01 June 2024 - 15:00 

- Final

Europe - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
VS
Real Madrid

Prediction:

Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals

Odds : +145

$1500 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

Real Madrid will be strong favorites to claim their 15th European title when they take on Borussia Dortmund in the 2024 Champions League final on Saturday night. Having already eased to the La Liga title, victory on Saturday would cap an incredible season for Carlo Ancelotti's men. With the likes of Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Jnr and Federico Valverde in their ranks, Real are a formidable outfit and will be hard to stop. As for Dortmund, victory on Saturday would make up for a hugely disappointing domestic campaign which has seen them finish 5th in the Bundesliga. 

The final will be the 15th meeting between Mardid and Dortmund. Most recently the teams met in the 2017/18 group stages, when Madrid were 3-2 victors, thanks to a late winner from Lucas Vázquez. Overall, Madrid have beaten Dortmund on six occasions, with the Germans winning three encounters and five ending all square. 

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Form

Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

May 18, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Darmstadt

May 11, 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

May 7, 2024 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

May 4, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  1
Augsburg

May 1, 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
PSG

Apr 27, 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

May 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Betis

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  4
Real Madrid

May 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  0
Alavés

May 11, 2024 - LaLiga

Granada
0 :  4
Real Madrid

May 8, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

May 4, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Cádiz

Borussia Dortmund against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

0 %

Draw

50 %

Real Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
4.25
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.75
Goals scored (Team 2)
2.5
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

Dec 6, 2017 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 26, 2017 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  3
Real Madrid

Dec 7, 2016 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 27, 2016 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid: Form Analysis

Madrid are on an unbeaten run of 24 games. They have won 16 of those games, including a dramatic 2-1 victory over Bayern Munich in the second leg of their semi final. Domestically, Madrid have lost just one league game all season, a record that saw them win La Liga by 10 points. 

Dortmund have endured a tough Bundesliga season, losing 7 games on their way to a disappointing fifth place finish. However, they have been in good form recently, winning four of their last five games, including an impressive 1-0 victory at PSG in the Champions League semi final. 

Borussia Dortmund against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Borussia Dortmund

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Kobel
26
J. Ryerson
15
M. Hummels
4
N. Schlotterbeck
22
I. Maatsen
23
E. Can
20
M. Sabitzer
10
J. Sancho
19
J. Brandt
27
K. Adeyemi
14
N. Fullkrug
7
V. Junior
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
8
T. Kroos
12
E. Camavinga
15
F. Valverde
23
F. Mendy
6
Nacho
22
A. Rudiger
2
D. Carvajal
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

Real Madrid

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

R. Bensebaini

Forward

J. Duranville

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Borussia Dortmund & Real Madrid Squad Analysis

Aurelien Tchouameni is the main injury doubt for Madrid. If the French midfielder isn't fit enough to start, Eduardo Camavinga will come into the team. The other selection issue for Carlo Ancelotti is in goal, where fit-again Thibaut Courtois could replace Ukranian deputy Andriy Lunin. The game will mark the final ever club appearance of Toni Kroos, who is retiring after Euro 2024. 

Dortmund are likely to be unchanged from the team that defeated PSG in the semi finals. That means club legend Marco Reus will start the game in midfield, in what will be his final ever game for the club. 

Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in each of the last 4 games between the sides
  2. Real have scored in all 12 of the Champions League games this season
  3. Real have scored in 38 of their last 39 games
  4. Only 2 of Dortmund's 12 Champions League games have featured over 3 goals
Up to $1500 to bet on Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid! 

Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction

Dortmund are big underdogs here, but we think they will make it tricky for Real. They have been extremely resilient throughout their Champions League campaign, most notably when they kept two clean sheets to defeat PSG in the semi finals. But whilst Real are unlikely to have it all their own way, we do think they have enough star quality to ultimately come out on top. The odds on a Real win are prohibitively short, but when combined with the 1.42 on there being less than 4 goals, it makes for an interesting double. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund is: Real Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals, 2.45 at BetMGM.

Prediction:

Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals

Odds : +145

$1500 offered for betting!

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Picks

Both teams to score

Niclas Fullkrug anytime goalscorer

MGM Rewards

BetMGM Rewards

Unlock the ultimate gaming and entertainment experience with BetMGM's MGM Rewards Program. This exclusive membership is your gateway to a spectrum of thrilling benefits across all MGM Resorts International destinations. Enroll today and enjoy the ease of earning rewards for every dollar spent on gaming, dining, and entertainment. Whether you’re playing online via the BetMGM Sportsbook or visiting one of our glamorous locations, your spending translates into Tier Credits and MGM Rewards Points, propelling you towards higher Tier Statuses and unlocking even more prestigious benefits.

Your MGM Rewards membership begins with a simple sign-up process, accessible to any individual over the age of 21 with valid government-issued photo identification. As a member, you'll receive your personalized MGM Rewards Card. Use this card to accrue points and credits efficiently by ensuring it is swiped during all gaming and purchasing activities at participating locations. Membership not only offers tailored rewards but also adheres to a transparent Terms and Conditions policy, ensuring you understand your rights and responsibilities within the program. Embrace a world of luxury, excitement, and exclusive rewards – all crafted to enhance your gaming experience. Join MGM Rewards today and start turning every visit into valuable rewards.

Get started with BetMGM!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Picks
Up to $1500 to bet on Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid! 

Limited Offer. Currently at BetMGM