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Chivas vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
by Drew Williamson | in Liga MX Picks
Given that the play-in matches have now wrapped up, the Clausura 2024 is already in the Quarterfinals. Guadalajara is set to host Toluca next Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. Central Mexico time at the Akron Stadium for the first leg of their competition, before leading into the second leg this coming Saturday. A noteworthy point from this matchup is that Alexis Vega (now of Toluca) will be facing his former team, the Rebaño Sagrado (of Guadalajara). Even still, it should be noted that when these two teams met during the regular season, the Rojiblancos won at home 3-2.
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Chivas vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
Chivas and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 20, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 13, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 6, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 30, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 24, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 20, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 6, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 24, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Mar 16, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 9, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 6, 2024 - Concachampions
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 13, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 30, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 13, 2024 - Concachampions
Mar 2, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 20, 2024 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 19, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 13, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 7, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 30, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 17, 2024 - Liga MX
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 7, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 17, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 2, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 25, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2024 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 13, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 30, 2024 - Liga MX
Mar 8, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 10, 2024 - Liga MX
Chivas against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jan 30, 2024 - Liga MX
Oct 1, 2023 - Liga MX
Jan 21, 2023 - Liga MX
Chivas - Deportivo Toluca FC: Form Analysis
Chivas Guadalajara qualified for the afterparty of Clausura 2024, thanks to the fact that they finished the regular phase in sixth place with 31 points, resulting from an overall record of nine wins, four draws and four losses. In addition, the Jalisco-based team accumulated a total of 24 goals for and 17 against. It should also be noted that their last game of the regular season ended in an “away” win against Atlas in the Clásico Tapatío by a score of 1-0 at the Jalisco Stadium.
All the while the Diablos Rojos were able to perform solidly throughout this year’s Clausura and finished overall in third place with 32 points, just ahead of their competitors in this match. Nevertheless, the Toluca team had some significant weaknesses exposed during the Matchday 15 game against América, which ended in a shocking 1-5 loss. It is important to mention that the Mexican club failed to maintain their earlier momentum and close out the season strong, notching two of their three defeats in these last few games, having also suffered a loss to Cruz Azul on the last matchday.
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Chivas against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Chivas & Deportivo Toluca FC Squad Analysis
Chivas must take advantage of their homefield setting in this first leg of the Quarterfinals. One of the key elements that they can use to their advantage is their winger Roberto Alvarado, who has been a starter in each of the matches in this tournament, scoring five goals as well as notching five assists. On the other hand, the player to watch for Toluca will without a doubt be Alexis Vega, who himself has some very respectable stats. Counting his 11 starts in the last 13 matches with the Diablos, he was responsible for scoring six goals and also had four assists in this Clausura 2024.
Most goals and assists
Chivas
Deportivo Toluca FC
R. Alvarado
(11 Goals)
Paulinho
(13 Goals)
R. Alvarado
(10 Assists)
A. Vega
(8 Assists)
Chivas - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- Chivas has recorded two wins, two draws and one loss in its last five games played at home.
- In their last five away matches, Toluca has a record of two wins, two draws and one loss.
- The last time the two teams met was similar to this one, taking place at the Akron Stadium, and the match ended 3-2 in favor of Chivas.
- Three of the last five meetings between Chivas and Toluca in Guadalajara have produced more than 2.5 goals in the final score.
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Our Chivas vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
Taking into account the last results between Chivas and Toluca, two fairly evenly matched teams—along with the additional emphasis of this being a Liguilla game, we expect the final score in this match to be up there. Look for big moves and bold plays to add to the excitement. Our prediction for Guadalajara vs Toluca is: Greater than 2.5 goals scored!
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