Australia vs Serbia Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks
World powers collide as Australia locks horns with Serbia for a place in the men’s 5x5 basketball semifinal at the 2024 Paris Olympics. Australia started their Olympic campaign strong with a statement win over three-time Olympic silver medalists Spain 92-80 but lost their next two “Group of Death” games to Canada 93-83 and Greece 71-77. It was three years ago when Australia won their first-ever Olympic medal in men’s 5x5 basketball at the Tokyo Olympics. The Boomers would want to stay recognized among the basketball elites by landing a place in the podium once more. Serbia got a total beatdown at the hands of the United States 110-84 but managed to flex their might in the next two games against Puerto Rico 107-66 and South Sudan 96-85. The Serbians are raring to get another medal in this event after failing to qualify for the Tokyo Olympics three years ago.
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Australia vs Serbia Form
Australia and Serbia Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
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Jul 21, 2024 - International Friendly Games
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Jul 22, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 21, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Jul 17, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Australia against Serbia : Head to Head (H2H)
Jul 16, 2024 - International Friendly Games
Australia - Serbia: Form Analysis
Australia went 1-2 in group play but still managed to come out of Group A thanks to a better quotient over Spain. The Aussies averaged 82.0 points on 55.4 percent true shooting, 41.0 rebounds, and 21.7 assists. They would like to operate in a half-court set to utilize their size and bulk advantage against their opponents properly. As a result, Australia only generates 78.9 ball possession per 40 minutes in this tournament. Serbia finished with a 2-1 record in Group C to clinch the other quarterfinal spot apart from the United States. Surprisingly, Serbia has come out of group play as one of the best-scoring teams in the tournament at 95.7 points per game. They also averaged 25.7 assists per game, boasting an assists-per-turnover ratio of 13.0.
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Players list
Substitutes
Australia & Serbia Squad Analysis
Jock Landale has one of the best individual stats in the tournament so far, averaging 17.7 points and 9.7 rebounds across three games. The Australians are also getting solid contributions from Chicago Bulls playmaker Josh Giddey, who averaged 15.0 points, 8.7 rebounds and 6.7 assists. NBA veteran Patty Mills continues to turn the hands of time, scoring 13.3 points per contest. Bogdan Bogdanovic has emerged as the top scorer for Serbia with 19.0 points. Nikola Jokic has stuffed the stats sheet with 18.7 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 7.0 assists, while Vasilije Micic provides 13.0 points and 5.3 assists per game.
Australia - Serbia Key Points
- Josh Giddey averages 15.0 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 6.7 assists
- Nikola Jokic averages 18.7 points per game in this Olympics.
- Serbia averages 95.7 points per game in the tournament.
- Australia scores 82.0 points per game on 55.4 percent true shooting
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Our Australia vs Serbia Prediction
Serbia and Australia are 1-1 in their head-to-head series at the Olympics, making this quarterfinal match their rubber match. Australia has the height and the brawns to match up well with Nikola Jokic and other Serbian bigs; they just need to score more efficiently if they want to have a shot at beating the European powerhouse. Watch out for another terrific game from Josh Giddey, whose ability to penetrate and create scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates will be key to Australia’s upset win over the European powerhouse. Our betting prediction for Australia vs. Serbia: Bet on Australia to win, +220, at BetMGM.
Australia vs Serbia - Other Interesting Picks
Nikola Jokic Under 22.5 points
Jokic still averaged 18.7 points per game in this Olympics while also being the top rebounder and playmaker of the team. Again, Australia is a physical team that won’t be hesitant to get rough with their opponents. As brilliant as Jokic is, matching up with physical big seems to be his weak point. For that reason, I like Australia’s chance of holding him down under 22.5 points in this match. Bet on Nikola Jokic Under 22.5 points, -130, at DraftKings.
Josh Giddey to go UNDER 31.5 on points + rebounds + assists.
Josh Giddey's performance against Serbia will determine Australia's chances of reaching the semifinals. The young Australian has been an all-around star in this tournament, averaging 15.0 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 6.7 assists. With their tournament life on the line, Giddey is anticipated to post similar figures, though topping 31.5 points + rebounds + assists may be too much to ask of him in what is likely to be a physically demanding 40 minutes of play. Our betting prediction for Australia vs. Serbia: Bet on Josh Giddey to go UNDER 31.5 points, -135, at DraftKings.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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