USA - MLB

Atlanta Braves
04 May 2024 21:10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Runs

-115
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Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Picks - MLB

 by Dan Angell in MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves (20-10 SU, 15-15 ATS) meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (21-13 SU, 16-18 ATS) in a matchup of National League powerhouses that have won with both offense and defense. Between the two of them, they allow roughly 7.6 runs per game, while they score roughly 10.6 runs per game combined. Both teams rank in the top eight in the majors in runs scored and runs prevented, and both can adjust to win a game however they need to do it that day.

In this matchup, the winning team has often needed to win a tight one. Out of the past 10 meetings, five of them have been decided by two runs or less. The teams’ first meeting of 2024 proved true to form, with the Dodgers getting the win in extra innings after the Braves tied the score late in the contest. There’s a reason these teams are usually near the top of the National League.

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Form

Table

Teams % P W L
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
0.605 162 98 64
8
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
0.549 162 89 73

Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers Latest Matches

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 1, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Apr 30, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Apr 29, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Apr 26, 2024 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Apr 23, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Apr 22, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  3
Atlanta Braves
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 1, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Apr 30, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Apr 29, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Apr 17, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  4
Houston Astros

Apr 16, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  2
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 1, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
8 :  0
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 30, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 29, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
8 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
1 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 21, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  10
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 20, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 19, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 17, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 16, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 1, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
8 :  0
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 30, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 29, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
8 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
1 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 26, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Atlanta Braves against Los Angeles Dodgers : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Braves

33 %

Los Angeles Dodgers

67 %

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 1, 2023 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 31, 2023 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  7
Los Angeles Dodgers

May 22, 2023 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
8 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jun 26, 2022 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Apr 18, 2022 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  7
Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves - Los Angeles Dodgers Key Points

  1. The Dodgers have won eight of their past 10 games.
  2. The under is 5-1 in the Dodgers’ past six games.
  3. The under is 9-0-1 in the Braves’ past 10 games.
  4. The Braves are 2-4 in their past six games.

Our Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

There's another reason to lean hard into the under in this matchup: the pitchers. Tyler Glasnow has mostly been lights out in his starts this season, not giving up more than two runs in six of his seven starts. Other than one bad outing against Washington, he's been one of the most reliable pitchers in the NL. Bryce Elder struggled in the spring and started the year at Triple-A Gwinnett, but he seems to have gotten the message. Since that early hiccup, he's earned a 1.50 ERA in two major league starts.

The Braves keep hitting their unders in part because they boast the second-best bullpen in the National League. As long as Atlanta gets anything close to a decent effort from its starter and doesn't go over the top at the plate, the under is always in play for the Braves. With Glasnow on the mound, the Braves' offense going crazy shouldn't be a worry. Our prediction for Atlanta vs. Los Angeles is Under 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Runs

-115
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Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks