ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 38

Brandon Nakashima

05 Jul 2024 08:00

ATP 14

Ugo Humbert

Prediction:

Ugo Humbert to Win

-120

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Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Prediction published on 7/4/24, 3:14 PM by Bradley Gibbs | Modified on 7/4/24 at 3:48 PM in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks

One of the US players in action on Friday at Wimbledon is Brandon Nakashima, who following a straight-set win during the last round, takes on Frenchman Ugo Humbert. Despite being the much higher-ranked player Humbert is far from a strong favourite here, though I'd argue that he should be. Are we seeing a classic case of the early market overreacting to Nakashima's straight-set win against Thompson? I think so.

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Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert Form

Brandon Nakashima and Ugo Humbert Latest Matches

Brandon Nakashima Latest matches

W L L L W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 3, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima

3 : 0

Jordan Thompson

Jul 1, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Sebastian Baez

0 : 3

Brandon Nakashima

Jun 20, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Brandon Nakashima

1 : 2

Lorenzo Musetti

Jun 18, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Daniel Evans

abort

Brandon Nakashima

Jun 15, 2024 - ATP Stuttgart Open

Brandon Nakashima

0 : 2

Jack Draper

Jun 14, 2024 - ATP Stuttgart Open

Brandon Nakashima

withdraw

Jan-Lennard Struff

Ugo Humbert Latest matches

W L L L W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 3, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Botic Van De Zandschulp

0 : 3

Ugo Humbert

Jul 1, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexander Shevchenko

2 : 3

Ugo Humbert

Jun 25, 2024 - ATP Mallorca Open

Roberto Bautista-Agut

2 : 1

Ugo Humbert

Jun 18, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Matteo Arnaldi

2 : 1

Ugo Humbert

Jun 15, 2024 - ATP Libema Open

Alex De Minaur

2 : 0

Ugo Humbert

Jun 14, 2024 - ATP Libema Open

Ugo Humbert

2 : 1

Gijs Brouwer

Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert Key Points

Both of Nakashima's win at Wimbledon so far this season have been against clear grass-court under-performers.
Ugo Humbert has now won two grass-court matches in quick succession against lower-ranked players.
Ugo Humbert has beaten many better players than Nakashima on grass in recent seasons.
This will be the first ever meeting between the pair on a grass court.

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Our Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

This is an interesting match. First of all, there's quite a disparity in rankings. While Nakashima is ranked 65th in the world according to the ATP, Humbert is ranked at 16th. It's quite normal for the betting ahead of matches with this sort of ranking disparity to heavily favour the higher-ranked player, but that's not the case here. The Frenchman is the favourite, but he's only a narrow favourite. I'm arguing that he should be a stronger favourite and thus a bet on him to come out on top offers some value for money. After all, Nakashima has had pretty easy matches so far, matches where his opponents didn't really turn up, so he may not be best prepared for this. In contrast, Humbert has already come through a real test, winning his first match in five sets, while he definitely shifted through the gears last time out. We've seen Humbert beat some top players on grass in recent years and he's the better of these two players as far as I'm concerned and thus deserves more respect. Our Prediction: Ugo Humbert to Win.

Prediction:

Ugo Humbert to Win

-120

$1500 offered for betting!

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