WTA - WTA Indian Wells

WTA 1 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka
3/13/25 14:00
WTA 25 Russia
Liudmila Samsonova

Prediction:

 

Liudmila Samsonova will cover +4.5 games

+130
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells

 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus will try to move closer to her first Indian Wells title, but standing in her way is Liudmila Samsonova of Russia, who thrashed Jasmine Paolini in their fourth-round pairing on Wednesday. Sabalenka is officially back to her dominant self after she registered another lopsided two-set win over Sonay Kartal of Great Britain 6-1 6-2. The world’s No.1’s power game proved just too much for Kartal as Sabalenka rattled off six consecutive games after conceding a service break on the first game to secure the first set.

The Belarusian took her intensity a notch higher in the second set, claiming two games to love with a break and a hold in the first two games. In the end, it was all Sabalenka, who earned 23 points off her first serves and captured five service breaks.

Samsonova barged into the quarterfinals with a clinical 6-0, 6-4 win over Jasmine Paolini of Italy. The Russian came out of the gates firing from all cylinders, holding all his serves and breaking Paolini three times for a near-perfect effort in the first set. Samsonova carried her momentum into the second set, where she raced to a 2-0 lead before putting on the finishing touches to wrap up the match in little bit over an hour.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 12, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Sonay Kartal

Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Lucia Bronzetti

Mar 8, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
McCartney Kessler

Feb 19, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Clara Tauson

Feb 18, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Veronika Kudermetova

Feb 11, 2025 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Liudmila Samsonova Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 12, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Daria Kasatkina
1 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

Mar 8, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Catherine McNally
0 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

Feb 18, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Liudmila Samsonova
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Feb 16, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  0
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Feb 11, 2025 - WTA Doha

Liudmila Samsonova
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

Aryna Sabalenka against Liudmila Samsonova : Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

50 %

Liudmila Samsonova

50 %

Aug 17, 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Liudmila Samsonova

Aug 11, 2023 - WTA National Bank Open

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Liudmila Samsonova Key Points

  1. Aryna Sabalenka defeated Sonay Kartal 6-1, 6-2 in the fourth round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
  2. Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set at the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
  3. Liudmila Samsonova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-0, 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
  4. Liudmila Samsonova is 2-2 head-to-head with Aryna Sabalenka.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction

Everything seems back to normal for Aryna Sabalenka, who obliterated her last two opponents with relative ease. However, I wouldn’t be complacent if I were her because her quarterfinal opponent could mount an upset. Ranked No.25 in the world, Samsonova owns two career wins out of four hard-court matches against Sabalenka.

And although the world’s No.1 posted a convincing 6-3, 6-2 win in the quarterfinal of the 2024 Cincinnati Open, Samsonova presents a serious threat to her campaign because of how well the Russian is playing right now. Sabalenka may still come away with the win in the end, but I promise you it won’t be an easy outing for her since Samsonova is also a legit contender in this tourney. Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Liudmila Samsonova: Samsonova will cover +4.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Liudmila Samsonova will cover +4.5 games

+130
$1500 offered for betting!

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Picks