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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Miami

WTA - WTA Miami

WTA 1 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka
3/27/25 14:00
WTA 7 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Jasmine Paolini +4.5 games

+110
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus gun for a back-to-back final appearance in the Sunshine Double against feisty Jasmine Paolini of Italy in Thursday's semifinal round of the 2025 Miami Open.

Sabalenka has now won 9 of her last 10 matches to reach the semifinal of the 2025 Miami Open. The world’s No.1 continues to live up to her lofty stature as she carved out another emphatic win over Zheng Qinwen of China 6-2 7-5. Despite giving up four service breaks, Sabalenka maintained her dominance over the Chinese by earning seven breakpoint conversions and winning 21 points off her first serves. Sabalenka, who lost to Mirra Andreeva 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the final of the 2025 Indian Wells Open a week ago, will get another opportunity to win a WTA 1000-level title this year if she can hurdle her next opponent, Jasmine Paolini.

Paolini is also on a hot streak, winning four straight matches to secure her first semis appearance on the WTA Tour this year. The Italian booked her spot in the semis with a 6-3 6-2 win over Magda Linette of Poland. Her biggest win this week came in the fourth round, where he outlasted four-time Grand Slam winner Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 6-4.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Aryna Sabalenka Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 25, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Qinwen Zheng

Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Danielle Collins

Mar 22, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
abort
Elena-Gabriela Ruse

Mar 20, 2025 - WTA Miami

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Viktoriya Tomova

Mar 16, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Mirra Andreeva

Mar 14, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Madison Keys
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 25, 2025 - WTA Miami

Magda Linette
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 24, 2025 - WTA Miami

Naomi Osaka
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 22, 2025 - WTA Miami

Ons Jabeur
abort
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 20, 2025 - WTA Miami

Rebecca Sramkova
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 12, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Mar 10, 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Jaqueline Cristian
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Aryna Sabalenka against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)

Aryna Sabalenka

100 %

Jasmine Paolini

0 %

Nov 4, 2024 - WTA Doha

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 5, 2023 - WTA China Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini
Compare Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini with our comparison tool.

Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. Aryna Sabalenka defeated Zheng Qinwen of China 6-2 7-5 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Miami Open.
  2. Aryna Sabalenka has now reached the semifinal of the Sunshine Double in 2025.
  3. Jasmine Paolini defeated Magda Linette 6-3 6-2 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Miami Open.
  4. Jasmine Paolini trails Aryna Sabalenka 2-3 in their head-to-head series.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka is the consensus favorite to win outright, but there’s a golden opportunity here to earn big bucks by placing bets on Jasmine Paolini +4.5 games. Sabalenka and Paolini have met five times already, with the Belarusian winning thrice on hard courts and the Italian taking a hard and grass court win. All of these matches were competitive. Sabalenka has won the last two meetings in two sets, though the outcomes could have gone differently had Paolini converted on a breakpoint and held a crucial serve in the pivotal moments of these matches. Sabalenka may still be hard to beat with the kind of drive she has after that heartbreaking loss to Andreeva. However, I believe Sabalenka will have to earn her entry into the final the hard way again because Paolini will not make it easy for her. Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini: Jasmine Paolini +4.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Jasmine Paolini +4.5 games

+110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini Picks