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Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4/26/25 08:30
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Prediction:

 

Under 3.5

-102
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 by Erik Gibbs in Bundesliga Picks

Bayern Munich welcome Mainz to the Allianz Arena in a crucial Bundesliga clash this Saturday, with both sides entering the match in sharply contrasting form. The Bavarians are eyeing another league title, while Mainz are clinging to hopes of European qualification amid a difficult run.

Bayern have made the Allianz Arena a fortress this season, averaging nearly three goals per home game in the Bundesliga. Though their European campaign ended in disappointment at the hands of Inter Milan in the Champions League quarter-finals, their domestic dominance continues.

With only a few games remaining, victory against Mainz could bring them a step closer to sealing the league title. Should Bayer Leverkusen stumble against Augsburg, the championship could even be wrapped up this weekend.

Despite a somewhat inconsistent run at home—three wins from their last six across all competitions—Bayern’s firepower and experience make them heavy favorites in this tie. Their motivation to secure the title early will only intensify their approach against a struggling Mainz side.

Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
72 30 22 6 2 58
6
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
47 30 13 8 9 12

Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Latest Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W W L D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Apr 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Mar 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
St. Pauli
W W L W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Mar 29, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
St. Pauli

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  3
Bochum

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Apr 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  2
Bayern Munich

Feb 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05 Latest matches
W D L D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Apr 5, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Freiburg

Mar 7, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W D W D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

Apr 5, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Freiburg

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
St. Pauli

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Augsburg

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
Stuttgart
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 7, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Feb 16, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Jan 31, 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Bayern Munich against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

67 %

Draw

0 %

1 Fsv Mainz 05

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
3.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

Oct 30, 2024 - DFB Pokal

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

Mar 9, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Oct 21, 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Apr 22, 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  1
Bayern Munich

Feb 1, 2023 - DFB Pokal

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich last Lineups

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

40
J. Urbig
27
K. Laimer
15
E. Dier
44
J. Stanisic
22
R. Guerreiro
6
J. Kimmich
45
A. Pavlovic
7
S. Gnabry
17
M. Olise
11
K. Coman
9
H. Kane
29
J. Burkardt
7
L. Jae-sung
44
N. Weiper
22
N. Veratschnig
18
N. Amiri
6
K. Sano
19
A. Caci
31
D. Kohr
3
M. Jenz
21
D. da Costa
27
R. Zentner

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1 Fsv Mainz 05

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

M. Neuer

Defender

T. Buchmann

H. Ito

D. Upamecano

Midfielder

A. Davies

J. Musiala

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Defender

S. Bell

M. Leitsch

P. Mwene

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato 1 Fsv Mainz 05
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (36 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Burkardt (16 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Olise (13 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Caci (7 Assists)

Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
73%
Victories
43%
20%
Draw
27%
7%
Defeats
30%
3.87
Total goals per match
2.8
2.9
Goals scored per match
1.6
0.97
Goals conceded per match
1.2
77%
Over 2.5
50%
23%
Under 2.5
50%
57%
BTTS
53%
43%
No goals conceded
30%

Bayern Munich - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points

  1. Bayern München haven't lost in 28 of their last 30 Bundesliga games
  2. Mainz have won 1 of their last 6 matches across all competitions
  3. Bayern München are 18-0 to win at half time in their last 18 Bundesliga home games
  4. Both teams scored in the last 11 Bundesliga games between Bayern München and Mainz

Our Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction

Mainz, meanwhile, are enduring a rough patch. After spending much of the season in the top four, a poor run of form has seen them slide to sixth. Just three points from their last five matches has significantly damaged their hopes of securing a Champions League berth. They now sit two points off fourth place, and with fixtures against Eintracht Frankfurt, Bochum, and Bayer Leverkusen still to come, the road ahead remains challenging.

Their away form has been relatively solid with three wins from their last six on the road, but facing Bayern at the Allianz is a different kind of test altogether. Mainz haven’t tasted victory in their last five outings, and with odds suggesting only a 9.1% chance of winning in Munich, a positive result seems unlikely.

Given Bayern’s attacking prowess and Mainz’s recent struggles, the hosts are expected to take all three points in convincing fashion. A dominant display could not only edge them closer to the title but also deliver another blow to Mainz’s dwindling European ambitions. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs. Mainz: Bayern to win.

Prediction:

 

Under 3.5

-102
$250 offered for betting!

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Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Picks