ATP - ATP Santiago Open

ATP 69 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2/27/25 16:50
ATP 108 Brazil
Thiago Monteiro

Prediction:

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win

-120
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Monteiro Prediction & Picks - ATP Santiago Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

The ATP action in Santiago, Chile continues on Thursday, when there's a match between Camilo Igo Carabelli and Thiago Monteiro. It's Argentina vs Brazil as these two clash, and it's not unusual for the pair to meet on South American clay courts, which is something that they've done three times since 2023, with Ugo Carabelli coming out on top (in straight sets) when they last met back in 2024.

Argentine Camilo Ugo Carabelli has been in strong form of late, with the 25-year-old climbing the rankings to reach a career high position of 63. He's won four of his last five matches, reaching the semi final in Rio last week. After that very promising effort, he'll be looking to go deep into this tournament, and having beaten the higher-ranked Nicolas Jarry during the first round, he could easily do that. 

In contrast, Thiago Monteiro hasn't been at his best for a while, which is why he's dropped from a career-high ranking of 61 to 108. In his home nation of Brazil, he could only reach the second round last week, though he did deliver an improved performance to beat the lower-ranked of the Cerundolo brothers and will now be looking for further improvement. 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Monteiro Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Monteiro Latest Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 25, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Nicolás Jarry
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Feb 22, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Feb 21, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Jaime Faria

Feb 20, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Damir Dzumhur

Feb 18, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Pedro Martinez
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Feb 16, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1 :  2
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Thiago Monteiro Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 25, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1 :  2
Thiago Monteiro

Feb 19, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Thiago Monteiro
1 :  2
Chun Hsin Tseng

Feb 17, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Facundo Diaz Acosta
1 :  2
Thiago Monteiro

Feb 8, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Thiago Monteiro
1 :  2
Felipe Meligeni Alves

Jan 11, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Kei Nishikori
3 :  2
Thiago Monteiro

Jan 8, 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Thiago Monteiro
2 :  0
Kimmer Coppejans

Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Thiago Monteiro : Head to Head (H2H)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

33 %

Thiago Monteiro

67 %

Mar 9, 2024 - Santa Cruz, Bolivia, Qualifying

Thiago Monteiro
0 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Nov 17, 2023 - Montevideo, Uruguay

Thiago Monteiro
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Oct 8, 2023 - Campinas, Brazil

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1 :  2
Thiago Monteiro
Compare Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Monteiro with our comparison tool.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro Key Points

  1. When the pair last met, back in 2024, Camilo Ugo Carabelli won in straight sets.
  2. Camilo Ugo Carabelli won his last clay-court match against Thiago Monteiro in straight sets.
  3. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won each of his two recent clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.
  4. Thiago Monteiro has lost each of his last two recent matches against higher-ranked players.

Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Monteiro Prediction

This is an interesting match up, so much so that there's not really a result that would be a huge surprise, though it's fair to say that the Argentine is the player with his game in strong shape right now, and on that basis, he should be a stronger favorite than he currently is. Ugo Carabelli looked in really good form in Rio last week, while he showed plenty of quality (and lots of stamina) to beat Jarry last time out, which tells me he can come through this test. Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Monteiro Pick: Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win.

Prediction:

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to Win

-120
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Monteiro Picks