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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Guardians kick off their weekend series on Friday at Progressive Field.
The Red Sox are 2-3 in their last five games, including back-to-back losses to the Seattle Mariners this week. Boston parades strong batting numbers, averaging .244 at the plate with 124 runs. Unfortunately, they fall in the lower half of the league with an ERA of 4.06.
The Guardians had their five-game win streak snapped on Wednesday after a 1-5 loss to the New York Yankees. Nevertheless, Cleveland got 2 wins out of 3 games in that series to up their record to 14-10. The Guardians are batting .235 with 96 runs and pitching a 3.94 ERA this season. They will be sending Ben Lively (1-2, 3.86 ERA) to the mound to go up against Red Sox’s starter Tanner Houck (0-2, 7.66 ERA).
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Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
7
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0.583 | 24 | 14 | 10 |
13
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0.519 | 27 | 14 | 13 |
Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Guardians Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 24, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 24, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 16, 2025 - MLB
Apr 15, 2025 - MLB
Apr 14, 2025 - MLB
Apr 13, 2025 - MLB
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
Apr 18, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
Apr 21, 2025 - MLB
Apr 13, 2025 - MLB
Apr 12, 2025 - MLB
Apr 11, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 20, 2025 - MLB
Apr 19, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 17, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 15, 2025 - MLB
Boston Red Sox against Cleveland Guardians : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 25, 2024 - MLB
Apr 24, 2024 - MLB
Apr 23, 2024 - MLB
Apr 18, 2024 - MLB
Apr 17, 2024 - MLB
Apr 16, 2024 - MLB
Boston Red Sox - Cleveland Guardians Key Points
- Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston.
- Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
- Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
- Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Guardians draw first blood behind another strong outing from Ben Lively.
Ben Lively has scored two shutouts in his last three starts, including a five-inning shutdown of the Pirates on April 19. I expect Lively to pitch strongly against a team he’s averaging 2.0 earned runs over his last three starts. Houck carries a 7.66 ERA largely because of her miserable stint vs. Tampa Bay on April 14, in which he allowed 11 earned runs in 2.1 innings pitched. Moreover, Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last five games when playing against Boston and 5-4 against the spread at home. Our betting prediction for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: Guardians -1.5 Runs.
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