Canada vs France Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks
Canada will try to stay on course of an Olympic gold medal as they take on host country France in the men’s 5x5 basketball quarterfinals at the 2024 Paris Olympics. Canada has used this Olympic Games as a platform to introduce themselves as a rising power in men’s basketball. After winning the bronze in last year’s FIBA World Cup in Manila, the Canadian picked up where they left off as they posted impressive wins over Greece 86-79, Australia 93-83, and Spain 88-85, topping the so-called “Group of Death” with a 3-0 slate. France secured their place in the quarterfinals after winning over Brazil 78-66 and Japan 94-90. But just before they wrapped up the preliminary round, the host country received a reality check after suffering a humiliating defeat from Germany 85-71. A loss could have helped France avoid an early encounter with Canada. Instead, they are now facing a win-or-go-home scenario against this elite Canadian team in the quarterfinals.
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Canada vs France Form
Canada and France Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 21, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 19, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 10, 2024 - International Friendly Games
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 21, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 19, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 12, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Canada against France : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jul 19, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Aug 25, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Canada - France: Form Analysis
Canada averaged 89 points per game in three games and held their opponents under 86 points. Canada has a true shooting of 60.3 percent, which indicates the quality of their shots they are taking in this tournament. Canada also grabbed 29.7 boards and dished out 19 assists per game in the group stages. France, meanwhile, scored 81 points per game across three group games. Canada’s offense generates 77.81 ball possession per 40 minutes, while the frontline duo of Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert helped France to record at a tournament-high 6.3 blocks per game.
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Players list
Substitutes
Canada & France Squad Analysis
RJ Barret leads Canada with 21.0 points per game, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 19,0 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game. Jamal Murray has become the team’s chief playmaker with 4.7 assists, and Dillon Brooks provides defense and solid scoring contribution at 14.3 points per game. Victor Wembanyama leads France in points (17.0 ppg), rebounds (10.7 rpg) and assists (3.0 apg). International basketball veterans Nicolas Batum (10.7) and Evan Fournier (10.3) emerge as the second and third-leading scorers for the team, respectively. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert is having an underwhelming campaign, grabbing 6.7 rebounds per game.
Canada - France Key Points
- Victor Wembanyama averages 17.0 ppg entering the quarterfinal round.
- France finished with a 2-1 record in group play.
- Canada went undefeated with a 3-0 record in group play.
- France leads head-to-head series 10-6 but Canada won the last two by double-digit points.
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Our Canada vs France Prediction
France won 10 out of 16 head-to-head matches with Canada; however, it was the latter who got the best of them as of late, winning convincingly in their last two encounters. Canada is a team stacked with NBA-caliber layers, and so is France, which boasts the twin towers of Wembanyama and Gobert. However, for me, the difference maker in this match will be Shai Gilgeous Alexander, who torched the French side with a 25-5-5 stats line in Canada’s smashing 73-95 win in their exhibition match just three weeks ago. I expect France to give Canada a run for their money in this game, but in the end, I feel the individual brilliance Canada has at its disposal will get them past the host country. Our betting prediction for Canada vs. France: Bet on Canada to win, -370, at Caesars Sportsbook.
Canada vs France - Other Interesting Picks
France to cover +8.5 spread.
I believe France will keep this game interesting until the final minute. I expect Wembanyama to take the lead for France, which is desperately lacking a capable playmaker capable of orchestrating the offense at a high level. France will not go down without a fight, so expect a high-quality matchup between these two strong basketball nations. Our betting prediction for Canada vs. France: Back France to cover +8.5 spread, -115, at BetMGM.
Victor Wembanyama OVER 19.5 points
Canada held Victor Wembanyama to 10 points in their recent exhibition match. Canada may not have the ceiling to match up with the towering Spurs big man. Still, they have enforcers like Dwight Powell and Kelly Olynyk to make it a physically enduring battle inside for Wembayama. On the other hand, this is the knockout stages of the tournament and stars are expected to rise to the occasion. France may bow out from contention but I expect Wembanyama to leave a lasting imprint in the Olympic Games with a huge scoring night before the Parisian crowd. Our betting prediction for Canada vs. France: Bet on Wembanyama to score OVER 19.5 points, +114, at DraftKings.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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