WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Peyton Stearns of the United States will shoot for the moon as she battles world No.1 Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
Stearns will have an opportunity to reach the quarterfinals of a WTA 1000-level event on Monday if she finds a way to beat the top women’s singles player in the world. The 23-year-old American made it to the round-of-16 in Madrid following a surgical 6-2 6-0 win over Rebeka Masarova of Switzerland. Stearns had also survived a couple of three-setters against Kimberly Birrell of Australia 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Amanda Anisimova of the United States 6-2 2-6 7-5 in the previous rounds.
Meanwhile, Sabalenka raised her 2025 clay-court record to 5-1 after besting Elise Mertens of Belgium in three sets 3-6 6-2 6-1. Sabalenka, who fell short in the final of the 2025 Stuttgart Open against Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 6-1, bounced back from an error-prone first set and torched Mertens in the second and third sets. Sabalenka registered 29 first serve points and seven service breaks in the match.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Peyton Stearns Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 20, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 18, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 22, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 2, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Mar 21, 2025 - WTA Miami
Mar 19, 2025 - WTA Miami
Aryna Sabalenka against Peyton Stearns : Head to Head (H2H)
Mar 9, 2024 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka - Peyton Stearns Key Points
- Peyton Stearns defeated Rebeka Masarova 6-2, 6-0 in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Peyton Stearns is 0-2 against WTA top-5.
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elise Mertens 3-6 6-2 6-1 in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 5-1 in the 2025 clay-court season.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Peyton Stearns competes with Aryna Sabalenka, covers +5.5 Games.
Sabalenka is the no-brainer choice, but Stearn has a strong chance of covering at least a +5.5 games spread. Sabalenka might be an all-time great talent, but she’s not as dominant on clay as she is on fast surfaces. I think Elise Mertens exposed a certain level of weakness in Sabalenka’s game on clay when she stole the first set of their match. Stearns can replicate that by coming out strong and making Sabalenka uncomfortable throughout the match. As a terrific mid-game trouble shooter, Sabalenka will eventually find a way to solve problems almost 100 percent of the time. Sabalenka advances to the quarterfinal but I believe Stearns gets a moral victory by giving the world’s No.1 a tough fight. Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns: Peyton Stearns +5.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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