Europe - Champions League
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by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks
On Wednesday, the second of the UEFA Champions League semi-final first legs take place. This time we're in Spain, where Barcelona and Inter Milan will clash at Barca's temporary home of Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys. In front of a home crowd, can the hosts shift through the gears following that big win against Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey final on Saturday?
A treble of league, domestic and continental cup successes remains on the cards for Wednesday's hosts, who under Hansi Flick, have looked menacing this season. They made light work of getting beyond Borussia Dortmund in the previous round, thanks largely to a devastating first-leg home win. Will they be able to repeat that trick here? Well, the obvious answer is probably not. The visitors know how to make life tough for teams, while they are very good at hurting opponents on the break too, so don't be too surprised in the men from Milan leave the city of Barcelona with a positive result in the bag.
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Barcelona vs Inter Milan Form
Barcelona and Inter Milan Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Apr 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 12, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Apr 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 12, 2025 - LaLiga
Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 12, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 12, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League
Barcelona against Inter Milan : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 12, 2022 - Champions League
Oct 4, 2022 - Champions League
Dec 10, 2019 - Champions League
Oct 2, 2019 - Champions League
Nov 6, 2018 - Champions League
Oct 24, 2018 - Champions League
Barcelona - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
Following their second-leg defeat in Dortmund, Wednesday's hosts have stepped on the gas again, beating Celta Vigo in the league, scoring four goals in the process, before grinding it out in less high-scoring fashion against Mallorca, this time winning by a goal to zero. Those two wins teed up Saturday's Copa del Rey success, with Barca getting their hands on a first trophy of the season at the expense of bitter rivals Real Madrid.
For the visitors, well, it hasn't exactly been plain sailing since they tied 2-2 with Bayern on home soil, securing a 4-3 aggregate success to advance to the semi-finals of this competition. They followed that result up with a disappointing defeat away to Bologna, while they then lost in the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia, going down against city rivals AC Milan. That was a bitter pill to swallow for Simone Inzaghi's men, who last time out cam unstuck for the third successive game, losing to AS Roma in front of a home crowd. It's thus time for the men in black and white to bounce back.
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Inter Milan v Barcelona last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
A. Balde
MidfielderM. Bernal
M. Casado
ForwardR. Lewandowski
B. Pavard
ForwardM. Thuram
Barcelona & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Robert Lewandowski continues to be out for the hosts, though the experienced Polish scorer is Hansi Flick's only major absentee. A similar team to the one that started Saturday's cup final against Real Madrid is expected to be fielded by the German coach, who will surely continue to give both Raphinha and Lamine Yamal the freedom to create from the wings. One potential change could see Spanish midfielder Gavi start.
The visitors are also blessed with a largely fit squad ahead of this game. However, Benjamin Pavard is out, which is a bit of a blow to Simone Inzaghi, who would likely have started the influential French defender. A similar team to the one that started against Bayern in the last round is expected from the visitors, who should go with five across midfield, leaving Marcus Thuram and Lisandro Martinez to operate as a duo up top.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Inter Milan
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
L. Yamal
(15 Assists)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
Barcelona and Inter Milan Stats in Champions League
Barcelona - Inter Milan Key Points
- Only one Inter Milan player has taken more shots than Marcus Thuram this season.
- In the Champions League this season, Marcus Thuram averages 2.32 shots per 90 minutes.
- Marcus Thuram registered a shot on target in his last UCL fixture (against Bayern in the last round).
- Marcus Thuram has also registered a shot on target in four of his last five Champions League games.
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Our Barcelona vs Inter Milan Prediction
Of course, following their huge Copa del Rey win at the weekend, the hosts will be keen to get the job done here, especially as they chase the treble, but we shouldn't assume that they'll have this all their own way. After all, the visitors are not easy to face, while they are well equipped to hit on the break. Given his recent efforts in the Champions League, Marcus Thuram, who typically works the opposition keeper with his direct approach, is worth betting on to register a shot on target. Our Barcelona vs Inter Milan Pick: Marcus Thuram Over 0.5 Shots on Target.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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