croatia doesn’t longer have such an effective forward like Mandzukic in their lineup to seal their qualification to the round of 16.
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Our Croatia vs Italy Prediction

In conclusion, this match is going to be a really important test for both national teams, because even when Italy has a little advantage as they were able to defeat Albania, Croatia is definitely going to show all their offensive capabilities to try to ensure their qualification to the next round, so the pick for Croatia – Italy is: Italy Total Corners – Under 4.5!

Prediction:

 

Total Italy Corners - Under 4.5

-110
$150 offered for betting!

Croatia vs Italy - Other Interesting Picks

Under 2.5 Goals

Odds -115
Both teams' profiles suggest that this is going to be a very centralized match with limited clear goal opportunities, because even when Croatia most likely will take the offensive initiative, it's a fact that Italy isn't going to change their defensive dependence.
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First Half: Tie

Odds +100
The first half is expected to be a tactical confrontation between these teams, so there are big chances that the first half outcome is a tie without any scored goals.
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Croatia vs Italy match : Frequently asked questions

The referee for this match will be Danny Makkelie, and he's expected to have such a great performance as the Dutch is one of the most experienced referees in Europe.
The match will take place in the Red Bull Arena, stadium that was renamed simply as Leipzig Stadium according to the UEFA rules for this competition.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Croatia vs Italy Picks
Up to $150 to bet on Croatia - Italy! 

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