Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Stuttgart Open

WTA - WTA Stuttgart Open

WTA 1 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka
4/20/25 08:45
WTA 6 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Jasmine Paolini will win

+320
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus squares it off again with Jasmine Paolini on Sunday but this time on a different surface, the reddish-brown court of Stuttgart, in the semifinal of the 2025 Porsche Open.

Sabalenka flexed her muscles anew on Saturday as she obliterated Elise Mertens of Belgium 6-4 6-1. Fresh off a walkover win against Anastasia Potapova, the world’s No.1 unleashed a full-throttle attack on the Belgian, manufacturing 26 points off the 39 first serves she landed. She also broke Mertens’ serves four times by winning 27 points as a receiver.

On a day filled with upsets, Paolini pulled off arguably the biggest one when she ousted former US Open champion Coco Gauff 6-4 6-3 on Saturday. Paolini entered the semifinals with a 0-2 head-to-head record against Gauff. However, it was obvious from the start that Paolini had no plans losing to the American on her favorite surface. The 2024 French Open runner up engaged in a back-and-forth battle with Gauff until she captured a crucial service break in the 8th game of the first set that led to her winning four straight games and the set. Paolini raced to a 2-0 lead in the second set, traded breaks and then held her final two serves to complete the upset against the world’s No.4.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Apr 18, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Aryna Sabalenka
withdraw
Anastasia Potapova

Mar 29, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Mar 27, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 25, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Qinwen Zheng

Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Danielle Collins
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Apr 17, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Jule Niemeier
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Apr 15, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Eva Lys
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 27, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 25, 2025 - WTA Miami

Magda Linette
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami

Naomi Osaka
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Aryna Sabalenka against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

100 %

Jasmine Paolini

0 %

Mar 27, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Nov 4, 2024 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 5, 2023 - WTA China Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elise Mertens 6-4 6-1 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Stuttgart Open.
  2. Aryna Sabalenka has won her last 8 games.
  3. Jasmine Paolini defeated Coco Gauff 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Stuttgart Open.
  4. Jasmine Paolini is 2-4 against Aryna Sabalenka head-to-head.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Jasmine Paolini stuns Aryna Sabalenka to reach final in Stuttgart.

Reason: Sabalenka stepped onto her semifinal showdown with Paolini holding a 4-2 head-to-head lead on the Italian. However, Sunday’s matchup will be the first time these two play each other on clay. Sabalenka is truly a marvelous talent, a dominant force on the WTA Tour post-Serena Williams era. However, there’s no surface on which Sabalenka is more vulnerable than on clay, where she sports an 84-47 record. Last year, Sabalenka reached two WTA 1000 clay-court final at Madrid and Rome, losing to Iga Swiatek on both occasions. With Swiatek also struggling with her form, many believe it’s Sabalenka’s time to seize the opportunity and win several tournaments leading up to the French Open. However, I think Paolini changed that narrative with her statement win over Gauff, another former French Open finalist. Paolini lost to Sabalenka three weeks ago on the hard court of Miami because she just could not outpower the Belarusian on the hard surfaces. On clay, however, is a different story. Paolini is quicker and capable enough to neutralize heavy serves and forehands on the red dirt. She used her quickness and finesse to baffle Gauff in their semifinal match, and I won’t be surprised if she uses the same tactic against Sabalenka, who is up to this day seeking a final appearance at Roland Garros. That said, our betting prediction for Jasmine Paolini vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Jasmine Paolini will win

Prediction:

 

Jasmine Paolini will win

+320
$1500 offered for betting!

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Picks