Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB
by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks
The Atlanta Braves (81-69 SU, 69-81 ATS) face the Cincinnati Reds (73-78 SU, 84-67 ATS) in the exact situation they didn't want to be in at this point. The Braves are now one game back of the Mets for the last playoff spot, and while Atlanta still has time to catch both the Mets and Arizona, this is the wrong opponent for that goal.
And that's because Cincinnati has proven to be a tough nut for Atlanta to crack. The Reds swept the Braves in Atlanta earlier this year, and Cincinnati has shown it can handle tough opponents at home. The Reds began September by going on a four-game win streak at home, beating the Brewers and the Astros in the process. Cincinnati isn't in the playoff race any longer, but the Reds' September call-ups have done a pretty good job of taking over. Since bringing up the younger players, the Reds are 9-5 overall.
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Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
0.539 | 152 | 82 | 70 |
|
21
|
0.484 | 153 | 74 | 79 |
Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 16, 2024 - MLB
Sep 15, 2024 - MLB
Sep 14, 2024 - MLB
Sep 13, 2024 - MLB
Sep 11, 2024 - MLB
Sep 10, 2024 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 15, 2024 - MLB
Sep 14, 2024 - MLB
Sep 13, 2024 - MLB
Sep 12, 2024 - MLB
Sep 11, 2024 - MLB
Sep 10, 2024 - MLB
Atlanta Braves against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 9, 2024 - MLB
Jul 24, 2024 - MLB
Jul 22, 2024 - MLB
Jun 23, 2023 - MLB
Apr 12, 2023 - MLB
Apr 10, 2023 - MLB
Atlanta Braves - Cincinnati Reds Key Points
- The teams have split their past 10 meetings.
- The Reds have covered the spread in all nine of their past nine victories.
- The Braves’ past six defeats have all come by at least two runs.
- The over is 4-2 in the Braves’ past six games.
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Backing the bullpen has tended to work pretty well for Atlanta, as the Braves have the third-lowest bullpen ERA in the majors. Grant Holmes has pitched well when he's taken the ball, and it probably helps that he's used to being a starter before moving to the bullpen. If Atlanta needs him to go for longer than an inning or two, he has the stamina needed to do the job.
Brandon Williamson came up as a September call-up after the Reds thought highly enough of him last year to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. Williamson has mostly been kept to a low pitch count, as he hasn't pitched longer than the five innings he threw last time against St. Louis. If Williamson is allowed to throw, he has been pretty effective, allowing just one earned run in all three of his major league appearances. With the winds pushing in at Great American Ball Park, this doesn't look like a big offensive day. Our prediction for Atlanta vs. Cincinnati is Under 9 Runs.
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