WTA - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA 10 Czech Republic
Barbora Krejcikova
13 Jul 2024 09:00
WTA 4 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Over 21.5 Games

-115
$1500 offered for betting!

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Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

On Saturday afternoon, there's action on center court at Wimbledon, as Barbora Krejcikova and Jasmine Paolini clash in the final of what may just be the most prestigious tennis tournament there is. Both players are arguably surprise finalists, and this is very much a final without a clear and obvious favorite. The Czech player, who is actually the lower-ranked player right now, is the narrow favorite, but this really is anyone's match to win. Here's to a great finale.

Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Barbora Krejcikova and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Barbora Krejcikova Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 11, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Barbora Krejcikova
2 :  1
Elena Rybakina

Jul 10, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jelena Ostapenko
0 :  2
Barbora Krejcikova

Jul 8, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Danielle Collins
0 :  2
Barbora Krejcikova

Jul 6, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Barbora Krejcikova
abort
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Jul 4, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Barbora Krejcikova
2 :  0
Katie Volynets

Jul 3, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Barbora Krejcikova
2 :  1
Veronika Kudermetova
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 11, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Donna Vekić
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Jul 9, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Emma Navarro

Jul 7, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
abort
Madison Keys

Jul 5, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Bianca Andreescu

Jul 3, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Greet Minnen

Jul 1, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Sara Sorribes Tormo

Barbora Krejcikova - Jasmine Paolini: Form Analysis

Barbora Krejcikova came into Wimbledon having only played four matches on grass this season, two of which she won, so she was far from hotly fancied to go all the way, especially as she hadn't exactly been in decent form in general, losing each of her last five clay-court matches before switching to grass, but it's absolutely fair to say that the player who is currently ranked 32 in the world (not for long) has enjoyed his time playing at the home of grass-court tennis. After all, she's no stranger to playing well on grass, which is arguably her preferred surface. 

As for Paolini, well, her performances at this tournament are arguably more surprising, despite her current world ranking of 7th. Of course, we all knew that Paolini was enjoying a promising season in general, as she reached the French Open final, but before this tournament, she'd shown very little preference for this surface, having previously lost many more matches on grass than she 'd won. However, she's now proven, by beating some very good opponents, that she can deliver something near her best on grass. 

Barbora Krejcikova & Jasmine Paolini Squad Analysis

In terms of fitness, both players will arrive in good shape. Neither has reported any injury complaints of late. We should indeed see a match played by two players at peak fitness and at the top of their game.

Barbora Krejcikova - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. Each of Krejcikova's last two Wimbledon matches have contained more than 21 games.
  2. More than 21 games have been played in four of Krejcikova's six Wimbledon matches this season.
  3. Last time out, we saw Paolini need way more than 21 games to get the job done.
  4. More than 21 games have been played in two of Paolini's last three Wimbledon matches.

Our Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

This very much is a tough match to call, and to be honest, I wouldn't want to call it. Krejcikova, as the most experienced Wimbledon campaigner in general, is the current favourite, but she is by no means a solid favourite. You could argue that the pair should be ever so slightly closer in the pre-match betting than they are right now, potentially making Paolini a very small value bet in that sense, but I'd argue that the value lies with betting on 'Total Games' here. 

Since we've had a match between two players who've shown similar qualities on grass at Wimbledon, it's hard to see this being a clear-cut, easy win for either player. All the indicators point towards a tough battling unfolding on center court, so don't be surprised to see plenty of games taking place here. More than 21 games, and way more at that, were needed, and I can only see something similar happening here, so much so that early odds of -115 look very user friendly. Our Prediction: Over 21.5 Games. 

Prediction:

 

Over 21.5 Games

-115
$1500 offered for betting!

Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini - Other Interesting Picks

Over 2.5 Sets

Odds +133
Since there really does appear to be little between the pair, with both playing a similar sort of game, this really could be a hard-fought and ultimately long battle. Everything we've seen from the pair so far tells us that neither player is likely to win easily, so the prospect of a third set seems very real. As far as I'm concerned, with each player going into three sets last time out, more than two sets being played is a little more likely than early BetMGM odds of +133 suggest. Therefore, betting on 'Over 2.5 Set' offers us some nice value for money.
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Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini Picks