Europe - Euro

Belgium
17 Jun 2024 12:00
Slovakia

Prediction:

 

Belgium to win and Romelu Lukaku first scorer

+340
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Belgium vs Slovakia Prediction & Picks - Euro

 by Simon Day in Euro Picks

Belgium's Euro 2024 campaign kicks off on Monday, when they face a talented Slovakia side in Frankfurt. This version of the Belgium squad is a combination of Golden Generation players such as Kevin de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, plus exciting young talent including Jeremy Doku and Zeno Debast. Expectations are low compared to the last few major tournaments, but this is still a very capable squad that could do deep into the tournament. 

As for Slovakia, they will be looking to improve on a disappointing Euro 2020 campaign that saw them eliminated at the group stage. They impressed in qualifying and have played well in their warm up games. However, this represents a much tougher test and they will need to be at their very best to get anything from this game. 

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Belgium vs Slovakia Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Belgium
Belgium
4 3 1 1 1 1
3
Slovakia
Slovakia
4 3 1 1 1 0

Belgium and Slovakia Latest Matches

Belgium
Belgium Latest matches
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
3 :  0
Luxembourg

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
2 :  0
Montenegro

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

England
2 :  2
Belgium

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  0
Belgium

Nov 19, 2023 - Euro

Belgium
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

Oct 13, 2023 - Euro

Austria
2 :  3
Belgium
D W W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 8, 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
3 :  0
Luxembourg

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
2 :  0
Montenegro

Nov 19, 2023 - Euro

Belgium
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

Sep 12, 2023 - Euro

Belgium
5 :  0
Estonia

Jun 17, 2023 - Euro

Belgium
1 :  1
Austria

Nov 27, 2022 - World Cup

Belgium
0 :  2
Morocco
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

England
2 :  2
Belgium

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  0
Belgium

Oct 13, 2023 - Euro

Austria
2 :  3
Belgium

Sep 9, 2023 - Euro

Azerbaijan
0 :  1
Belgium

Jun 20, 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  3
Belgium

Mar 28, 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
2 :  3
Belgium
Slovakia
Slovakia Latest matches
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
Wales

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
San Marino

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Norway
1 :  1
Slovakia

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
0 :  2
Austria

Nov 19, 2023 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Slovakia

Nov 16, 2023 - Euro

Slovakia
4 :  2
Iceland
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
Wales

Jun 5, 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
San Marino

Mar 23, 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
0 :  2
Austria

Nov 16, 2023 - Euro

Slovakia
4 :  2
Iceland

Sep 11, 2023 - Euro

Slovakia
3 :  0
Liechtenstein

Sep 8, 2023 - Euro

Slovakia
0 :  1
Portugal
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Norway
1 :  1
Slovakia

Nov 19, 2023 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Slovakia

Oct 16, 2023 - Euro

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovakia

Oct 13, 2023 - Euro

Portugal
3 :  2
Slovakia

Jun 20, 2023 - Euro

Liechtenstein
0 :  1
Slovakia

Jun 17, 2023 - Euro

Iceland
1 :  2
Slovakia

Belgium - Slovakia: Form Analysis

Belgium have not lost since their shock 0-2 defeat to Morocco at the 2022 World Cup. That run has included 11 victories and four draws. Defence has been a key part of Belgium's success in recent games, with five clean sheets coming in their last six games. Comfortable victories over Montenegro and Luxembourg in their final warm up games means Belgium will come into the tournament full of confidence. Their best ever finish at the championships was back in 1980 when they finished third. 

Slovakia are also entering the competition in excellent form, with just one defeat (at home to Austria) in their last seven games. Their final two warm up games both resulted in 4-0 victories, so they also also be feeling confident ahead of their opening game. This will be their third appearance in the European Championships. They reached the last 16 in 2016, but failed to make it out of their group in 2020. 

This will be the first ever competitive meeting between Belgium and Slovakia. The teams have met in three international friendlies, with the last of those resulting in a 2-1 win for Belgium back in 2013. The other two games between the nations finished all square.

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Belgium against Slovakia Lineups: Starting 11

Belgium

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
K. Casteels
21
T. Castagne
4
W. Faes
2
Z. Debast
11
Y. Carrasco
18
O. Mangala
24
A. Onana
9
L. Trossard
7
K. De Bruyne
22
J. Doku
10
R. Lukaku
17
L. Haraslin
9
R. Bozenik
26
I. Schranz
8
O. Duda
22
S. Lobotka
19
J. Kucka
16
D. Hancko
14
M. Skriniar
3
D. Vavro
2
P. Pekarik
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Slovakia

Belgium & Slovakia Squad Analysis

Belgium manager Domenico Tedesco surprised a lot of fans by leaving experienced keeper Thibaut Courtois out of his squad. Instead, Al-Qadsiah shot-stopper Koen Casteels will start between the posts behind a backline that is likely to be missing Thomas Meunier and Jan Vertonghen through injury. That means starting places for Fulham full back Timothy Castagne and Brugge centre back Maxim De Cuyper. Lukaku is certain to lead the line, with De Bruyne, Doku and Arsenal's Leandro Trossard featuring in a high class attacking midfield.

Possible starting eleven: Casteels; Faes, Witsel, De Cuyper; Castagne, Onana, Mangala, Doku; De Bruyne, Trossard; Lukaku.

Slovakia's attacking hopes will largely rest on the shoulders of Boavista's Robert Bozenik. The striker has enjoyed a fine season in Portugal, but with just 8 goals in 42 internationals, his record on the big stage leaves something to be desired. Exciting Feyenoord forward Leo Sauer is likely to be used from the bench in the latter stages is Slovakia find themselves behind. The Slovakian's only injury doubt concerns defender Denis Vavro. However, the experienced duo of David Hancko and Milan Skriniar gives them one of the most solid backlines in the tournament. 

Possible starting eleven: Dubravka; Pekarik, Davro, Skriniar, Hancko; Lobotka, Kucka, Duda; Suslov, Bozenik, Haraslin

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Belgium
CD Huachipato Slovakia
Top Goalscorer
Belgium K. De Bruyne (1 Goals)
Belgium Y. Tielemans (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovakia I. Schranz (6 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium K. Casteels (1 Assists)
Belgium R. Lukaku (1 Assists)
Best assists
Slovakia L. Haraslin (1 Assists)
Slovakia J. Kucka (1 Assists)
Slovakia D. Strelec (1 Assists)

Belgium - Slovakia Key Points

  1. Slovakia have never beaten Belgium
  2. Slovakia have won their opening games at the last two Euros
  3. Belgium are unbeaten since November 2022
  4. Belgium have reached the quarter final stage at the last two European Championships
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Our Belgium vs Slovakia Prediction

This is a tricky Belgium side to evaluate. Their form is superb, but they do seem to be lacking in defensive quality, which could see them come unstuck against the stronger nations. Nevertheless, we think they will have more than enough to get past a robust, but limited Slovakian side. We also think Romelu Lukaku is a strong contender for the Golden Boot award and will start his campaign with a goal. The veteran striker is the focal point of most Belgian attacks, which should see him get plenty of chances to find the net. Our prediction for Belgium vs Slovakia is: Belgium to win and Lukaku to score, +340 at FanDuel.

Prediction:

 

Belgium to win and Romelu Lukaku first scorer

+340
$150 offered for betting!

Belgium vs Slovakia - Other Interesting Picks

Youri Tielemans first goalscorer

Odds +900

After a slow start to the campaign, Youri Tielemans enjoyed a fine end to the season with Aston Villa. He also scored twice in Belgium's 2-2 draw with England in March. Belgium's system gives him the licence to get into attacking positions, so the 10.00 on him scoring the first goals looks like excellent value. 

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Belgium to win to nil

Odds +125
Slovakia are a pretty solid team but they lack quality in the attacking third. So despite Belgium's ageing backline and injury problems, we think they will be able to keep the Slovakians at bay. This makes the 2.25 on Belgium winning AND keeping a clean sheet look like superb value.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Belgium vs Slovakia Picks
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