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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League
by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks
On Wednesday evening, it's crunch time for bitter rivals Atletico and Real Madrid, who will meet in the UEFA Champions League for the second time in just over a week. Can the hosts turn things around having lost the first leg by two goals to one?
Sure, Atletico lost the first leg, but they're only a goal behind, while they know all about getting results at Metropolitano Stadium, so this tie is far from over. Then again, to make it through, the hosts will have to do something that they haven't done too often in recent times, which is get the better of their city rivals at this venue. Diego Simeone's men have won just two of their last nine home renewals of this fixture.
For the visitors, it's all about seeing this out, which is something that they've done with aplomb in the UEFA Champions League in recent times. Carlo Ancelotti's men will be looking to keep things tight before hitting their hosts on the break, much as they did against Manchester City in the previous round.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Form
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 4, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 25, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Jan 22, 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga
Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 5, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Sep 29, 2024 - LaLiga
Feb 4, 2024 - LaLiga
Jan 18, 2024 - Copa del Rey
Jan 10, 2024 - Super Cup
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Let's be honest, there wasn't much between the pair at the Bernabeu last week, so this could easily go the way of the hosts, but they'll need to deliver a big performance, much as they did when beating Bilbao recently, as well as when they beat Leverkusen in their last home match in this competition. At the weekend, Simeone's men lost to Getafe, which was their first domestic defeat since January. At home, they've won three of their last four.
As far as the visitors are concerned, overall this season, playing on the road hasn't really been an issue. Ancelotti's men have lost only one of their last five, but that was their most recent away game, while they have now lost two of their last six, winning only three of those six, so they're far from infallible away from home.
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Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Atletico Madrid & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Koke is the only player due to miss out for Atletico, which means that Diego Simeone can field his strongest side. Having not started at the weekend, Alexander Sorloth could come into the starting XI, though there probably won't be many changes to the team that played the first leg, meaning that Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann should start up front together again.
There are a few absentees for the visitors to consider. Dani Carvajal and Dani Ceballos are both still out, while Eder Militao is sidelined too. Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo both went off early at the weekend and should start here. Eduardo Camavinga was rested on Saturday, but he could come back into the starting XI here as Ancelotti looks for maximum energy in midfield.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
J. Alvarez
(17 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(7 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(7 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid Stats in Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Key Points
- Antoine Griezmann is currently averaging 0.63 goals and assists per 90 minutes.
- This season, Antoine Griezmann is averaging 0.55 expected goals and assists.
- Antoine Griezmann has scored two goals in his last two UCL appearances.
- Antoine Griezmann has produced six goals and assists in his last six UCL games.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Picks
Atletico Madrid Over 5.5 Corners
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