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Arsenal vs PSG Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Arsenal
4/29/25 14:00
PSG

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+230
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 by Simon Day in Champions League Picks

Two sides looking for their first ever Champions League title clash in the semi finals of Europe's premier competition on Tuesday night, as Arsenal host PSG at the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal produced two sublime performances in the quarter finals to thrash holders Real Madrid 5-1 on aggregate, whilst PSG had to withstand a ferocious late onslaught by Aston Villa to prevail 5-4 over two legs. 

The teams met during the league phase of the competition, when first half goals from Kai Havertz and Bakayo Saka gave the Gunners a comfortable 2-0 victory. Arsenal also held the upper hand at the end of the league phase, as their third place finish saw them automatically qualify for the last 16, while PSG had to settle for a play off spot after finishing in 15th. Overall, the teams have met on five previous occasions, with Arsenal winning two of the contests and the other three ending all square. 

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Arsenal vs PSG Form

Arsenal and PSG Latest Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
D W D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Real Madrid

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal
D W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Real Madrid

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham

Mar 16, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven
D W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal
PSG
PSG Latest matches
W W L W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Nice

Apr 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
PSG

Apr 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Le Havre

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Nice

Apr 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Le Havre

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
PSG

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 1, 2025 - French Cup

USL Dunkerque
2 :  4
PSG

Mar 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
1 :  6
PSG

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  4
PSG

Arsenal against PSG : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

50 %

Draw

50 %

PSG

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
75%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG

Jul 28, 2018 - International Champions Cup

Arsenal
5 :  1
PSG

Nov 23, 2016 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSG

Sep 13, 2016 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Arsenal

Arsenal - PSG: Form Analysis

Arsenal produced two sublime performances in the quarters finals to thrash holders Real Madrid 5-1 on aggregate. Declan Rice was the Gunners' hero in the first leg, with two fantastic free kicks, before a rock solid team display in the Bernabeu thwarted any chance of a Madrid comeback. Domestically, Arsenal have gone off the boil in recent weeks, with three draws in their last four games, but they remain on course for a third consecutive second place finish in the Premier League. 

PSG suffer their first league defeat

PSG's hopes of an unbeaten domestic season are over, after they fell to a shock 1-3 home defeat to Nice on Friday night. Despite that loss, PSG still have an unassailable 23 point lead in Ligue 1 and with a French Cup final against Reims coming up next month, it could still end up being the greatest season in the club's 55 year history. 

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PSG v Arsenal last Lineups

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
D. Raya
12
J. Timber
2
W. Saliba
15
J. Kiwior
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
8
M. Odegaard
5
T. Partey
41
D. Rice
30
R. Sterling
19
L. Trossard
11
G. Martinelli
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
10
O. Dembele
14
D. Doue
8
F. Ruiz
87
J. Neves
17
Vitinha
25
N. Mendes
51
W. Pacho
5
Marquinhos
2
A. Hakimi
1
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

PSG

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

R. Calafiori

G. Magalhaes

Midfielder

Jorginho

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

B. Saka

PSG
PSG

Arsenal & PSG Squad Analysis

Arsenal will once again be forced to deploy a makeshift striker, as Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus remain on the sidelines. Leandro Trossard has performed admirably in the role recently, so Gunners' boss Mikel Arteta is likely to continue with the Belgian leading the attack. Gabriel and Ricardo Calafiori are also out with injuries, whilst Thomas Partey is banned following his yellow card at the Bernabeu. 

Probable Arsenal starting eleven: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Rice, Merino; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli

PSG at full strength

PSG boss Luis Enrique has the luxury of a full strength squad to choose from for Tuesday's game. His big decision is whether to start Bradley Barcola or Desire Doue on the right side of the PSG frontline. After his stunning displays against Villa in the quarter finals, Doue is the favorite to get the nod. 

PSG possible starting eleven: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato PSG
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France O. Dembele (28 Goals)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)
Best assists
France B. Barcola (13 Assists)

Arsenal and PSG Stats in Champions League

Arsenal
Arsenal
PSG
PSG
75%
Victories
57%
17%
Draw
7%
8%
Defeats
36%
3.08
Total goals per match
3.14
2.5
Goals scored per match
2.14
0.58
Goals conceded per match
1
67%
Over 2.5
57%
33%
Under 2.5
43%
42%
BTTS
43%
50%
No goals conceded
36%

Arsenal - PSG Key Points

  1. PSG have scored in 18 consecutive away games
  2. Arsenal have scored 28 goals in their last 8 Champions League games
  3. PSG have scored 13 goals in their last 4 away matches
  4. Arsenal have scored at least twice in their last 8 Champions League games
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Our Arsenal vs PSG Prediction

This is a mounthwatering game between of the competition's most impressive outfits, and picking a winner is no easy task. PSG have taken the Champions League by storm this season with a series of thrilling attacking displays, whilst Arsenal have been scoring for fun during the knockout stages. In short, we are expecting plenty of goals at the Emirates. The odds of 6.75 on there being over 4.5 goals are fairly tempting, but we are taking the 3.30 on the game having at least four goals. Our prediction for Arsenal vs PSG is: Over 3.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

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Arsenal vs PSG - Other Interesting Picks

Achraf Hakimi to score

Odds +900
Achraf Hakimi may play in defence, but his boundless energy makes him a huge threat at the other end of the pitch. The Moroccan star scored in both legs of PSG's quarter final victory over Aston Villa and we really like the odds of 10.00 on the right back finding the net again on Tuesday night.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs PSG Picks
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