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Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Picks - MLB
by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers (61-46) will play their rubber match to decide their home series against the visiting Atlanta Braves (57-49) Wednesday afternoon. The Brewers put up 8 runs in game one to take the 8-3 victory. Colin Rea went 5.1 innings and allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits. Game two was a lower scoring affair and the Braves took an early 4-0 lead that they never relinquished. Bryce Elder was superb in that one as he held the Brewers to just 1 run on 5 hits over 6.1 innings. Willy Adames of the Brewers has gone 4-7 with a double and a home run with 3 RBIs so far in the series. The Brewers will be starting Freddy Peralta (6-6, 3.94) in this series finale. He is coming off a really rough start against the Marlins. He made it just 5.1 innings and allowed 5 total runs on 6 hits. He also walked 5 batters which is the biggest concern. He will be opposed by Chris Sale (13-3, 2.68) who just struck out 9 in his last start which came against the Mets. He did not factor into the decision but he looked like his dominate self once again.
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Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.574 | 162 | 93 | 69 |
|
8
|
0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches
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5/6 (83%)
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Atlanta Braves against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)
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Atlanta Braves - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points
- Mil is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
- Mil is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played on a Wednesday.
- Atl is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing as the favorite.
- Atl is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
On paper, it seems like the Braves have a distinct advantage with Sale pitching and Peralta coming off a start in which he imploded. However, we look at the money line and it has the Braves as just slight favorites here on the road. That was an eye popper and then when we look at how Perlata has faired after a bad start, we see that he has gone 6 innings of shutout baseball in both his starts that followed one where he allowed 4 or more runs.
Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves: Milwaukee to win, +110 at Draftkings.
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