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Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Barcelona
4/9/25 14:00
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score.

-160
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Champions League Picks

Barcelona versus Borussia Dortmund is a UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup on Wednesday night at Estadi Olympic Lluis Companys. This will be the first round of this two-legged series, with Barca looking to lift the trophy for the first time in the post-Messi era. Hans Flick's men sailed through to the quarters after winning eight of their 10 games while recording only a single loss. They looked sharp in the Round of 16 after seeing out Benfica 4-1 on aggregate.

Dortmund, meanwhile, are experiencing a challenging Bundesliga campaign, sitting in the tenth spot with 38 points from 27 matches. This means their hope of playing elite European football next season may hinge on lifting the Champions League trophy, which looks unlikely. They struggled against Lille in the Round of 16, winning 2-3 on aggregate. Most pundits expect that they could fall short against Barca, although the Germans have shown excellent resilience this season.

Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Barcelona and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  1
Betis

Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Girona

Mar 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Osasuna

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  1
Betis

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Girona

Mar 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Osasuna

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Barcelona

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  4
Barcelona

Feb 6, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
D L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Lille
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille
L D W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Mar 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille

Feb 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
6 :  0
Union Berlin

Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

Feb 8, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Stuttgart
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 5, 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Lille
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Mar 1, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 15, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Barcelona against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Barcelona

67 %

Draw

33 %

Borussia Dortmund

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Dec 11, 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Barcelona

Nov 27, 2019 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 17, 2019 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Barcelona

Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

Barcelona have been in great form during the 2024-25 season. They are fighting hard to retain their La Liga title despite pressure from Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid. The Catalans have won eight of their last nine games in the league, with the only blemish coming last weekend in a 1-1 tie with Real Betis. They have also been in fine form internationally, winning eight and losing once in their 10 assignments.

Barcelona has scored 32 goals in those matches while conceding 14 goals.

Borussia Dortmund have had a poor domestic season. They are almost certain of missing out on a Champions League spot next season following their 2-0 loss to RB Leipzig last season. However, they have shown better form in the Champions League, winning seven and losing three of their assignments this season. The Germans have also demonstrated great defensive awareness in this competition after keeping five clean sheets while conceding an average of 1.17 goals per contest.

Borussia Dortmund v Barcelona last Lineups

Barcelona

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
W. Szczesny
23
J. Kounde
2
P. Cubarsi
4
R. Araujo
3
A. Balde
8
Pedri
21
F. De Jong
19
L. Yamal
6
Gavi
7
F. Torres
9
R. Lewandowski
27
K. Adeyemi
14
M. Beier
26
J. Ryerson
10
J. Brandt
13
P. Gross
17
C. Chukwuemeka
24
D. Svensson
5
R. Bensebaini
23
E. Can
3
W. Anton
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

M. Ter Stegen

Midfielder

M. Bernal

M. Casado

D. Olmo

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Midfielder

M. Sabitzer

Barcelona & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

Barcelona were without their first-choice goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen against Betis. The 32-year-old German goalkeeper was out with a cruciate ligament injury, although he's already back in training. If he's not fit to play, experienced Polish keeper Wojciech Szczesny could be handed his fifth start in this competition. The rest of the squad should remain intact, with Robert Lewandowski (9 goals) and Raphinha (11 goals) leading the goal-searching mission.

Niko Kovac's Dortmund will miss the services of several key players in this high-stakes away encounter.

The Germans will be without their attacking midfielder Pascal Gross, who will miss this matchup with a suspension. The 33-year-old will undoubtedly be a massive loss after bagging seven assists for Dortmund in the Champions League this season. Also out for BVB is Nico Schlotterbeck who is out for the remainder of the season. Karim Adeyemi and Serhou Guirassy will continue their attacking exploits after scoring five and 10 goals in this competition.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Barcelona
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (34 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (25 Goals)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (14 Assists)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)

Barcelona and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Champions League

Barcelona
Barcelona
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
80%
Victories
58%
10%
Draw
17%
10%
Defeats
25%
4.6
Total goals per match
3.5
3.2
Goals scored per match
2.33
1.4
Goals conceded per match
1.17
90%
Over 2.5
75%
10%
Under 2.5
25%
70%
BTTS
58%
30%
No goals conceded
42%

Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Barcelona won 12 of their last 13 matches.
  2. Barcelona won six of their last seven home games.
  3. Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings between these sides.
  4. Barcelona have not lost in their last five meetings with Borussia.

Our Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Barcelona will fly out of the gates early on Wednesday to secure a critical win at home before the return leg. They have dominated their latest games, scoring first in 13 of their last 15 assignments. Barcelona also scored first in three of their previous four meetings with the Germans. Conversely, Borussia must up their game if they are to knock out the Spanish giants. The former Bundesliga champions conceded first in three of their last four games, a record that could put them in trouble against Barcelona. Dortmund also lost the first half in three of their previous four matches. Overall, we don't see them even getting a draw on Wednesday. Our prediction for Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund: Both teams to score.

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score.

-160
$1500 offered for betting!

Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Picks

Over 3.5 goals

Odds +100
Our secondary prediction is for over 3.5 goals to hit. Barcelona will be eager to get a big win at home and prevent Dortmund from getting their way back into this contest in the second leg. The reigning Spanish champions have scored over 2.5 goals in five of their last six home games. So, we expect them to score at least three goals with Dortmund getting a consolation goal.
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Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund Picks