WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus will take on the upset-minded Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine with a ticket to the semifinal of the 2025 Mutua Madrid Open on the line this Wednesday.
Sabalenka made a quick work of Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-4 to clinch her sixth quarterfinal appearance on the WTA Tour this year. After pulling off a come-from-behind win over Elise Mertens in the previous round, the world’s No.1 played like one on Tuesday, outclassing her American foe at every turn. Sabalenka generated 28 points off her first serves and secured four breakpoint conversions.
Kostyuk earned her first straight-set win of the tournament on Tuesday, blasting Anastasia Potapova 6-3 6-2. Kostyuk, who had to grind out three-set wins over Emma Raducanu and Veronika Kudermetova in the previous rounds, held all her serves except one while finding success on return with five breakpoint conversions.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Marta Kostyuk Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 20, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 12, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Apr 11, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami
Aryna Sabalenka against Marta Kostyuk : Head to Head (H2H)
May 28, 2023 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Peyton Stearns 6-2, 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a career 64 percent win rate on clay.
- Marta Kostyuk defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-3, 6-2 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Marta Kostyuk is 0-2 vs. Aryna Sabalenka in their head-to-head series.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Marta Kostyuk takes a set from Aryna Sabalenka in a valiant quarterfinal effort.
Aryna Sabalenka is a no-brainer pick to win this match. However, Kostyuk is in her best form to push the world’s No.1 to a deciding set. We all know how dominant Sabalenka is on hard court. But the case is different on clay, where Sabalenka only carries a 64 percent win rate. Kostyuk lost to Sabalenka 6-3, 6-2 in their first encounter on clay in the first round of the 2023 French Open, but the Ukrainian has improved a lot since that day, compiling a record of 12-6 on the red dirt in the last two years. Let’s make things clear here. I still believe Sabalenka will advance to the semifinal, while Kostyuk gets the moral win by taking a set against one of the tournament’s favorites. Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marta Kostyuk: Marta Kostyuk +1.5 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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