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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
With the series even at 1-1, the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox will duke it out in Wednesday’s Game 3 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
After blowing the Red Sox in the series opener 16-1, the Rays was held down to four runs as Boston starter Walker Buehler stymied their offense for 5.0 innings, allowing 3 hits and 2 earned runs with 3 strikeouts. It’s an impressive feat for Boston’s pitching staff to cool down Tampa Bay, who is batting .272 with 81 runs this season.
The Red Sox have won two of their last three games to stay in third in the American League East with a 9-10 record despite volatile pitching numbers through the first three and half weeks of the 2025 MLB season. Boston’s pitching numbers fall in the bottom 10 in the league, throwing a 4.38 ERA (21st), 1.85 WHIP (22nd), and .265 BAA (27th).
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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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14
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0.524 | 21 | 11 | 10 |
23
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0.4 | 20 | 8 | 12 |
Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

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Boston Red Sox against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
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Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Rays starter Zack Littell (0-3, 6.88) allowed 7 earned runs in his last start vs. Los Angeles Angels, whereas Rays Sean Newcomb (0-2, 4.97) surrendered two earned runs in 4.0 innings pitched vs. Chicago White Sox. The two teams combined for 10.0 runs per game in their last three starts with the Rays averaging 7.00 runs. Game 3 looks like another high-scoring ball game, but this time I expect Tampa Bay to come out stronger by outscoring their Game 2 run output. Our betting prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: Total Over 9 Runs.
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