Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
3/5/25 15:00
Barcelona

Prediction:

 

Kerem Akturkoglu Over 0.5 Shots on Target

+130
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

The UEFA Champions League knockouts continue on Wednesday evening, where one of the stadiums called into action will be Estadio de Luz in the Portuguese capital of Lisbon, home of Benfica. Visiting this iconic ground will be Barcelona, arguably one of the most iconic teams on the planet. 

Having won each of their last two league games and having fought incredibly hard to make it beyond Monaco in the UCL play-offs just a few weeks ago, the hosts will likely approach this huge game feeling confident, and why not? Let's be honest, the Benfica boys are in hot form, winning seven of their last eight games, not losing since the final week of January. 

The visitors will also go to Estadio de Luz feeling confident having destroyed Real Sociedad at the weekend, scoring four goals without reply on home soil. That win followed what was a crazy Copa del Rey game (4-4) against Atletico Madrid, while Hansi Flick's men are now without defeat since early December. They'll definitely be expecting themselves to get the job done here, despite this being a potentially tricky away day. After all, they came out on top in high-scoring fashion, winning by five goals to four, when the pair met during the league phase back in January.

Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Form

Benfica Lisbon and Barcelona Latest Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Latest matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 26, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
SC Braga

Feb 22, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Boavista

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  3
Monaco

Feb 15, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Feb 8, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Moreirense
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 26, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
SC Braga

Feb 22, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Boavista

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  3
Monaco

Feb 8, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Moreirense

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  5
Barcelona

Jan 17, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Famalicao
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Feb 2, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Jan 25, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Jan 14, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Farense
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Barcelona

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  4
Barcelona

Feb 6, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Alavés

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
2 :  2
Atalanta

Jan 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
7 :  1
Valencia
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Barcelona

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  4
Barcelona

Feb 6, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  5
Barcelona

Jan 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
1 :  1
Barcelona

Jan 12, 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

Benfica Lisbon against Barcelona : Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

33 %

Draw

33 %

Barcelona

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
33%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  5
Barcelona

Nov 23, 2021 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 29, 2021 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Barcelona

Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona: Form Analysis

From a form point of view, the hosts are thriving right now. They ground out the win against Braga at the weekend, which was pleasing given that they got down to business in that game with an eye firmly on this fixture, while the way in which they scored goals against Monaco in the previous round tells us that the men from Lisbon are more than capable of making headway in a game of this nature.

They've also scored at least three goals in three of their last four at home, which is positive. 

The visitors could hardly be in better form right now, let's be honest. They've been creating lots of chances and scoring lots of goals in recent weeks, while they really have developed a fine knack of getting the job done, winning with regularity, avoiding defeat since December 2024. We know that they can cause damage at this venue too, with them scoring five goals at Estadio de Luz back in January. 

Benfica Lisbon against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Trubin
44
T. Araujo
4
A. Silva
30
N. Otamendi
3
A. Fernandez
8
F. Aursnes
18
L. Barreiro
10
O. Kokcu
17
K. Akturkoglu
14
V. Pavlidis
21
A. Schjelderup
11
Raphinha
9
R. Lewandowski
19
L. Yamal
8
Pedri
21
F. De Jong
20
D. Olmo
3
A. Balde
5
I. Martinez
2
P. Cubarsi
23
J. Kounde
25
W. Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Barcelona

Benfica Lisbon & Barcelona Squad Analysis

From an injury point of view, the hosts do have a few worries. There are serious doubts over the readiness of the vastly experienced and valuable Angel Di Maria, who has been nursing a muscle injury. The pacey and useful Alexander Bah is also sidelined, while Florentino, Manu and Renato Sanches are also not expected to feature for Benfica. 

There are serious doubts over the readiness of the vastly experienced and valuable Angel Di Maria

For the visitors, Ansu Fati is expected to miss out through illness, while there are seriosu doubts over both Marc ter Stegen and Andreas Christensen, both of whom have been out for a while. Neither are likely to be ready to return for this game. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (34 Goals)
Best assists
Greece V. Pavlidis (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (14 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon - Barcelona Key Points

  1. In the UEFA Champions League this season, Kerem Akturkoglu has averaged 2.05 shots per 90 minutes.
  2. Kerem Akturkoglu has also delivered an average of 0.90 shots on target per 90 minutes in the UCL this season.
  3. In Benfica's last home Champions League game, Kerem Akturkoglu registered a shot on target.
  4. In five home UEFA Champions League games this season, Kerem Akturkoglu has registered five shots on target.

Our Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Prediction

This has the makings of a tremendous game, which is exactly what we saw when the pair met at this venue back in January. Sure, Barcelona came out on top then, but the hosts certainly held their own offensively. They can do so again, and given his overall home form in this competition, Kerem Akturkoglu looks a great bet to register a shot on target at odds of +130. Given his rather encouraging stats, as shown above, such odds look a little generous, especially ahead of a game against a Barcelona team that will concede chances on the break. Our Benfica vs Barcelona Pick: Kerem Akturkoglu Over 0.5 Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Kerem Akturkoglu Over 0.5 Shots on Target

+130
$1500 offered for betting!

Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Picks

Benfica to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Odds +115
As a secondary play, why not bet on the hosts to notch two or more goals in this fixture. We know that the visitors aren't infallible defensively. They give chances away on the break, and it is on the break that the hosts can be very effective, as we saw just over a month ago when they scored four goals against Barca at this venue. Factor in there overall scoring form at home and such a bet looks well worth taking all the time odds of +115 are available.
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Benfica Lisbon vs Barcelona Picks