Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4/26/25 16:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Barcelona wins the match

+115
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 by Tyler Doty in Soccer Picks

This weekend sees the eagerly-awaited King's Cup final! For the first time since 2014, we'll be treated to a Clasico, between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid, for the final fixture in Spain's domestic cup. The match takes place this Saturday at 4:00 pm ET, at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Seville. FC Barcelona are enjoying a top-class season. Already winners of the Spanish Supercup, Barça will not be content with just one trophy this season. In addition to the King's Cup final, the Catalan club can still hope to win La Liga as well as the Champions League.

It's not quite the same story for Real Madrid! In La Liga, last year's UCL winners are in 2nd place, but 4 points behind the Catalans. They also went out in the Champions League quarter-finals against Arsenal (aggregate score: 1-5). Carlo Ancelotti's men therefore know that they are eagerly awaited in this King's Cup final. They will be doing their utmost to pull out all the stops and put a smile back on their socios' faces as the year draws to a close.

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Form

Barcelona and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Celta Vigo

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona

Apr 12, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Barcelona

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  1
Betis
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Celta Vigo

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  1
Betis

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Girona

Mar 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Osasuna
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona

Apr 12, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Barcelona

Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Real Madrid

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Valencia
W W D L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Valencia

Apr 1, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
4 :  4
Real Sociedad

Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Barcelona against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Barcelona

50 %

Draw

0 %

Real Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jan 12, 2025 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

Oct 26, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  4
Barcelona

Aug 3, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona

Jan 14, 2024 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 28, 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Barcelona - Real Madrid: Form Analysis

For many weeks now, FC Barcelona have been leaving little in their wake. At the start of 2025, Barça won the Spanish Supercup by beating Real Madrid in the final (2-5). The Blaugrana also remain on course to win La Liga. They have just won their 3 previous matches and are top of the table. They are 4 points clear of Real, with only 5 games left to play.

And the team coached by Hansi Flick also remains in contention for the last four of the Champions League. They will face Inter Milan for a place in the final. Finally, Barça are aiming to win the King's Cup. To reach the final, they beat Barbastro (0-4), Betis Sevilla (5-1), Valencia CF (0-5) and Atlético de Madrid (aggregate score: 5-4).

FC Barcelona won the Spanish Supercup this season, beating Real Madrid in the final (2-5).

Real Madrid, for their part, were still able to win trophies this season. They won the European Supercup and the Intercontinental Cup. That's not to say that the Merengues are having a great season. In La Liga, they will have to rely on a Blaugrana failure to close the 4-point gap at the top of the table, even if they have won their last 3 matches.

To make matters worse, Carlo Ancelotti's men went out early in the Champions League. They fell at the quarter-final stage, losing both the first leg (3-0) and the return leg (1-2) to Arsenal. Real Madrid are now hoping to lift their game by winning the King's Cup. They eliminated Deportiva Minera (0-5), Celta

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Real Madrid v Barcelona last Lineups

Barcelona

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
W. Szczesny
32
H. Fort
4
R. Araujo
24
E. Garcia
5
I. Martinez
6
Gavi
8
Pedri
19
L. Yamal
20
D. Olmo
10
A. Fati
7
F. Torres
7
Vinicius Junior
16
Endrick
21
B. Diaz
14
A. Tchouameni
8
F. Valverde
15
A. Guler
20
F. Garcia
4
D. Alaba
35
R. Asencio
17
L. Vazquez
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Missing players

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

M. Ter Stegen

Defender

A. Balde

Midfielder

M. Bernal

M. Casado

Forward

R. Lewandowski

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

E. Militao

D. Carvajal

F. Mendy

Forward

K. Mbappe

Barcelona & Real Madrid Squad Analysis

As has been the case for some time now, Barcelona will have to cope with the absences of Marc-André ter Stegen, Marc Casado, and Marc Bernal. To make matters worse, Alejandro Balde and Robert Lewandowski recently picked up injuries that will prevent them from playing in the King's Cup final. Nevertheless, Hansi Flick retains a top-quality squad, starting with the goalkeeper. Having come out of retirement following Marc-André ter Stegen's injury, Wojciech Szczesny is back to his best.

In midfield, Pedri continues to shine with the Barça shirt on his shoulders. When he's lined up, he almost never disappoints. He is indispensable to a Barcelona side that has lost just once in 2025, at Borussia Dortmund, when Pedri did not start. And what about the Blaugrana's attack? In the absence of Robert Lewandowski, Ferran Torres has proved he can shine. And he will be well supported by Lamine Yamal and Raphinha on the wings.

Kylian Mbappé made his return to training. The Real Madrid striker should be present for this King's Cup final.

As for Real Madrid, Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao and Ferland Mendy are still injured. In addition, Carlo Ancelotti has announced that David Alaba and Eduardo Camavinga will miss the King's Cup final. On the good news front, the Madrid coach should see the return of Kylian Mbappé. After sustaining an injury in the second leg of the Champions League quarter-final against Arsenal, the French striker has returned to training.

Real Madrid will need a great Thibaut Courtois if they are to lift the trophy. The Belgian last line of defence is used to shining in the most eagerly-awaited matches. Even if the Madrid team is struggling as a whole, it can count on its individual strengths. With Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior and most probably Kylian Mbappé, Real Madrid can hope to score a few goals.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Barcelona
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (36 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (29 Goals)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (15 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)

Barcelona - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. FC Barcelona are the leaders of La Liga.
  2. Barcelona have won 11 of their last 13 matches in all competitions.
  3. Barcelona won the first 2 Clasicos of the season. They also beat Real Madrid by a wide margin in the Spanish Supercup final (2-5).
  4. Real Madrid are in 2nd place in La Liga.
  5. Real Madrid have lost 3 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
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Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction

FC Barcelona are the favorites to win the King's Cup final. As well as dominating Real Madrid in La Liga, the Catalan club have won the first 2 Clasicos of the season, and always in style (0-4 and 2-5). Hansi Flick's men also beat the Merengues in the Spanish Supercup final. This time around, they intend to do the same in the King's Cup final. And they may well succeed in doing so against a team struggling to convince.

Our FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction: FC Barcelona win!

Prediction:

 

Barcelona wins the match

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Picks

Barcelona Over 1.5 Goals

Odds -130
In their first 2 meetings of the season against Real Madrid, FC Barcelona didn't give them a chance (0-4 and 2-5). They could yet claim a comprehensive victory over their rivals in this King's Cup final.
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Raphinha Anytime Goal Scorer

Odds +165
Raphinha made his mark in the first 2 Clasicos of the season. The FC Barcelona winger scored in both matches. He has no intention of taking his foot off the pedal for this King's Cup final.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Picks
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