29 June 2024 - 20:00 

- Day 3

South America - Copa America

Argentina
VS
Peru

Prediction:

Argentina to win and under 2.5 goals

Odds : +200

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Argentina vs Peru Prediction & Picks - Copa America

 by Simon Day | in Copa America Picks

Peru face the unenviable task of having to beat world champions Argentina to have any chance of qualifying for the last eight of the Copa America. Even a victory may not be enough, as they need Chile to beat Canada in the other Group A match taking place on Saturday. Argentina have already booked their place in the quarter finals, and a draw will ensure they finish as group winners. They've not been at their best so far in the tournament, but this is a squad that relishes knockout football and they will be confident of defending the title they won in 2021.
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Argentina vs Peru Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Argentina
Argentina
9 3 3 0 0 5
4
Peru
Peru
1 3 0 1 2 -3

Argentina and Peru Latest Matches

Argentina
Argentina Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

Jun 25, 2024 - Copa America

Chile
0 :  1
Argentina

Jun 20, 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada

Jun 14, 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
1 :  4
Argentina

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  1
Costa Rica

Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
El Salvador
Peru
Peru Latest matches
W W D W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

Jun 25, 2024 - Copa America

Peru
0 :  1
Canada

Jun 21, 2024 - Copa America

Peru
0 :  0
Chile

Jun 14, 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
1 :  0
El Salvador

Jun 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
0 :  0
Paraguay

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
4 :  1
Dominican Republic

Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
2 :  0
Nicaragua

Argentina against Peru : Head to Head (H2H)

Argentina

100 %

Draw

0 %

Peru

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
0%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
0
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%

Oct 17, 2023 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  2
Argentina

Oct 14, 2021 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  0
Peru

Nov 17, 2020 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  2
Argentina

Argentina - Peru: Form Analysis

Argentina are on a seven game winning run and have won 21 of their last 22 matches in all competitions. That run incorporates their extraordinary victory in the 2022 World Cup final, when they defeated France on penalties following a pulsating 3-3 draw. They are also the current holders of the Copa America title, beating Brazil 1-0 in the 2021 final. 

Peru were in very good form prior to the 0-1 defeat to Canada. They had been unbeaten in six, conceding just two goals during those games. Their record in recent Copa Americas is also very strong. They reached the last four in 2021, and at the previous tournament, they went all the way to the final b before losing 3-1 to Brazil. Their only two tournament victories came in 1975 and 1939. 

This will be the 58th meeting between Argentina and Peru, with the world champions holding a healthy 36-7 lead in the head to head. The sides last met in October 2023, when two goals from Lionel Messi gave Argentina a 2-0 victory in a World Cup 2026 qualification game. That was Argentina's fourth consecutive clean sheet against the Peruvians. 

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Argentina against Peru Lineups: Starting 11

Argentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
E. Martinez
4
G. Montiel
19
N. Otamendi
6
G. Pezzella
3
N. Tagliafico
14
E. Palacios
5
L. Paredes
16
G. Lo Celso
11
A. Di Maria
22
L. Martinez
17
A. Garnacho
11
B. Reyna
9
P. Guerrero
20
E. Flores
16
W. Cartagena
8
S. Pena
6
M. Lopez
22
A. Callens
5
C. Zambrano
3
A. Corzo
19
O. Sonne
1
P. Gallese

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Peru

Missing players

Argentina
Argentina
Defender

M. Acuna

Peru
Peru
Defender

M. Araujo

L. Advincula

Forward

A. Polo

Argentina & Peru Squad Analysis

Argentina rested Lionel Messi for the win over Paraguay, but he is expected to return to the lineup at the expense of Nicolás González. The only other possible change could see Lisandro Martinez come in for veteran centre half Nicolás Otamendi. Lisandro Martinez came off the bench to score the winner against Paraguay, however he is unlikely to dislodge Julian Alvarez from the starting eleven.

Possible starting eleven: Emiliano Martinez, Nahuel Molina, Cristian Romero, Lisandro Martinez, Nicolas Tagliafico, Enzo Fernandez, Alexis Mac Allister, Rodrigo de Paul, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez, Julian Alvarez.

Peru have been excellent defensively in their first two games, with centre backs Carlos Zambrano and Alexander Callens at the fore. The problems for Peru have been at the other end of the pitch, where they are still looking for their first goal. Despite that poor record, Paolo Guerrero and Edison Flores are expected to continue in attack. 

Possible starting eleven: Pedro Gallese, Anderson Santamaria, Carlos Zambrano, Alexander Callens, Andy Polo, Andre Carrillo, Wilder Cartagena, Piero Aldair Quispe Cordova, Marcos Lopez, Paolo Guerrero, Edison Flore

Argentina - Peru Key Points

  1. Argentina are unbeaten in 17 games against Peru
  2. Peru have scored in just 1 of their last 4 games
  3. Argentina have conceded just once in their last 4 games
  4. Peru are yet to score in this year's Copa America
Up to $1500 to bet on Argentina - Peru! 

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Our Argentina vs Peru Prediction

It goes without saying that Argentina are the stronger team here, and we fully expect them to maintain their 100% record in the tournament. That being said, Perus are a tough side to break down, so we are not predicting a high scoring game. It is also worth considering that Argentina only need a draw to top the group, so there is no real incentive for them to play on the front foot. 

Our prediction for Argentina vs Peru is: Argentina to win and under 2.5 goals, +200 at BetMGM.

Prediction:

Argentina to win and under 2.5 goals

Odds : +200

$1500 offered for betting!

Argentina vs Peru - Other Interesting Picks

Julian Alvarez first goalscorer

Alvarez has been in fine form over the last few months, both for Manchester City and Argentina. He scored in the opening game win over Canada, and his intelligent movement was a threat throughout the Paraguay game. With Martinez pushing him for a starting place, Alvarez will be keen to get on the scoresheet once again.

Draw/Argentina HT/FT

Peru are a tricky side to break down, and it may take Argentina plenty of time to find a way past them. We would not be surprised to see the game stay all square until at least half time, before Argentina's superior quality and squad depth gets them over the line.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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Argentina vs Peru Picks