WTA - WTA Indian Wells

WTA 1 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka
3/12/25 18:10
WTA 83 Great Britain
Sonay Kartal

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka will cover -6.5 games

-110
$1500 offered for betting!

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells

 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus is set to face a tricky opponent in the fourth round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open, where an upset-minded Sonay Kartal of Great Britain is waiting to pounce on her biggest win of her career. Sabalenka marched into the round of 16 by beating both Mccartney Kessler 7-6, 6-3 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-1, 6-2 in straight sets. Before earning her first back-to-back wins in over a month, Sabalenka had run into some form issues that led to early-round exits in Qatar and Dubai. Sabalenka’s second-round win over Kessler was also far from convincing, though the world’s No.1 put worries to rest with a dominant win over Bronzetti in the next round. Kartal has won her last three matches at Indian Wells to reach the round of 16. Despite losing to Clervie Ngounoue in the final qualifier, Kartal still earned a place in the main draw as a lucky loser. Making the most of her second chance, the Brit has rattled off three impressive wins over quality opponents. She defeated Varvara Lepechenko 7-6(6) 6-2, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-2 6-1 and Polina Kudermetova 7-5 6-3 to get to where she is at right now: one win away from her first WTA 1000 quarterfinals.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Lucia Bronzetti

Mar 8, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
McCartney Kessler

Feb 19, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Clara Tauson

Feb 18, 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Veronika Kudermetova

Feb 11, 2025 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Jan 25, 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Madison Keys
Sonay Kartal Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Polina Kudermetova
0 :  2
Sonay Kartal

Mar 8, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Sonay Kartal
2 :  0
Beatriz Haddad Maia

Mar 6, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Sonay Kartal
2 :  0
Varvara Lepchenko

Mar 4, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Sonay Kartal
1 :  2
Clervie Ngounoue

Mar 2, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Sonay Kartal
2 :  0
Marina Stakusic

Feb 8, 2025 - WTA Doha

Moyuka Uchijima
2 :  0
Sonay Kartal
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Sonay Kartal Key Points

  1. Aryna Sabalenka defeated Lucia Bronzetti 6-1, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
  2. Aryna Sabalenka has a 14-3 record in 2025.
  3. Sonay Kartal defeated Polina Kudermetova 7-5, 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Indian Wells Open.
  4. Sonay Kartal will play world’s No.1 Aryna Sabalenka for the first time.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Prediction

We consider Aryna Sabalenka’s demolition of Lucia Bronzetti as a sign that the real Sabalenka is back after stumbling out early in Dubai and Qatar in the past three weeks. Sabalenka has only lost five times in 23 fourth-round matches in her career, resulting in a 78.3 percent win rate. Moreover, the Belarusian has held her serves in 17 out of 18 service turns and only spent roughly three hours to reach the round of 16. On the other hand, Kartal has already logged 7 hours and 35 minutes in the tournament, which could play a factor as she braces for a physically demanding, mentally-draining duel with Sabalenka. Kartal deserves a tap on her back for making it this far, but her fairy tale story is about to end in a crushing way at the hands of Sabalenka. Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sonay Kartal: Sabalenka will cover -6.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Aryna Sabalenka will cover -6.5 games

-110
$1500 offered for betting!

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Sonay Kartal Picks