Croatia vs Italy Prediction & Picks - Euro
by Edgar Jibran | in Euro Picks
One of the most expected confrontations of the EURO 2024 group stage corresponds to the match between Croatia and Italy that will take place next Monday, June 24th at 01:00 pm Central Time, and as expected, this match will define the immediate future of both teams in the Group B, so a great spectacle is expected to be performed by them as they battle to survive in the competition.
In this regard, Croatia is the team that has disappointed after the two first rounds, so they’ve a big obligation of showing a more efficient and equilibrated performance to ratify themselves as one of the current best European national teams, but it for sure won’t be easy against the current champions that have such a great defensive line.
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Croatia vs Italy Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
3
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
Croatia and Italy Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2024 - Euro
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 20, 2024 - Euro
Jun 15, 2024 - Euro
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 21, 2024 - International Friendlies
Croatia - Italy: Form Analysis
Looking deeper into Croatia’s performance, it must be highlighted that Croatia had such a dominant performance against Albania during the start of the second half, performance that even could be compared to the one they had during the last 2 World Cups. However, they lost that momentum during the last instances of the match, and allowed a goal in the last minutes, so even if they win, they depend on the outcome between Spain and Albania.
Meanwhile, Italy doesn’t look as a big contender to win the EURO championship for second edition in a row as they don’t really have an effective offensive line that could provide them the necessary tools to correctly emulate the Catenaccio that has been the Italian sign for decades, and that could be ratified with the streak of 7 matches in a row without scoring more than 2 goals per match.
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Croatia against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Vlasic
R. Calafiori
Croatia & Italy Squad Analysis
Having said that, it’s also necessary to remark that Croatia is also in a generational transition right now, and even when Perisic and Modric still have such an amazing quality, it’s undeniable that they’re most likely disputing the last continental championship under the national team wear. However, there are some players like Luka Sucic that look as strong candidates to convert into the next generational leaders of this team.
On Italy’s case, the most valuable player of the first two rounds was Gianluigi Donnarumma, goalkeeper that has only allowed 1 goal per match against Albania and Spain, and if it wasn’t for him, the Italian squad could be already eliminated from the championship. Additionally, the best line so far from this team is the defensive one, having very good performances from Dimarco, Bastoni and Di Lorenzo, players that also have a good offensive projection.
Croatia - Italy Key Points
- Croatia accumulates a streak of 3 matches in a row receiving at least 1 goal per match, showing that their defensive line is really missing players like Vida.
- Italy lost their streak of 7 matches in a row without losing after their 1-0 defeat against Spain, outcome that demonstrates that they aren’t ready to conquer their second consecutive EURO.
- Croatia surprisingly has never lost a match against Italy, nonetheless the outcome during their last 3 confrontations in the EURO has been the same, 1-1.
- Italy must try to take advantage of the fact that Croatia doesn’t longer have such an effective forward like Mandzukic in their lineup to seal their qualification to the round of 16.
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Our Croatia vs Italy Prediction
In conclusion, this match is going to be a really important test for both national teams, because even when Italy has a little advantage as they were able to defeat Albania, Croatia is definitely going to show all their offensive capabilities to try to ensure their qualification to the next round, so the pick for Croatia – Italy is: Italy Total Corners – Under 4.5!
Croatia vs Italy - Other Interesting Picks
Under 2.5 Goals
First Half: Tie
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Croatia vs Italy match : Frequently asked questions
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