Paris Olympics - Basketball Picks & Predictions

Introduction and Predictions for Basketball at the 2024 Olympic Games

The Olympic Games remain a major goal for a large number of basketball players. Representing and defending their country's colors in the most coveted international tournament is undoubtedly a great source of motivation. This year in France, the competition will feature 12 nations competing for the gold medal from July 27 to August 11, with the group stage in Lille and the knockout matches in Paris.

So, who will win the basketball tournament at the 2024 Olympics? How can you make accurate basketball predictions for the Olympic Games? And what are the essential elements for making a good basketball prediction for the Olympics? The experts at SportyTrader provide the answers on this page.

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Olympics Basketball Prediciton: Who will win the 2024 men's tournament?

This Olympic tournament promises to be an interesting battle for gold. The United States are the clear favorites, with a team made up almost exclusively of NBA All-Stars. Clearly, the Americans won't be coming to France for the fun of it, and won't be satisfied with anything less than first place.

However, the competition will be tough, as many nations have excellent players. Furthermore, there's a big difference between the NBA and FIBA games. This is bound to be to the advantage of the European teams, who are more used to playing this way.

But, as agreed, team USA remain the big and overwhelming favorite among sportsbooks. Canada, France and Serbia are among the main outsiders. As far as our prediction is concerned, we advise you to bet on Team USA.

As a reminder, Stephen Curry, LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum, Anthony Davis, Joel Embiid, Anthony Edwards, Bam Adebayo and Devin Booker will all be taking part... Our prediction for the winner of the 2024 Olympics: victory for the United States!

2024 Olympic Basketball Prediction - The Odds for the Favorites to Win it all

• USA -1500
• France +790

Odds provided by DraftKings

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Medal Predictions: Who is the favorite for gold, silver, and bronze in basketball?

As we mentioned earlier, the USA have always been and still are our favorites for the gold medal! We can't see them letting it go in the final. That leaves the silver and bronze medals... France should then take second place, if we follow our logic.

While Canada, Germany and Serbia were the most serious contenders to finish on the podium of this competition, one of these last two nations will win the final medal. In fact, we'll be treated to a superb match for third place between Germany and Serbia. The latter, after a very good tournament, almost took out the Americans in the last match, and has all the talent needed to leave Paris with bronze around her neck.

2024 Olympic Basketball Prediction - The Odds for Bronze

• Serbia -132
• Germany +108

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Beginner Bettors - How Does the Men's Olympic Basketball Tournament Work?

Now that you know our various predictions, it's time to explain how the competition works in detail, as it's essential to understand the tournament structure to make informed bets.

A total of 12 teams are gathered for these Olympic Games and are divided into 3 groups of 4. The format is quite simple: each team in a group plays against every other team once, resulting in 3 matches per nation.

From here, things get a bit more complicated. The top two teams from each group will qualify for the quarterfinals, along with the two best third-placed teams. Then, a new draw will be held to determine the knockout stage bracket. Without going into too much detail, the top two teams from the group stage will be placed in opposite halves of the bracket and can only meet in the final. Additionally, two teams from the same group cannot face each other in the quarterfinals. Before the draw, each team will be assigned a pot based on their results. The system is quite complex but prevents some nations from strategizing to avoid meeting a particular team.

Key Points on the Organization of the Olympic Games for Your Basketball Bets

• 12 qualified teams (4 still to be determined in the Olympic qualifying tournaments)
• Group stage (3 groups of 4)
• The 1st and 2nd place teams in each group qualify for the next stage of the competition
• The 2 best 3rd place teams qualify for the quarterfinals
• Knockout matches follow
• Quarterfinals, semifinals, and final
• Match for 3rd place (bronze medal)

Throughout the competition and for each of your predictions for the Olympic Games, remember this format, as it could impact the various matches.

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How to Make Good Predictions for the 2024 Olympic Games Matches and Bet on Basketball?

Now that the stage is set and you know our predictions for this Olympic basketball tournament, we will present our tips for making accurate predictions throughout the competition. These tips will help you optimize your chances of success throughout the tournament. Here are our main tips:

• Analyze the rosters of the 2024 Olympic basketball teams
• Check for any significant absences
• Review the latest results
• Analyze the statistics
• Compare the odds

By taking these different elements into account, you maximize your chances of winning. For more details, you will find the information below. Keep in mind that these tips apply to all competitions, and our experts consider them every time, whether it's for their NBA predictions or forecasts for any other tournament.

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Analyze the rosters of the 2024 Olympic basketball teams

For this competition, the squads are now known for each nation. Indeed, the selectors have had to submit an official list, and many stars will indeed be present at the 2024 Olympic Games. In addition to the USA, these include Nikola Jokic (Serbia), Giánnis Antetokoúnmpo (Greece), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Canada) and Dennis Schröder (Germany).

And, after a long NBA season, the players will still have to play a series of matches, which could compromise their form in this Olympic tournament. As a result, we'll have to keep a close eye on the physical condition of these players, and whether they're fit to play at 100%. This is bound to have a significant impact on the entire competition.

Check for any significant absences

After examining the team rosters you are considering betting on, another crucial step is to check for any significant absences. Indeed, with closely scheduled matches and a very high level of intensity, last-minute absences are common. Be careful not to bet too quickly and make sure the team is complete for the match.

Similarly, it is essential to monitor the form of key players. Many nations have one or two major players in their lineup. If one of them is not at their best, be cautious before placing your bet.

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Review the latest results

The recent results of a team often reflect its current form. It is therefore important to look closely at this aspect and favor teams that are in a positive dynamic. For example, Germany may not be the most impressive team on paper, but they won the World Cup last summer. Naturally, the Nationalmannschaft has a high chance of remaining very competitive in this tournament.

It is important to note that you should also carefully consider the content of the matches and not just the results. Indeed, lineups can vary, and some teams do not always play with their full squad, which skews the statistics. You should also look at various key points that can indicate the level of a team (assists, shooting percentage, turnovers, etc.).

Analyze the statistics

In line with what was previously mentioned, it is essential to consider the statistics of different teams and players. Without taking time to analyze various parameters such as rebounds, strong and weak positions of each team, turnovers, etc., your bets might be risky, and you stand a high chance of losing your stake. It is therefore crucial to spend some time ensuring you do not miss any decisive information.

Compare the odds

Finally, our last piece of advice (and not the least) is to check the odds offered by different sportsbooks to bet effectively and maximize your winnings during the Olympic basketball games. This is an element too often overlooked by bettors.

For example, if you want to bet on France winning against Germany in a group match and the odds are +185 on FanDuel compared to +180 on DraftKings, why not choose the better offer? On a bet of $100, the difference is $5, which can significantly impact your winnings in the long run. Therefore, it is imperative to compare the odds and always opt for the most advantageous ones.

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What Not to Do for Your Basketball Predictions for Paris Olympics

In addition to carefully following the previously mentioned tips, we have also compiled a list of mistakes to absolutely avoid for your predictions for the 2024 Olympic Games:

• Overestimating your own country's team due to emotional attachment
• Betting immediately after a loss in hopes of recovering your losses
• Relying solely on a nation's reputation without considering its current form
• Ignoring the importance of context and the specific stakes of a match
• Not choosing the best odds available on the market
• Placing "live" bets too frequently without thorough prior analysis
• Assuming that certain odds are "easy" or that some bets are "guaranteed"

By avoiding these pitfalls when betting on the Olympics, you will significantly improve your effectiveness and the reliability of your predictions, thereby increasing your chances of success and your winnings on online sports betting sites.

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Key Stats to Know About the Men's Basketball Tournament at the Olympic Games

You are now equipped with our predictions, you know the tournament format, the strategies to adopt, and the mistakes to avoid when betting on the 2024 Olympics. As promised, we will now share the statistics that we consider crucial for betting effectively on this Olympic tournament.

Here are the key statistics from the 2020 Olympic basketball tournament. While these data should be taken with caution, they provide an overall trend on the statistics of Olympic basketball matches:

• 86.4 points scored on average per match
• Shooting success rate: 46%
• There were 19 double-doubles during the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo, including 6 for Slovenia
• The United States and Slovenia averaged nearly 100 points in the last Olympic tournament
• No player from Team USA scored more than 30 points during the Tokyo Olympics
• The United States won by an average of 20 points over the entire competition

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In short: How to make good basketball predictions and place successful bets for the 2024 Olympics?

To maximize your chances of success in basketball predictions for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games, the recipe is clear: it is essential to analyze each match by considering multiple parameters, keeping relevant statistics in mind, and following our recommendations.

In conclusion, always remember to never bet without first analyzing the match, and never risk an amount disproportionate to your financial means. Sports betting should remain a form of entertainment, and to keep it that way, only bet money you can afford to lose. We wish you good luck with your bets for the basketball event at the Paris Olympic Games.

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More Paris Olympic Betting Tips

• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Swimming Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Volleyball Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Rugby Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Handball Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Soccer Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Tennis Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Boxing Prediction
• Our 2024 Paris Olympic Track & Field Prediction

Images featuring the official Olympic Games branding are licensed from the IMAGO website.

Olympic Basketball: The Best Odds for Betting on the 2024 Olympic Games

Odds are not yet available for this competition.