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Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells
by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus is set to face a tricky opponent in the fourth round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open, where an upset-minded Sonay Kartal of Great Britain is waiting to pounce on her biggest win of her career. Sabalenka marched into the round of 16 by beating both Mccartney Kessler 7-6, 6-3 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-1, 6-2 in straight sets. Before earning her first back-to-back wins in over a month, Sabalenka had run into some form issues that led to early-round exits in Qatar and Dubai. Sabalenka’s second-round win over Kessler was also far from convincing, though the world’s No.1 put worries to rest with a dominant win over Bronzetti in the next round. Kartal has won her last three matches at Indian Wells to reach the round of 16. Despite losing to Clervie Ngounoue in the final qualifier, Kartal still earned a place in the main draw as a lucky loser. Making the most of her second chance, the Brit has rattled off three impressive wins over quality opponents. She defeated Varvara Lepechenko 7-6(6) 6-2, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-2 6-1 and Polina Kudermetova 7-5 6-3 to get to where she is at right now: one win away from her first WTA 1000 quarterfinals.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 8, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 19, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 18, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 11, 2025 - WTA Doha
Jan 25, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 8, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 4, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 2, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 8, 2025 - WTA Doha
Aryna Sabalenka - Sonay Kartal Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Lucia Bronzetti 6-1, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 14-3 record in 2025.
- Sonay Kartal defeated Polina Kudermetova 7-5, 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
- Sonay Kartal will play world’s No.1 Aryna Sabalenka for the first time.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Prediction
We consider Aryna Sabalenka’s demolition of Lucia Bronzetti as a sign that the real Sabalenka is back after stumbling out early in Dubai and Qatar in the past three weeks. Sabalenka has only lost five times in 23 fourth-round matches in her career, resulting in a 78.3 percent win rate. Moreover, the Belarusian has held her serves in 17 out of 18 service turns and only spent roughly three hours to reach the round of 16. On the other hand, Kartal has already logged 7 hours and 35 minutes in the tournament, which could play a factor as she braces for a physically demanding, mentally-draining duel with Sabalenka. Kartal deserves a tap on her back for making it this far, but her fairy tale story is about to end in a crushing way at the hands of Sabalenka. Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sonay Kartal: Sabalenka will cover -6.5 games.
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