Europe - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3/5/25 15:00
Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Simon Day in Champions League Picks

The top two teams in the Bundesliga go head to head in a monumental Champions League last 16 tie this week. Leaders Bayern Munich will have the first leg advantage, as they host a Bayer Leverkusen team that trails them by eight points in the domestic league. But although Munich hold the upper hand in Germany, it was Leverkusen who enjoyed a far better time of it during the first phase of the Champions League. Xavi Alonso's men picked up 16 points from their eight games, good enough to secure fifth place and an automatic spot in the last 16. In contrast, Bayern's 12th place finish forced them into a playoff clash against Celtic, where they needed a dramatic last minute goal from Alphonso Davies to scrape through. Wednesday's game will be the fourth meeting between the two teams this season, with Leverkusen winning one of the previous games and the other two ending all square.

Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Form

Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Latest Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Celtic

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Feb 7, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Werder Bremen
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Celtic

Feb 7, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Werder Bremen

Feb 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Holstein Kiel

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
SK Slovan Bratislava

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
Wolfsburg
W L W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

Jan 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  1
Bayern Munich
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Latest matches
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 5, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  2
Köln

Feb 2, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  1
Hoffenheim
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 5, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  2
Köln

Feb 2, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  1
Hoffenheim

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Sparta Prague

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Jan 14, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W L D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 10, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern Munich against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

0 %

Draw

50 %

Bayer Leverkusen

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Dec 3, 2024 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Sep 28, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 10, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

Sep 15, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 19, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis

Bayern Munich's comfortable 1-3 victory over Stuttgart on Friday night means they are eight points clear at the top of the Bundesliga standings with just 12 games remaining. That victory was Bayern's ninth in ten league games, with their only dropped points coming in a 0-0 draw with Leverkusen. Their Champions League form has been somewhat less impressive and they have already lost three games in this season's competition. 

Leverkusen playing catch up

In many ways, Leverkusen's 2024-25 season has been just as impressive as last season's title winning campaign. They have won 15 and lost just one of their 24 games so far, however, Bayern's incredible form means Alonso's side are eight points off top spot and highly unlikely to retain their crown. Remarkably, Leverkusen have lost just once in their last 58 Bundesliga games, a run that stretches back to May 2023. 

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich last Lineups

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Neuer
27
K. Laimer
15
E. Dier
3
K. Min-jae
19
A. Davies
8
L. Goretzka
16
J. Palhinha
17
M. Olise
42
J. Musiala
10
L. Sane
9
H. Kane
14
P. Schick
10
F. Wirtz
19
N. Tella
20
A. Grimaldo
34
G. Xhaka
24
A. Garcia
30
J. Frimpong
5
M. Hermoso
4
J. Tah
23
N. Mukiele
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

D. Peretz

Defender

J. Kimmich

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Defender

J. Belocian

Forward

M. Terrier

Bayern Munich & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis

Bayern hope to have key midfielder Joshua Kimmich fully fit in time for Wednesday's game. The German star has missed recent games with a hamstring injury, but has recently returned to training and boss Vincent Kompany is optimistic that he will be ready to start against Leverkusen. Midfielder Joao Paulinha, plus defenders Eric Dier and Aleksander Pavlovic, all missed training on Sunday with minor issues, but all three are expected to be available for selection this week. 

Leverkusen almost at full strength

Long term absentees Martin Terrier and Jeanuel Belocian are still missing for Bayer, but aside from that Xavi Alonso will have a full strength squad to choose from. Piero Hincapie missed Saturday's victory over Eintracht Frankfurt through suspension, but he will be free to play on Wednesday night.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato Bayer Leverkusen
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Czech Republic P. Schick (21 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Kimmich (10 Assists)
England H. Kane (10 Assists)
Best assists
Germany F. Wirtz (14 Assists)

Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Champions League

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
60%
Victories
63%
10%
Draw
13%
30%
Defeats
25%
3.7
Total goals per match
2.75
2.3
Goals scored per match
1.88
1.4
Goals conceded per match
0.88
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
Under 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
25%
20%
No goals conceded
63%

Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points

  1. There have been under 2.5 goals in each of the last three games between Bayern and Bayer
  2. Munich have scored just once in their last 4 games against Leverkusen
  3. Leverkusen have conceded just once in their last 4 games
  4. Bayern Munich have conceded 2 goals in their last 4 Champions League home games

Our Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Both of these sides are jam packed with attacking talent, but we think this will be a tight defensive battle. Bayern are likely to have the lion's share of possession, but Leverkusen have been extremely hard to break down in recent weeks and will be happy to sit back and soak up pressure. It is also worth noting that recent games between the two teams have been low scoring affairs, with just three goals being scored in their last three matchups. We fully expect that trend to continue on Wednesday. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Picks

Correct score: 1-1

Odds +600
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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Picks