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Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Prediction & Picks - ATP Barcelona

ATP - ATP Barcelona

ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz
4/20/25 09:00
ATP 13 Denmark
Holger Rune

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz will cover -5.5 games

+160
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Carlos Alcaraz of Spain will play Holger Rune of Denmark in Sunday’s men’s singles championship match at the 2025 Barcelona Open.

Alcaraz is on the brink of completing a clay-court double in Monte Carlo and Barcelona in a span of two weeks if he can overcome his finale test, world’s No.13 Holger Rune. Alcaraz advanced to his second clay-court final after besting Arthur Fils 6-2 6-4 for the second time in two weeks. After escaping with a three-set win over the young Frenchman in the earlier duel in Monaco, the reigning French Open champion produced a better form in their rematch, winning 100 percent of his serves and breaking Fils three times. Alcaraz has now won his last 10 matches on clay and 21 of his last 22 matches on the surface.

After a two-year wait, Rune gets another shot at Alcaraz after defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-2 in straight sets. Rune, who also eliminated defending champion Casper Ruud in the quarterfinal 6-4 6-2, is seeking his third career clay-court title and first since ruling the Bavarian Open in 2023.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Form

Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune Latest Matches

Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Apr 19, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Arthur Fils

Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Apr 17, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Laslo Djere

Apr 15, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz
Holger Rune Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 19, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Holger Rune

Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

Apr 16, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Holger Rune
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Albert Ramos Vinolas

Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Holger Rune
abort
Nuno Borges

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Holger Rune
1 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Carlos Alcaraz against Holger Rune : Head to Head (H2H)

Carlos Alcaraz

67 %

Holger Rune

33 %

Oct 16, 2024 - Six King Slam

Holger Rune
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Jul 12, 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Holger Rune

Nov 4, 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters

Carlos Alcaraz
- :  -
Holger Rune
Compare Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune with our comparison tool.

Carlos Alcaraz - Holger Rune Key Points

  1. Carlos Alcaraz defeated Arthur Fils 6-2, 6-4 in the semifinal of the 2025 Barcelona Open.
  2. Carlos Alcaraz has won his last 10 matches on clay.
  3. Holger Rune defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-2 in the semifinal of the 2025 Barcelona Open.
  4. Holger Rune targets his third clay-court title.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz’s supremacy continues with a straight-set win over Holger Rune.

All the concerns about Alcaraz’s shaky form during his title run at Monte Carlo are now gone after the Spaniard fashioned out an emphatic semifinal win over the Frenchman on Saturday. Alcaraz is coming into the final of the Barcelona Open scatheless after four matches. Rune will also enter the championship match with a head of steam behind him following two signature wins over Khachanov and Ruud, who won the tournament last year. Still, it’s hard to bet against Alcaraz after seeing him destroy De Minaur and Fils, who are both enjoying way better seasons than Ruud and Khachanov. Alcaraz could have a typical slow start in the final but I am confident he will eventually find his range and rhythm in the middle of first set before hitting the gas pedal. Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune: Carlos Alcaraz will cover -5.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz will cover -5.5 games

+160
$1500 offered for betting!

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Picks