MLB Picks & Predictions

The 2024 MLB season is set to be full of action with record new signings and some key transfers. We've got all the information to help you make the most informed betting decisions this 2024 MLB season. Don't forget to check out our expert MLB picks and predictions for info about the best bets and parlays! Below is all you need to know before casting your first wager this season.

2024 MLB Season Picks and Betting Tips

With its deep history and marathon regular season, MLB has tens of millions of fans across the US. America’s Pastime might have changed since the days of Babe Ruth, but its fans are still as passionate, and the game’s biggest stars are lucratively rewarded for their skills.

Bettors have a lot to choose from when it comes to betting on MLB – futures markets have become a fundamental part of baseball discourse. On this page, you'll have all the info you need to start making accurate baseball predictions We have you covered for lineups, pitching matchups, and the best free expert picks and predictions with odds from a top baseball sportsbook. 

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MLB Picks: Who Will Win the 2024 World Series?

It's the Yankees vs. the Dodgers.

In a World Series matchup we couldn't have scripted better, we've got two highest-paying, star-studded teams slugging it out in a seven-game series for the coveted World Series title.

The New York Yankees returned to the Fall Classic after an overwhelming performance against the Cleveland Guardians in the American League Championship Series. The Bronx Bombers came to play with Giancarlo Stanton emerging as the Mr. October for the team by delivering key homers throughout the series that powered the Yankees to their first World Series since winning their 28th title in 2009,

The Los Angeles Dodgers struck the final nail in the coffin for the New York Mets on Sunday as Shohei Ohtani sealed his much-awaited World Series debut behind clutch hitting from Will Smith and NLCS MVP Tommy Edman in Game 6. The Dodgers seek to win their second World Series in four years and seventh overall.

The 2024 World Series will begin on Thursday, October 24, at Dodgers Stadium in Los Angeles, California.

Our pick for the 2024 World Series winner is the LA Dodgers. 

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2024 World Series: Who are the betting favorites?

Throughout most of the season, the Yankees and Dodgers have been in the lead. It's easy to see why when you look at their lineup. Featuring some of baseball's biggest stars, these two seem destined to play each other for the grandest prize in professional baseball.

Post season baseball has already delivered some thrills, let's see which team can win the World Series!. 

Odds provided by DraftKings

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How to bet on MLB?

Bettors have lots of options when they are considering how to bet on MLB. You can stick to the moneyline and over/under, you can pick your favorite run line wagers, or dive deeper with player and team props.  Of course, there’s also the option to survey outright markets. The best MLB betting sites will provide a catalog of futures betting options throughout the season, including division winners, World Series winners, MVP, Cy Young, and more. 

It’s important you conduct sufficient research before you commit to betting on MLB. Get a full understanding of the markets available, and compare odds across different sportsbooks. We would also recommend looking at some MLB tips from betting experts to inform your decisions. 

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MLB Betting Tips for Beginner Bettors

Below, we have compiled five pieces of advice to bear in mind when making your MLB picks. Stick to these and you will enhance your chances of hitting a home run with your MLB wagers.

• Compare starting pitching matchups
• Consider form of both teams
• Analyse detailed statistics
• Situational spots and team news
• Compare odds across bookmakers

Let’s take a look at each point in more detail:

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Tip 1: Compare starting MLB pitching matchup

Even with starters pitching fewer innings and many teams utilizing openers, the starting pitching matchup is still a major factor when making your MLB betting decisions. The quality of the two starting pitchers will go a long way to determining which team is favored.

A dominant starter can pitch six-plus innings, and will occasionally hand straight over to the closer. If they’re pounding the zone and racking up the strikeouts, the other team is going to struggle to generate much offense.

Sites like Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant are packed with starting pitcher statistics. You can see how a pitcher has fared against a particular opponent, and look into their last few outings. Savant’s advanced metrics are especially useful for those who want a bit more depth than looking at a starter’s season-long ERA.

Tip 2: Consider form of both MLB teams

Just as in other sports, it’s important to look at the recent performances from both teams. Previous successes don’t guarantee a team will be victorious in the game you’re wagering on, but it’s something to consider when analyzing the betting markets.

Form isn’t everything when making your picks. It should be part of your pre-bet process, though.

Baseball is notorious for hot streaks and massive slumps both for players and whole teams. If a player has been scorching hot at the plate lately, that’s something you need to know. If a team have been slumping on the road, that might put you off backing them even as favorites.

Tip 3: Analyse detailed statistics

Baseball is renowned for its love of statistics. Numbers are a fundamental part of baseball conversation, and they are a huge component for bettors, fans and teams.

Fortunately, the vast majority of baseball statistics are publicly available. Most are accessible free of charge, too. The use of analytics has changed the direction of travel in baseball, so it’s paramount that you use them to your advantage.

Think of the statistics that could help find a value betting angle. If a team is facing a hard-throwing starting pitcher, you could look at how they have fared against high-velocity arms. Alternatively, if a team is excellent at drawing walks, it’s worth looking at the command of the opposing starter.

There are so many ways to analyze betting with the help of advanced statistics. You can look into park factors, quality of contact, defense and so much more. Familiarize yourself with the big statistics sites to make sure you are armed with all the resources you need.

Tip 4: Situational spots and team news

Baseball’s schedule is unique, partly because it’s so demanding. Rest days are infrequent for teams during the 162-game regular season. On occasion, they will be forced to play doubleheaders. Long road trips can take their toll on teams.

Look into how teams have got on when they have a rest advantage. See what their recent schedule has been like – could fatigue be a deciding factor? Is it a travel day? Did they just fly across the country?

The MLB season really is a marathon. The schedule is arduous, providing another factor for bettors to consider throughout the campaign. Once the Playoffs come around, the use of pitchers (particularly aces and star relievers) is something to keep an eye on, as starters can end up pitching on short rest.

Like any sport, it’s worth keeping up to date with team news. You want to know if a key hitter is having a day off or if the closer is returning from the injured list. You must study this point before all baseball picks you make

Tip 5: Compare odds across sportsbooks

You should always compare odds across different sportsbooks before committing to your bet(s). This can be the difference between making a profit and losing money. Odds comparison sites make this easy for you – you always want the best possible odds, and the minor hassle of comparing prices is definitely worth it in the long term.

It makes sense to register at multiple sportsbooks with funds in your account so you can quickly place your wager(s) wherever the prices are best. You will also then be able to benefit from multiple sign-up offers and other promotions.

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What Not to Do for Your MLB Picks

Just as we have outlined some things you should do when making MLB picks, there are also things you should avoid doing if you want to be a profitable baseball bettor.

Avoid making these mistakes:

• Chasing losses (betting more units than usual to try and make up for lost wagers)
• Failing to manage your bankroll (have a fixed unit amount)
• Placing bets without comparing odds
• Betting on a team or player based on reputation rather than conducting research
• Only judging the performance of a team on their results rather than more predictive metrics
• Failing to understand betting odds and the implied probability of the market you are wagering on
• Blindly backing your favorite team/player
• Betting on a market without understanding recent betting trends

Both rookie and seasoned bettors have fallen into a few of these errors. Mistakes are going to happen in baseball betting, but if you steer clear of the slipups listed above, you will significantly increase your chances of earning a profit.

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MLB Picks: Statistics You Need to Know

We have put together a list of some of the most interesting MLB statistics that you need to consider before placing your bets:

• The Cincinnati Reds covered the run line more than any other team during the 2023 season.
• The Houston Astros went 34-53 on the run line at home in 2023.
• There was an average of 9.24 runs scored per game in the 2023 season.
• Since 2020, the Atlanta Braves have hit the over more frequently than any other team (53% of all games).
• The Oakland Athletics (3.61) scored the fewest runs per game in 2023.
• Over the last two seasons, the Cleveland Guardians have landed the under more often than any other team (54.6% of all games).
• The Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Dodgers were tied for the league record in interleague play last season – they both went 30-16 straight up.
• The league average FIP was 4.33 in 2023.
• San Francisco Giants pitchers generated the most groundballs in the Majors (48.7%).
• The Los Angeles Angels have covered the run line the last often of any team over the last five seasons.

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Conclusion: How to get Your MLB Picks Right Today?

When settling on your MLB picks, make sure you have followed all the advice throughout this article. You want to consider pitching matchups, betting trends and compare odds before committing to your wagers. Research statistics both traditional and advanced.

If you’re short on time or just want to be pointed in the right direction, head over to our MLB page to learn more about our MLB tips.

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MLB: Best Odds

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