Europe - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
01 Jun 2024 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals

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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

Real Madrid will be strong favorites to claim their 15th European title when they take on Borussia Dortmund in the 2024 Champions League final on Saturday night. Having already eased to the La Liga title, victory on Saturday would cap an incredible season for Carlo Ancelotti's men. With the likes of Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Jnr and Federico Valverde in their ranks, Real are a formidable outfit and will be hard to stop. As for Dortmund, victory on Saturday would make up for a hugely disappointing domestic campaign which has seen them finish 5th in the Bundesliga. 

The final will be the 15th meeting between Mardid and Dortmund. Most recently the teams met in the 2017/18 group stages, when Madrid were 3-2 victors, thanks to a late winner from Lucas Vázquez. Overall, Madrid have beaten Dortmund on six occasions, with the Germans winning three encounters and five ending all square. 

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Form

Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 18, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Darmstadt

May 11, 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

May 7, 2024 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

May 4, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Augsburg

May 1, 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
PSG

Apr 27, 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
L W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 18, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Darmstadt

May 4, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Augsburg

May 1, 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
PSG

Apr 21, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Apr 16, 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 6, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Stuttgart
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 11, 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

May 7, 2024 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 27, 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 13, 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 10, 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 30, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Betis

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  4
Real Madrid

May 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  0
Alavés

May 11, 2024 - LaLiga

Granada
0 :  4
Real Madrid

May 8, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

May 4, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Cádiz
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Betis

May 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  0
Alavés

May 8, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

May 4, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Cádiz

Apr 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 9, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City
W D W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  4
Real Madrid

May 11, 2024 - LaLiga

Granada
0 :  4
Real Madrid

Apr 30, 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Apr 26, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 17, 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 13, 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

0 %

Draw

50 %

Real Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.25
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.75
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2017 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 26, 2017 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  3
Real Madrid

Dec 7, 2016 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 27, 2016 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid: Form Analysis

Madrid are on an unbeaten run of 24 games. They have won 16 of those games, including a dramatic 2-1 victory over Bayern Munich in the second leg of their semi final. Domestically, Madrid have lost just one league game all season, a record that saw them win La Liga by 10 points. 

Dortmund have endured a tough Bundesliga season, losing 7 games on their way to a disappointing fifth place finish. However, they have been in good form recently, winning four of their last five games, including an impressive 1-0 victory at PSG in the Champions League semi final. 

Borussia Dortmund against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Borussia Dortmund

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Kobel
26
J. Ryerson
15
M. Hummels
4
N. Schlotterbeck
22
I. Maatsen
23
E. Can
20
M. Sabitzer
10
J. Sancho
19
J. Brandt
27
K. Adeyemi
14
N. Fullkrug
7
V. Junior
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
8
T. Kroos
12
E. Camavinga
15
F. Valverde
23
F. Mendy
6
Nacho
22
A. Rudiger
2
D. Carvajal
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

Real Madrid

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

R. Bensebaini

Forward

J. Duranville

Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund & Real Madrid Squad Analysis

Aurelien Tchouameni is the main injury doubt for Madrid. If the French midfielder isn't fit enough to start, Eduardo Camavinga will come into the team. The other selection issue for Carlo Ancelotti is in goal, where fit-again Thibaut Courtois could replace Ukranian deputy Andriy Lunin. The game will mark the final ever club appearance of Toni Kroos, who is retiring after Euro 2024. 

Dortmund are likely to be unchanged from the team that defeated PSG in the semi finals. That means club legend Marco Reus will start the game in midfield, in what will be his final ever game for the club. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (15 Goals)
Germany N. Fullkrug (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Bellingham (23 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Brandt (14 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (11 Assists)

Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in each of the last 4 games between the sides
  2. Real have scored in all 12 of the Champions League games this season
  3. Real have scored in 38 of their last 39 games
  4. Only 2 of Dortmund's 12 Champions League games have featured over 3 goals

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction

Dortmund are big underdogs here, but we think they will make it tricky for Real. They have been extremely resilient throughout their Champions League campaign, most notably when they kept two clean sheets to defeat PSG in the semi finals. But whilst Real are unlikely to have it all their own way, we do think they have enough star quality to ultimately come out on top. The odds on a Real win are prohibitively short, but when combined with the 1.42 on there being less than 4 goals, it makes for an interesting double. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund is: Real Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals, 2.45 at BetMGM.

Prediction:

 

Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals

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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Picks

Both teams to score

Odds -133
$1500 offered for betting!

Niclas Fullkrug anytime goalscorer

Odds +375
$1500 offered for betting!

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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Picks