Baylor vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

Baylor
3/21/25 12:15
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Prediction:

 

Over 144.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in Basketball Picks

The first round of 64 game on Friday afternoon will see the 9th-seeded Baylor Bears take on the 8th-seeded Mississippi State Bullodgs. Let’s take a look at the important match statistics and predictions for this first-round game between the Bears and Bulldogs in the East Region.

Mississippi State enters this game with a record of 21-12, earning an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament. The Bulldogs beat LSU in the first-round of the SEC tournament before losing to Missouri in the second-round. This will be Mississippi State’s 14th NCAA tournament appearance in program history and their third consecutive appearance.

As for Baylor, they enter this game with a record of 19-14. The Bears beat Kansas State in the second-round of the Big 12 tournament but lost in the Big 12 quarterfinals to Texas Tech. This will be Baylor’s 17th NCAA tournament appearance in program history and their sixth consecutive appearance.

Baylor vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Form

Baylor and Mississippi State Bulldogs Latest Matches

Baylor
Baylor Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
74 :  76
Texas Tech Red Raiders

Mar 12, 2025 - NCAA Men

Kansas State Wildcats
56 :  70
Baylor

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Houston
65 :  61
Baylor

Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
61 :  58
TCU

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Oklahoma State Cowboys
61 :  71
Baylor

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
67 :  69
Cincinnati Bearcats
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 12, 2025 - NCAA Men

Kansas State Wildcats
56 :  70
Baylor

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Houston
65 :  61
Baylor

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Oklahoma State Cowboys
61 :  71
Baylor

Feb 17, 2025 - NCAA Men

Arizona
74 :  67
Baylor

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

West Virginia Mountaineers
71 :  74
Baylor

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

UCF Knights
76 :  91
Baylor
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
74 :  76
Texas Tech Red Raiders

Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
61 :  58
TCU

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
67 :  69
Cincinnati Bearcats

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
74 :  76
Colorado

Feb 10, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
65 :  76
Houston

Feb 4, 2025 - NCAA Men

Baylor
59 :  73
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
73 :  85
Missouri Tigers

Mar 12, 2025 - NCAA Men

LSU Tigers
62 :  91
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
92 :  93
Arkansas Razorbacks

Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men

Texas
87 :  82
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

LSU Tigers
69 :  81
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
73 :  111
Alabama
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 12, 2025 - NCAA Men

LSU Tigers
62 :  91
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mar 4, 2025 - NCAA Men

Texas
87 :  82
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mar 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

LSU Tigers
69 :  81
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Feb 18, 2025 - NCAA Men

Texas A&M Aggies
54 :  70
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Feb 11, 2025 - NCAA Men

Florida
81 :  68
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Feb 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Missouri Tigers
88 :  61
Mississippi State Bulldogs
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
73 :  85
Missouri Tigers

Mar 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
92 :  93
Arkansas Razorbacks

Feb 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
73 :  111
Alabama

Feb 22, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
87 :  93
Oklahoma Sooners

Feb 15, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
81 :  71
Ole Miss Rebels

Feb 8, 2025 - NCAA Men

Mississippi State Bulldogs
76 :  75
Georgia Bulldogs

Baylor - Mississippi State Bulldogs Key Points

  1. The Over is 7-0 in MSST's last 7 games
  2. The Over is 5-0 in MSST's last 5 March games
  3. The Over is 4-1 in MSST's last 5 games as a favorite
  4. The Over is 4-1 in Baylor's last 5 Friday games

Our Baylor vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction

These teams look to be too evenly matched to pick an outright winner, while the spread in essentially a pick em’ as well. Because of that, we will be looking at taking the over. Baylor and Mississippi State have solid offenses with the Bears averaging about 76 points per game and the Bulldogs averaging about 79 points per game. 

There is some concern with Mississippi State being able to score on this Baylor defense, as the Bears allow just 69.1 points per game. That said, the Bulldogs are averaging 82.7 points over their last seven games, therefore our Baylor Bears vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction is over 144.5.

Prediction:

 

Over 144.5

-110
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Baylor vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks