Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
4/28/25 19:30
Miami Heat

Prediction:

 

Cavaliers (-8.5) cover the spread

-112
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 by Paul Tamayo in NBA Picks

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit the Miami Heat for Game 4 of their 2025 first-round playoff matchup on April 28, Monday, at the Kaseya Center. 

With the Cavaliers leading three wins to none, the end is near for the Heat's season. They had a golden opportunity to take advantage of Cavs star Darius Garland's absence in Game 3, but got dominated by a 124-87 Cavaliers victory. 

The Heat is still looking for a reliable formula on offense, which has been their glaring weakness this season. In the first three games of this series, the Heat has only produced a 112.6 offensive rating, which pales in comparison to the Cavaliers' 137.8. The Heat can't score and the Cavaliers easily can — that has been pretty much the story of this one-sided matchup.

Moreover, the Heat need more from their two stars. Tyler Herro hit a snag with a 13-point outing in Game 3, and Bam Adebayo is only averaging 19.0 points in this series. The team needs both these stars to step up, which is a challenge against the Cavaliers' Top 8 defense.

Garland is still listed as questionable on the Cavaliers' injury report. But do the Cavs really need him to put away a struggling Heat team? Probably not.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Form

Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat Latest Matches

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
124 :  87
Miami Heat

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
100 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
126 :  118
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
108 :  102
New York Knicks

Apr 10, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
112 :  114
Indiana Pacers
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
100 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
126 :  118
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
113 :  135
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
120 :  113
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
105 :  124
Cleveland Cavaliers
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
124 :  87
Miami Heat

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
108 :  102
New York Knicks

Apr 10, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
112 :  114
Indiana Pacers

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
114 :  113
San Antonio Spurs

Mar 28, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
122 :  133
Detroit Pistons

Mar 25, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
122 :  111
Portland Trail Blazers
Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
124 :  87
Miami Heat

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
100 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 18, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
123 :  114
Atlanta Hawks

Apr 16, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
109 :  90
Chicago Bulls

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
119 :  118
Miami Heat
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
124 :  87
Miami Heat

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
119 :  118
Miami Heat

Apr 7, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
105 :  117
Miami Heat

Apr 5, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
121 :  115
Miami Heat

Apr 3, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
110 :  108
Miami Heat

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
112 :  122
Miami Heat
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
100 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 18, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
123 :  114
Atlanta Hawks

Apr 16, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
109 :  90
Chicago Bulls

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
153 :  104
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
111 :  119
Chicago Bulls

Cleveland Cavaliers against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)

Cleveland Cavaliers

83 %

Miami Heat

17 %

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
124 :  87
Miami Heat

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
100 :  121
Cleveland Cavaliers

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
107 :  112
Cleveland Cavaliers

Jan 29, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
126 :  106
Miami Heat

Dec 8, 2024 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
113 :  122
Miami Heat

Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat Key Points

  1. The Cavaliers have won all three games of this series by an average margin of 22.3 points.
  2. The Cavaliers have produced an ultra-efficient 137.8 offensive rating in this series.
  3. The Heat only has a lowly 112.6 offensive rating in this series.
  4. The Cavaliers have shot an excellent 42.7% clip from the three-point line in this series.

Our Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Even without All-Star guard Darius Garland in Game 3, the Cavaliers defeated the Heat by a staggering 37 points. There lies a genuine difference between the first seed and the eight seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs.

With the Heat still finding their offense, it might be too late for them to overcome the Cavaliers. Expect the Cavs to take care of Game 4 and start preparing for their second round matchup. Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers match is: Cavaliers (-8.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Cavaliers (-8.5) cover the spread

-112
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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Picks