USA - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
08 Dec 2024 13:00
Minnesota Vikings

Prediction:

 

Falcons -5.5

-110
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Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction & Picks - NFL

 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Minnesota Vikings will put their five-game winning streak on the line Sunday when their former quarterback, Kirk Cousins, brings his new team, the Atlanta Falcons, to town. Kickoff at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. When the betting line opened prior to the start of the season, the Falcons were listed as the betting favorite at -1. But since then, the line has shifted so much that the two teams have switched roles: Atlanta is now the underdog and can be found at +6 (via DraftKings), while Minnesota is a 5.5-point favorite.

The season hasn’t exactly played out as expected for either team. Expectations were not high for the Vikings when Sam Darnold was named the starting quarterback. As for the Falcons, now that they would have a veteran quarterback and an accomplished passer running the offense, the sky was the limit. But, as it turns out, the Vikings have thrived with Darnold at quarterback and will take a 10-2 record (tied with the Eagles for second-best in the NFC) into the game. Atlanta has not become the pass-happy team anyone thought it would be, with Cousins throwing bombs to Drake London and Kyle Pitts while Bijan Robinson punished defenses with a bruising run game.

While the Falcons have had some highs, they’ve had just as many lows. Hence, taking a 6-6 record and a three-game losing streak into this game. A win over a former team is what Cousins needs to light a fire under him for the rest of the regular season.

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
4
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
0.857 14 12 0 2
17
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
0.5 14 7 0 7

Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings Latest Matches

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
6 :  38
Denver Broncos

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
17 :  20
New Orleans Saints

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
21 :  27
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
31 :  26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
34 :  14
Atlanta Falcons
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
21 :  27
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
34 :  14
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  36
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  26
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 22, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  17
Atlanta Falcons
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
6 :  38
Denver Broncos

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
17 :  20
New Orleans Saints

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
31 :  26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
38 :  20
Carolina Panthers

Sep 16, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
22 :  21
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 7, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
17 :  48
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
22 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
30 :  27
Chicago Bears

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
12 :  7
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
13 :  21
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 24, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
20 :  30
Los Angeles Rams
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
22 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
13 :  21
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  29
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 6, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
17 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 22, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
7 :  34
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 15, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
17 :  23
Minnesota Vikings
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
30 :  27
Chicago Bears

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
12 :  7
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 24, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
20 :  30
Los Angeles Rams

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
31 :  29
Green Bay Packers

Sep 8, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
28 :  6
New York Giants

Atlanta Falcons - Minnesota Vikings Key Points

  1. Minnesota leads the all-time series vs. the Falcons, 21-12.
  2. Atlanta has gone 8-20 when an underdog on the road since the 2020 season.
  3. 88% of moneyline bets and 89% of the handle is on the Vikings.
  4. 55% of point spread tickets and 55% of the handle is on the Falcons.

Our Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction

It would certainly make for a great story if Kirk Cousins were to have a stellar day against his former team in Minneapolis. But I see no reason to think it will happen. Yes, the Falcons are a good team when Cousins is on target, but the Vikings are a good team even if Sam Darnold struggles. That being said, I expect Cousins will bounce back from last week’s four-interception debacle, but the Vikings are simply the better team.

Our Falcons vs. Vikings Pick: Falcons -5.5

Prediction:

 

Falcons -5.5

-110
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Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Picks