Europe - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
3/11/25 16:00
Bayern Munich

Prediction:

 

Michael Olise Over 0.5 Shots on Target

+110
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

On Tuesday, during the early afternoon for those watching in the US, the all German UEFA Champions League Round of 16 tie will conclude at BayArena, where for the second time in a week, Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern will clash.

Xabi Alonso's men would've had their sights set on a push deep into this competition, though it looks as if they may fall at the first knockout hurdle. Tuesday's hosts struggled to keep tabs on Bayern last week, so much so that they find themselves three goals down ahead of the second leg. Of course, on home soil, the hosts will fancy themselves to do a better job, but let's be honest, it's a long way back from here. 

The visitors will be very happy with how things turned out last week. The dominated proceedings throughout, suffocating their opponents, not allowing them any time to get into the game, before dishing out three blows in the final third, two of which came before Leverkusen had a man sent off for displaying poor discipline. Can they now finish off the job? If they don't then something will have gone seriously wrong for Vincent Kompany's men. 

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Form

Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich Latest Matches

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Latest matches
D D W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  2
Werder Bremen

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  2
Werder Bremen

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 5, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  2
Köln

Feb 2, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  1
Hoffenheim

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Sparta Prague

Jan 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach
L D D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
D D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  3
Bochum

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Celtic

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  3
Bochum

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 18, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Celtic

Feb 7, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Werder Bremen

Feb 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Holstein Kiel
W L W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Feb 12, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

Jan 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  1
Bayern Munich

Bayer Leverkusen against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayer Leverkusen

33 %

Draw

50 %

Bayern Munich

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Dec 3, 2024 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Sep 28, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 10, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Bayern Munich

Sep 15, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis

Before last weekend's fixture against Bayern, Xabi Alonso's men had been holding their form well, avoiding defeat in eight games straight, four of which they won. Unfortunately, as we know, such form could not pave the way for success in the first leg of this tie, while that defeat has had clear after effects, with Tuesday's hosts since losing in the league. 

Bayern also lost in the league at the weekend, but they rested lots of key players there, so it's porbably fair to say that they weren't overly bothered about delivering their best effort on that occasion, much to the delight of a Bochum team that needed the points. Having rested key players, we should see the visitors back to full strength on Tuesday. 

Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
L. Hradecky
12
E. Tapsoba
4
J. Tah
5
M. Hermoso
13
Arthur
24
A. Garcia
34
G. Xhaka
19
N. Tella
21
A. Adli
16
E. Buendia
14
P. Schick
25
T. Muller
7
S. Gnabry
8
L. Goretzka
10
L. Sane
22
R. Guerreiro
16
J. Palhinha
44
J. Stanisic
21
H. Ito
15
E. Dier
23
S. Boey
40
J. Urbig

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Missing players

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Defender

J. Belocian

Forward

M. Terrier

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

M. Neuer

Bayer Leverkusen & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis

Robert Andrich is likely to miss this fixture through illness, while Leverkusen will also find themselves without Martin Terrier, who has been out for a while. Jonas Hoffman is also expected to be out, while there are serious doubts over the fitness of key player Florian Wirtz. Of course, Nordi Mukiele won't feature thanks to his sending off last week. 

Those who were rested at the weekend, including Michael Olise, will return to the starting XI. 

For Vincent Kompany and the visitors, there's pretty much a clean bill of health. Veteran keeper Manuel Neuer is still out, while young midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic has been unwell and is unlikely to play. Those who were rested at the weekend, including Michael Olise, will return to the starting XI. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayer Leverkusen
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Czech Republic P. Schick (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (31 Goals)
Best assists
Germany F. Wirtz (14 Assists)
Best assists
Germany J. Kimmich (10 Assists)
England H. Kane (10 Assists)

Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich Stats in Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
56%
Victories
64%
11%
Draw
9%
33%
Defeats
27%
2.78
Total goals per match
3.64
1.67
Goals scored per match
2.36
1.11
Goals conceded per match
1.27
56%
Over 2.5
64%
44%
Under 2.5
36%
22%
BTTS
55%
56%
No goals conceded
27%

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Michael Olise has hit the target at least once in each of his last three UCL starts.
  2. Michael Olise has registered at least one shot on target in four of his last five games in all competitions.
  3. In his last five appearances, Michael Olise has registered seven shots on target.
  4. When the pair met last week, Michael Olise registered a shot on target.

Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction

This is just the sort of game where Michael Olise can thrive. The pacey, tricky and direct winger/forward is very good at exploiting space and he's likely to get plenty of space to break into in this game, with the hosts needing to push forward. When the pair met last week, Olise worked the keeper, while he's now registered a shot on target in each of his last three UCL games, hitting the target seven times in his last eight appearances in this competition. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Pick: Michael Olise Over 0.5 Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Michael Olise Over 0.5 Shots on Target

+110
$1500 offered for betting!

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Picks

Bayern to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Odds +120
On the face of it, the job seems done for Bayern, but the visitors aren't stupid. They're not going to go to BayArena and take it easy. They know that the hosts are very capable of punishing sleeping teams at home, so Vincent Kompany's men can be expected to continue attacking in this tie. Moreover, with the hosts desperate to get forward and make amends for last week, the Bayern boys will have the luxury of being able to hit on the counter, which given their pace in offense, is something that they're very good at. Don't be surprised if the set-up of this tie, with the hosts desperate, leads to further Bayern goals. I certainly won't be.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Picks