29 June 2024 - 20:00

- Day 3

South America - Copa America

Canada

Chile

Prediction:

Chile to win and under 2.5 goals

Odds : +295

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Canada vs Chile Prediction & Picks - Copa America

Prediction published on 6/27/24, 2:51 AM by Simon Day | Modified on 6/27/24 at 5:20 AM in Copa America Picks

Chile faces Canada in a huge Group A showdown on Saturday. After their dramatic defeat to champions Argentina, Chile now need a victory to give them any chance of progress. Even three points would not be enough for Chile, if Peru were to defeat Argentina by a wider margin in the other Group A game taking place at the same time. Canada will also be hoping that Peru fails to win, as that would mean they only need one point to finish second in the group. It's a complicated scenario, but the bottom line is that both teams will be going all out for the win.

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Canada vs Chile Form

Table

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 Canada	3	2	1	0	1	-1
3 Chile	1	2	0	1	1	-1

Canada and Chile Latest Matches

Canada Latest matches

L W L D L W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

2.33

BTTS

17%

Goals scored

0.83

Goals conceded

1.5

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Jun 25, 2024 - Copa America

Peru

0 : 1

Canada

Jun 20, 2024 - Copa America

Argentina

2 : 0

Canada

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

France

0 : 0

Canada

Jun 6, 2024 - International Friendlies

Netherlands

4 : 0

Canada

Mar 23, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

2 : 0

Trinidad And Tobago

Nov 21, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

2 : 3

Jamaica

Chile Latest matches

L W L W D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

2.17

BTTS

17%

Goals scored

1.33

Goals conceded

0.83

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Jun 25, 2024 - Copa America

Chile

0 : 1

Argentina

Jun 21, 2024 - Copa America

Peru

0 : 0

Chile

Jun 11, 2024 - International Friendlies

Chile

3 : 0

Paraguay

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

France

3 : 2

Chile

Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies

Albania

0 : 3

Chile

Nov 21, 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador

1 : 0

Chile

Canada - Chile: Form Analysis

Canada's win over Peru was just their second in six games. It also ended a run of three consecutive games without a goal. In fairness to the Canadians, they have come up against some of the best teams in world football this year (Argentina, France, the Netherlands), so it's important to not read too much into some of those results. This is their first ever appearance at the Copa America, as they have previously been ineligible for the tournament.

Chile are in a poor run of form, winning three and losing five of their last 12 games. That poor form means they have just five points from six games in the South American World Cup 2026 qualification group, leaving them in danger of missing out on the competition. Their recent record at the Copa America is excellent and they have won two of the last four tournaments (2015 and 2016).

Remarkably, this will be the first meeting between Chile and Canada since 1995 and just the fifth ever game between the teams. Chile have won the last two encounters, and lead the head to head by two wins to one.

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Canada against Chile Lineups: Starting 11

Canada

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

M. Crepeau

A. Johnston

M. Bombito

D. Cornelius

A. Davies

J. Osorio

S. Eustaquio

R. Laryea

J. David

J. Shaffelburg

C. Larin

E. Vargas

V. Davila

A. Sanchez

D. Osorio

R. Echeverria

M. Nunez

G. Suazo

I. Lichnovsky

G. Maripan

M. Isla

G. Arias

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chile

Missing players

Canada

Midfielder

S. Piette

M. Choiniere

Chile

Goalkeeper

C. Bravo

Canada & Chile Squad Analysis

Chile may be forced to make one change from the team that narrowly lost to Argentina last time out. Midfielder Diego Valdes suffered a minor knock in that game and faces a late fitness test. Aside from that, Chile are expected to be unchanged as they look for the victory that will probably see them advance to the last eight. The Chileans have picked up five yellow cards so far in the competition, which means Mauricio Isla, Gabriel Suazo, Víctor Dávila, Alexis Sánchez and Erick Pulgar are all one booking away from a suspension.

Jacob Shaffelburg is pushing for a place in the Canadian starting eleven following his impressive showing off the bench in the win over Peru. With no injuries or suspensions to worry about, Canada boss John Herdman is unlikely to make any other changes to his starting eleven. That means Lille striker Jonathan David will continue up front, hoping to add to his superb tally of 27 goals in 51 games.

Canada - Chile Key Points

Canada have not beaten Chile since 1988
Chile have conceded twice in their last 4 competitive games
Canada have scored once in their last 4 games
Chile have won 2 of the last 4 Copa Americas

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Our Canada vs Chile Prediction

We are not expecting a hatful of goals in this one. Both sides are fairly solid defensively, but struggle to find the back of the net. That makes under 2.5 goals seem extremely likely. As for picking a winner, Canada are higher in the group standings, but we think Chile have the superior overall quality. Experienced attacking players such as Alexis Sanchez and Eduardo Vargas could be the difference makers in what is sure to be a game of fine margins. Our prediction for Canada vs Chile is: Chile to win and under 2.5 goals, +295 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Prediction:

Chile to win and under 2.5 goals

Odds : +295

$1000 offered for betting!

Canada vs Chile - Other Interesting Picks

Ben Brereton Diaz first goalscorer

Although he is likely to start from the bench, we think Brereton Diaz is a solid bet for first scorer. This is likely to be a tight, low scoring game, so both teams will look to their substitutes for inspiration. Brereton Diaz is a deadly finisher, and could be the man to provide a vital goal.

Chile to win 1-0

As you've probably worked out, we're not expecting many goals in this one. Furthermore, we're not expecting Canada to score at all. The odds of 8.50 on a 2-0 Chile win hold some appeal, but we are going for the 6.25 on Chile winning by the only goal of the game.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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