Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Picks - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
4/2/25 15:30
Barcelona

Prediction:

 

Barcelona To Qualify

-128
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 by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks

FC Barcelona and Atlético Madrid meet for the 4th and final time this season on Wednesday in the second leg of the King's Cup semifinal. After a spectacular first leg in Catalonia (4-4), in which Barça let a victory slip from their grasp when Sorloth equalized in injury time (90th+3), the Catalan club will be seeking their place in the final in the Spanish capital at the Metropolitano Stadium, where they emerged victorious less than 3 weeks ago in La Liga (2-4). Flick's side came from 2-0 down to mount a stunning comeback just after the hour mark, thanks to a brace from Ferran Torres and goals from the inevitable Robert Lewandowski and Lamine Yamal.

Having been knocked out by Real Madrid in the round of 16 of the Champions League, and now trailing Barcelona by 9 points in the league with 9 games to go, Atlético Madrid, already semi-finalists last season, have only the King's Cup to “save” their season.

FC Barcelona are still engaged on all 3 fronts, with a place at the top of La Liga to consolidate, a Champions League quarter-final against Borussia Dortmund to play for, and a place in the final of the Copa del Rey to secure. The end of Barça's season promises to be exciting...

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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Form

Atletico Madrid and Barcelona Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W L L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Feb 4, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
5 :  0
Getafe

Feb 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Mallorca
D W D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Girona

Mar 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Osasuna

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Real Sociedad
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Girona

Mar 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  0
Osasuna

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Barcelona

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  4
Barcelona

Feb 6, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  5
Barcelona

Atletico Madrid against Barcelona : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

17 %

Draw

17 %

Barcelona

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Feb 25, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

Dec 21, 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 17, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  3
Barcelona

Dec 3, 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Apr 23, 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid - Barcelona: Form Analysis

Atlético Madrid have won just 3 times in the last two months of competition, and have lost 3 of their last 5 matches: to Real Madrid (2-1) in the Champions League, to Getafe (2-1) and to FC Barcelona (2-4) on March 16. Atlético Madrid's strong point at the start of the season, their defense is currently showing major difficulties, with 10 goals conceded in their last 5 outings.

FC Barcelona unbeaten in 20 matches

Unbeaten in 2025, FC Barcelona have just racked up their 20th consecutive match without defeat (17 wins and 3 draws) against Girona (4-1) this weekend. Prior to this latest weekend's success, the Catalan club had won their previous 5 matches against Benfica (0-1 and 3-1) in the Champions League, Real Sociedad (4-0), Atlético Madrid (2-4) in the capital and Osasuna (3-0) at home.

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Barcelona v Atletico Madrid last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
24
R. Le Normand
15
C. Lenglet
3
C. Azpilicueta
22
G. Simeone
8
B. Pablo
4
C. Gallagher
12
S. Lino
7
A. Griezmann
9
A. Sorloth
9
R. Lewandowski
16
F. Lopez
6
Gavi
19
L. Yamal
8
Pedri
24
E. Garcia
35
G. Martin
5
I. Martinez
4
R. Araujo
23
J. Kounde
25
W. Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Barcelona

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Midfielder

Koke

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

M. Ter Stegen

Midfielder

M. Bernal

M. Casado

D. Olmo

Atletico Madrid & Barcelona Squad Analysis

Diego Simeone will have to do without the suspended Correa and the injured Koke. French defender Le Normand remains doubtful for this King's Cup semifinal second leg. Striker Julian Alvarez will be Atlético's number 1 asset. The Argentinian World Champion is on a roll, with 8 goals and 2 assists in his last 12 appearances for club and country. Having scored 23 goals since arriving in Spain, the former citizen is the top scorer in this year's Copa del Rey with 5 goals.

Julian Alvarez top scorer in this year's Copa del Rey with 5 goals

Barcelona will be playing without Bernal (knee), Casado (knee), Christensen (calf), Olmo (groin) and Ter Stegen (knee). Robert Lewandowski, scorer of 7 goals in his last 9 matches for Barça and the Polish national team, has just completed a brace against Girona (4-1) on the final day of La Liga. The former Bayern Munich player has now scored 38 goals in 42 official matches for the club.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (34 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Griezmann (7 Assists)
Spain M. Llorente (7 Assists)
Argentina G. Simeone (7 Assists)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (14 Assists)

Atletico Madrid - Barcelona Key Points

  1. Atlético Madrid have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  2. Barça are on a 6-game winning streak.
  3. The Catalan club is unbeaten since December 21, 2024 (17 wins and 3 draws).
  4. FC Barcelona won 2-4 at Metropolitano Stadium on March 16 in La Liga.
  5. Barcelona let the 4-4 first-leg win slip in stoppage time (90th+3).
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

FC Barcelona are out to win all the trophies at the end of the season... Still in the running in the Champions League (quarter-finals) and leader of La Liga, the Catalan club also want to add the King's Cup 2025 to their list of honors. Although they should have won the first leg (4-4), Lewandowski's team will have to make the difference in the second leg at the Metropolitano Stadium. Less than three weeks ago, in the league, the Blaugranas dominated the Colchoneros in the capital (2-4).

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona qualify!

Prediction:

 

Barcelona To Qualify

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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Picks

Lewandowski Anytime Goal Scorer

Odds +125
The Polish international striker has been on a tear this season, scoring 38 goals in 42 official matches for the Catalan club. Leading the scoring charts ahead of Mbappe with 25 goals, Lewandowski scored for the 3rd time in a row for his club with a brace against Girona (4-1) at the weekend. He had scored on the two previous occasions against Atlético Madrid (2-4, 1 goal) and Osasuna (3-0, 1 goal). Lewandowski scored in the last two matches against the Colchoneros.
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Both Teams To Score: Yes

Odds -210
This season, in the first 3 fixtures, both clubs found the back of the net: a Madrid victory in Catalonia (1-2), a draw in Catalonia in the King's Cup (4-4) and a Catalan victory on Madrid soil (2-4). Barcelona have always scored at least 1 goal in their last 21 matches in all competitions, while Madrid have always scored one goal in their last 15 matches.
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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Picks
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