England - Premier League

Aston Villa
2/22/25 12:30
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Aston Villa to score over 1.5 goals.

+100
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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

 by Stephen Abiola in Premier League Picks

Aston Villa and Chelsea will square off in a high-stakes EPL matchup at Villa Park on Saturday evening. Both sides are gunning for a Champions League spot, with the Villains looking to join the league's elite 'top 6' status. Aston Villa will be keen to move on from their disappointing 2-0 defeat against Wolves in their last league assignment. They have since responded well in the FA Cup fourth round after edging out Tottenham 2-1. Before hosting the Blues, they play Ipswich and Liverpool at Villa Park and will be keen to maximize their home run. Chelsea, on the other hand, were dumped out of the FA Cup by Brighton. They have a repeat matchup against the Seagulls in the league before traveling to Aston Villa. With Man City, Newcastle, and Bournemouth all chasing the top 4 spots, only a win would suffice for Enzo Maresca and his men.

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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Chelsea
Chelsea
43 25 12 7 6 13
9
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
39 26 10 9 7 -3

Aston Villa and Chelsea Latest Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
D W L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Liverpool

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

Feb 9, 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Tottenham

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Celtic

Jan 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
West Ham
W D W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Liverpool

Feb 15, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

Feb 9, 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Tottenham

Jan 29, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Celtic

Jan 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
West Ham

Jan 10, 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  1
West Ham
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Jan 21, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Aston Villa

Jan 15, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 26, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Aston Villa

Dec 14, 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
D W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 3, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

Jan 20, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

Jan 14, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 3, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

Jan 20, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

Jan 14, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 11, 2025 - FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Morecambe

Dec 26, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Fulham

Dec 19, 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Shamrock Rovers
D L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

Jan 4, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 30, 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Chelsea

Dec 22, 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Chelsea

Aston Villa against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 1, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 27, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Chelsea

Feb 7, 2024 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 26, 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

Sep 24, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 1, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Aston Villa - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Aston Villa fans may start to worry about their Champions League prospects for next season. After digging deep to snatch a 2-2 draw against Arsenal, many expected them to go on a bull run. However, they have since got only a point against West Ham and Wolves. They must surely win against the struggling Ipswich Town before their crunch midweek matchup against Liverpool. Statistics show that Unai Emery's men get results when they have had 6 days or more rest.

Aston Villa has played 16 games with a 6-day rest since the start of last season, winning 12 and losing only once.

Turning over to Chelsea, the chants "We've got our Chelsea back!" seem to have faded among the fanbase. Enzo Maresca's men have not been at their best in the last 10 matches, winning just three times. Perhaps the coach was right at the start of the season when he said Chelsea were not ready for the title race just yet. Their possession-based football is becoming predictable, especially when Cole Palmer has an off day. Chelsea's defense must also step up after leaking goals in the last five games. They have conceded 9 goals during the previous five matches. That could put them in trouble against an attacking side like Villa.

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Chelsea v Aston Villa last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
E. Martinez
16
A. Garcia Robledo
3
A. Disasi
5
T. Mings
12
L. Digne
7
J. McGinn
8
Y. Tielemans
21
M. Asensio
27
M. Rogers
9
M. Rashford
11
O. Watkins
18
C. Nkunku
7
P. Neto
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
8
E. Fernandez
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
6
L. Colwill
23
T. Chalobah
27
M. Gusto
12
F. Jorgensen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

P. Torres

E. Konsa

A. Disasi

Midfielder

R. Barkley

L. Bailey

B. Kamara

A. Onana

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

W. Fofana

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

M. Mudryk

O. Kellyman

N. Jackson

N. Madueke

M. Guiu

Aston Villa & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Aston Villa offloaded Jhon Duran to the Saudi Pro League in the January transfer window. The Colombian striker was known for producing some clutch moments, scoring 3 goals in seven matches this season. However, Villa moved in swiftly to replace him with Rashford from Man United and Emery will be hoping this gamble pays off. Morgan Rogers has also stepped up lately, adding some odd goals to his game.

Morgan Rogers has bagged 8 goals in as many games, including a hat-trick against Celtics in the UEFA Champions League. He is undoubtedly a goal threat.

Chelsea, on the other hand, have rebuilt their squad around Cole Palmer, although he's struggling for form at the moment. The creative English left-footer has had only a single goal contribution every 268 minutes since December last year. Before that, he scored or assisted a goal every 75 minutes in his first 15 assignments. As if Palmer's struggles weren't enough, Nicolas Jackson is injured until April. He has led the line exceptionally well this season, scoring 9 goals and assisting 5 in 23 matches. Romeo Lavia is also out until after the March international break.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (14 Goals)
Best assists
England O. Watkins (9 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (7 Assists)

Aston Villa and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Chelsea
38%
Victories
48%
35%
Draw
28%
27%
Defeats
24%
2.96
Total goals per match
3.24
1.42
Goals scored per match
1.88
1.54
Goals conceded per match
1.36
65%
Over 2.5
64%
35%
Under 2.5
36%
69%
BTTS
72%
12%
No goals conceded
16%

Aston Villa - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in six of the last seven Chelsea matches.
  2. Both teams scored in three of the last four Aston Villa games.
  3. Aston Villa won four of their last five home matches.
  4. Chelsea lost three of their last four away games.
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Our Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Unai Emery's men could fly out of the gates early to try and get a traditional home win. They have scored first in three of their last four matches and have lost only twice in the previous 10 games. However, they must be careful not to concede an early goal against the dangerous Chelsea side. The Blues have scored first in six of their last seven assignments. Chelsea also comes into this matchup with an unbeaten record against Villa in the previous four meetings. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last three meetings between these sides. We expect that trend to continue. Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Aston Villa to score over 1.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Aston Villa to score over 1.5 goals.

+100
$1500 offered for betting!

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Picks

Ollie Watkins to score

Odds +160

Our secondary prediction is for Ollie Watkins to score. The Villains rejected a massive offer from Arsenal for the attacker in the winter window, and he'll be eager to repay that trust. He has scored 10 goals in 24 EPL matches, with 6 coming at the Villa Park. Watkins also scored 3 goals and assisted 2 in the last 10 games. He should score at any moment in this matchup.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Picks
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